📝 Executive Summary
U.S. IPO issuance has rebounded sharply in 2026, but the bank said the current surge lacks the deal volume and speculative excess that defined the dot-com era.
Goldman Sachs reports that despite a sharp rebound in 2026 U.S. IPO issuance, the market shows no signs of dot-com-era speculative mania, with deal volume still below bubble peaks.
U.S. IPO issuance rebounded sharply in 2026, but Goldman Sachs notes the revival lacks dot-com-era speculative excess and deal volumes remain below bubble peaks. This suggests a healthy but not overheated equity market, supporting a neutral-to-bullish outlook for the S&P 500.
The analysis suggests the current IPO market is not in a speculative bubble, which could be supportive for the broader index as it indicates money is flowing into equities without excessive risk-taking.
According to Goldman Sachs, no, because the current IPO revival lacks the extreme valuations and deal frenzy of the late 1990s, making a repeat of that crash unlikely in the near term.
U.S. IPO issuance has rebounded sharply in 2026, but the bank said the current surge lacks the deal volume and speculative excess that defined the dot-com era.
Goldman Sachs stated that U.S. IPO issuance rebounded sharply in 2026 but the current surge lacks the deal volume and speculative excess that defined the dot-com era.
The dot-com bubble was marked by extreme market speculation and inflated valuations. The absence of such excess in today's market suggests the IPO rebound is more sustainable and less prone to a crash.
Deal volume remains below the elevated levels seen during the late 1990s, indicating a more tempered recovery rather than a frothy boom.