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Bitcoin Supply in Loss Hits Record 10.83M BTC as Long-Term Holders Control 14.8M

Bitcoin’s supply in loss hit a record 10.83 million BTC while long-term holders control an unprecedented 14.8 million coins, signaling a market poised for a trend reversal.

📅 June 25, 2026 🕐 1 min read 📰 Coindesk

1 assets impacted (Crypto). Net bias: 0 Bullish, 0 Bearish, 1 Neutral. Strongest signal: BTC/USD → 6/10 (85% confidence).

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BTC/USD

Neutral 🤖 85%

📆 Mid-term 🌍 Global · Explicit

Almost 11 million BTC are now held at a loss, while long-term holders control a record 14.8 million coins. This combination signals extreme distress among short-term holders but conviction from experienced investors, historically a contrarian bullish signal for Bitcoin.

Catalysts

• Record 10.83 million BTC supply in loss
• Long-term holders reach record 14.8 million BTC

Risk Factors

• Short-term holder capitulation could accelerate selling
• Macro headwinds could delay recovery despite on-chain signals

▼ Show FAQ (3) ▲ Hide FAQ

What does the record BTC supply in loss mean for short-term price action?

Short-term price may face downward pressure as holders in loss could sell into rallies, but the extreme level historically marks bottoming zones.

How does the record long-term holder supply affect Bitcoin's market structure?

Long-term holders locking up a record 14.8 million BTC reduces the liquid supply, which can create a supply shock and amplify upside if demand returns.

Should investors interpret this as a buy signal?

While extreme supply in loss has preceded rallies, timing is uncertain. The confluence with record long-term holding strengthens the case for accumulation, but risk management remains key.

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bitcoin supply in loss reached an all-time high of 10.83 million BTC, surpassing previous peaks during market downturns.
Long-term holders now possess a record 14.8 million BTC, highlighting strong accumulation despite short-term price pain.
The divergence between widespread losses and steadfast long-term holding suggests market resilience or capitulation risk.
Historically, extreme levels of supply in loss have coincided with market bottoms, potentially signaling a reversal.
Short-term holders are likely bearing the brunt of unrealized losses, increasing sell pressure risk.
The record long-term holder supply indicates conviction and may reduce liquid supply, supporting price floors.
On-chain metrics suggest Bitcoin is in a period of deep value, though macro and sentiment factors could delay recovery.

📝 Executive Summary

Almost 11 million bitcoin are now held at a loss, while long-term holders control a record 14.8 million coins.

❓ FAQ

What does the record Bitcoin supply in loss indicate?

It shows that a large portion of Bitcoin holders are underwater, which historically has been a sign of market bottoms and potential trend reversals.

Why are long-term holders reaching a record supply?

Long-term holders are likely accumulating during price weakness, betting on long-term appreciation, which reduces the available float and could support future price increases.

How does this compare to previous cycles?

The current supply in loss exceeds prior bear market extremes, but the concurrent record long-term holder supply is unique, blending capitulation signals with strong accumulation.

Bitcoin Supply in Loss Hits Record 10.83M BTC as Long-Term Holders Control 14.8M

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🎯 Key Takeaways

📝 Executive Summary

❓ FAQ

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