📈 Stocks 🌍 United States

TSMC tops Magnificent Seven with 36% YTD gain; 2nm ramp and $100B Arizona build loom

TSMC's 36% YTD gain tops all Magnificent Seven stocks as 2nm production ramps, Q2 revenue climbs 33.7% to $40.2B, and AI chip orders from Nvidia, Apple, Amazon, and Meta underpin a record $265B Arizona buildout.

🕐 6 min read

6 assets impacted (Stocks, Etf). Net bias: 5 Bullish, 0 Bearish, 1 Neutral. Strongest signal: TSM ↑ 10/10 (95% confidence).

📊 Affected Assets (6)

TSM
Bullish 🤖 95%
🗓️ Long-term 🌍 Asia Pacific · Explicit

TSMC is up nearly 36% YTD and 78% over 12 months, beating all Magnificent Seven members. Q2 revenue hit $40.2B (+33.7% y/y), gross margin was 67.7%, and net margin was 55.6%; 2nm process began ramping and Arizona investment grew to $265B. Every major AI chip developer cited in the article is a TSMC customer.

Catalysts
  • 2nm process production began in Q2
  • $100B additional Arizona fab investment
Risk Factors
  • Taiwan Strait geopolitical tension
  • AI capex slowdown among hyperscalers
▼ Show FAQ (2) ▲ Hide FAQ
Why is TSMC outperforming the Magnificent Seven this year?

TSMC is the leading foundry for most advanced AI chips, so demand from Nvidia, Apple, Amazon, Meta, and Alphabet flows directly into its revenue. Its 36% YTD gain and 78% 12-month gain reflect that position.

What does the 2nm ramp mean for TSMC?

TSMC started 2nm output in Q2; these chips were just 3% of wafer revenue but offer higher density and energy efficiency. As yields improve and customers scale, 2nm should lift revenue mix and margins.

NVDA
Bullish 🤖 90%
📆 Mid-term 🌍 US · Explicit

Nvidia's latest quarter showed revenue of $96.2B, up 106% y/y, and CEO Jensen Huang sees Vera Rubin as the fastest-ramping product in company history. TSMC is its foundry, so Nvidia's AI accelerator demand supports both names; the article frames Nvidia as the Mag7 leader but says TSMC is a purer play on AI silicon.

Catalysts
  • $96.2B quarterly revenue, +106% y/y
  • Vera Rubin processors expected to generate massive profits
Risk Factors
  • Alphabet and Amazon are expanding in-house custom silicon alternatives
  • Customer concentration in AI capex cycle
▼ Show FAQ (2) ▲ Hide FAQ
What did Nvidia's latest earnings show?

Revenue was $96.2B, up 106% from a year ago. The article cites Nvidia as the best-performing Magnificent Seven name and says Vera Rubin is ramping faster than any prior product.

Why is TSMC important to Nvidia?

TSMC manufactures Nvidia's leading-edge chips. Huang called TSMC 'one of the greatest companies in the history of humanity,' underscoring the foundry's strategic importance to Nvidia's AI growth.

AMZN
Bullish 🤖 85%
📆 Mid-term 🌍 US · Explicit

Amazon's custom silicon business exceeded a $25B annualized run rate, with Trainium and Inferentia chips purpose-built for AWS. TSMC manufactures that custom silicon, making Amazon a direct foundry customer as its AI cloud business scales.

Catalysts
  • Custom silicon annualized run rate above $25B
  • AWS Trainium and Inferentia chip expansion
Risk Factors
  • Custom silicon cannibalizes demand for merchant GPUs
  • AWS capex efficiency pressures could slow orders
▼ Show FAQ (2) ▲ Hide FAQ
What is Amazon's custom silicon run rate?

The article says Amazon's custom silicon business recently exceeded a $25 billion annual run rate, with Trainium and Inferentia chips built for AWS.

How does Amazon benefit TSMC?

TSMC manufactures Amazon's custom silicon. As AWS pushes purpose-built AI chips, it adds another revenue stream for TSMC outside Nvidia's GPU pipeline.

META
Bullish 🤖 75%
📆 Mid-term 🌍 US · Explicit

Meta is designing custom AI chips with Broadcom and using TSMC as the foundry as it pushes 'superintelligence' and free personal AI assistants. That makes Meta an incremental TSMC customer tied to the AI infrastructure buildout.

Catalysts
  • Custom AI chip development with Broadcom on TSMC process
  • Agentic AI push adding CPU demand in data centers
Risk Factors
  • Meta AI monetization uncertain
  • Custom chip volumes may ramp slower than expected
▼ Show FAQ (2) ▲ Hide FAQ
How is Meta using TSMC?

Meta is designing custom AI chips with Broadcom, with TSMC serving as the foundry, according to the article.

What did TSMC's CEO say about Meta's approach?

C.C. Wei said agentic AI is driving a resurgence in CPUs for AI data centers, and nearly all CPU approaches — x86, Arm, or RISC-V — are TSMC customers.

AAPL
Neutral 🤖 80%
📅 Short-term 🌍 US · Explicit

Apple is a major TSMC customer and geared to buy more than 100M advanced chips from TSMC's Arizona fab this year. The article says Apple designs its own chips and runs a different AI strategy, but its near-20% YTD gain and TSMC dependency make it a relevant explicit holding.

Catalysts
  • Plans to buy over 100M advanced chips from TSMC Arizona this year
Risk Factors
  • TSMC capacity allocation could shift toward AI accelerators
  • Apple's AI monetization remains tied to its operating-system strategy
▼ Show FAQ (2) ▲ Hide FAQ
How many TSMC Arizona chips is Apple expected to buy?

Apple is geared to buy more than 100 million advanced chips from TSMC's Arizona foundry this year.

Does the article think Apple is a worse AI play than TSMC?

Yes. The argument is that Apple and all Magnificent Seven members are TSMC customers, so investing in TSMC gives exposure to AI silicon demand without relying on a single end-market strategy.

SMH
Bullish 🤖 65%
📆 Mid-term 🌍 US ✨ Inferred

TSMC is a top holding in SMH and the primary foundry for most AI chips cited in the article. A 36% YTD gain at TSMC, plus Nvidia's 106% revenue growth and rising custom silicon from Amazon and Meta, points to broad semiconductor ETF strength.

Catalysts
  • TSMC's 36% YTD outperformance and 2nm ramp
  • AI chip demand across Nvidia, Amazon, and Meta
Risk Factors
  • Semiconductor cycle volatility
  • SoX concentration in AI names could unwind on capex cuts
▼ Show FAQ (2) ▲ Hide FAQ
Why would SMH be affected by this article?

SMH tracks the largest US-listed semiconductor companies, and TSMC — the article's focus — is a top holding. The piece frames AI silicon demand as secular, which should lift the whole chip complex.

What is the main risk to SMH?

The same customer concentration that helps TSMC could hurt semis if hyperscalers pare AI capex; the article's bullish case depends on continued Magnificent Seven spending.

🎯 Key Takeaways

  • TSMC is up nearly 36% YTD and 78% over 12 months, outperforming every Magnificent Seven stock.
  • Q2 revenue rose 33.7% to $40.2B, with gross margin of 67.7% and net margin of 55.6%.
  • TSMC began 2nm production in Q2; those chips were 3% of wafer revenue and are expected to scale.
  • TSMC added $100B to its Arizona build, bringing total investment to $265B.
  • Nvidia reported revenue of $96.2B, up 106% y/y, and calls Vera Rubin its fastest-ramping product.
  • Amazon's custom silicon business exceeded a $25B annualized run rate; Meta and Apple are also TSMC customers.
  • Alphabet sells TPU capacity, and its TPUs are built with Broadcom on TSMC foundry services.

📝 Executive Summary

It's not easy forecasting stock winners. I wrote a series of articles at the beginning of the year forecasting which "Magnificent Seven" stock would be the best to buy this year. My top pick, Alphabet (NASDAQ: GOOG) (NASDAQ: GOOGL), is up only 7% so far this year, while my bottom pick, Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL), is up nearly 20%. Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) is once again leading the way, and there's a lot to love about Jensen Huang's company. The most recent earnings report showed revenue of $96.2 billion, up a whopping 106% from a year ago. And the company's next-generation Vera Rubin processors are expected to start generating massive profits soon, as Nvidia calls them the fastest-ramping product in company history. Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again. In 2009, a "Double Down" signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia. For the first time in years, that same "Total Conviction" signal is flashing for a company 1/100th the size of Nvidia. Continue » But Nvidia doesn't have the entire field to itself. It's getting more competition. Alphabet has chips called Tensor Processing Units, its in-house alternative to Nvidia's customized to run on Google Cloud, and is now selling TPU capacity. Amazon's (NASDAQ: AMZN) custom silicon business is also growing, and recently exceeded a $25 billion annual run rate -- its Trainium and Inferentia chips are purpose-built to run on Amazon Web Services' cloud. Meta Platforms (NASDAQ: META), Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT), and Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) are all Nvidia customers. Apple also designs its own chips and has a completely different artificial intelligence strategy than other Magnificent Seven members -- it's focused on embedding AI applications and intelligence into its operating systems. But these companies have one major thing in common -- they are all customers of another trillion-dollar publicly traded company. And that's why I think that Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (NYSE: TSM), which is the biggest chip foundry in the world, is a better buy today than any single member of the Magnificent Seven cohort. Nvidia and Apple are the two largest companies in the world. And both of them are major TSMC customers. Apple is geared to buy more than 100 million advanced chips from TSMC's Arizona foundry this year. And Huang, the CEO of Nvidia, has gushed about TSMC, at one point calling it "one of the greatest companies in the history of humanity." In another interview, Huang told reporters, "You can't overstate the magic that is TSMC." Other Magnificent Seven companies are also using TSMC. Meta Platforms, which is working to create "superintelligence" and free personal AI assistants, is designing custom AI chips with Broadcom but using TSMC as the foundry. TSMC also manufactures Amazon's custom silicon and provides the silicon Alphabet uses to build its TPUs, in conjunction with Broadcom. TSMC CEO C.C. Wei talked about the increase in agentic AI and how that emerging technology is leading to a new demand for central processing units -- CPUs -- in data centers. He said: "The emergence of agentic AI is leading to a resurgence in the role of CPUs in AI data centers, which drive more silicon demand in addition to AI accelerators. We believe this is positive for TSMC, as no matter what CPU approach is taken, whether it's a x86, Arm-based, or RISC-V architecture, they are almost all TSMC's customers." If you needed another reason to like TSMC, just look at the year-to-date performance. TSMC is outperforming every member of the Magnificent Seven this year, with a gain of nearly 36%. And over the last 12 months, it's up a whopping 78% -- again, outperforming every member of the Magnificent Seven. Revenue in the second quarter was $40.2 billion, up 33.7% from a year ago. Gross margin was a whopping 67.7%, and the company's net profit margin was an impressive 55.6%. And I expect those numbers to get even better. TSMC began producing chips using its new 2-nanometer process technology for the first time in the second quarter. TSMC said those chips, which offer higher density and energy efficiency, accounted for only 3% of TSMC's wafer revenue in Q2, but that number will increase as sales increase. TSMC is also increasing its investments in the U.S., having recently announced another $100 billion in construction for its Arizona foundries. That increases TSMC's total investment in its Arizona site to $265 billion. TSMC is already outperforming the Magnificent Seven this year as investors recognize its unique role in the expansion of AI. And there's every reason to believe that will continue, particularly as members of the Magnificent Seven turn to TSMC to provide the silicon or manufacture their chips. With the rollout of 2nm technology and a dominant position in the foundry market, TSMC is in a great position to continue to provide outsize revenue and profits for shareholders. Before you buy stock in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, consider this: The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing wasn't one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut are built for long-term growth and could produce monster returns in the coming years. Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you'd have $446,157!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you'd have $1,377,357!* That performance is why people listen. With a track record of beating the S&P 500 by nearly 5x, Stock Advisor offers a distinct advantage. Don't miss the latest top 10 list, available with Stock Advisor, and join an investing community built for the long haul. See the 10 stocks » *Stock Advisor returns as of September 3, 2026. Patrick Sanders has positions in Nvidia. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Broadcom, Meta Platforms, Microsoft, Nvidia, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, and Tesla. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. Opinion: TSMC Is a Better Buy Than Any of the "Magnificent Seven" Stocks Right Now was originally published by The Motley Fool

❓ FAQ

Why does the article argue TSMC is a better buy than any Magnificent Seven stock?

TSMC sits at the center of AI hardware: it manufactures or provides foundry services for chips from Nvidia, Apple, Amazon, Meta, and Alphabet. With 36% YTD outperformance, 67.7% gross margin, and the 2nm ramp, the article argues its foundry monopoly gives more direct exposure to AI-driven silicon demand than any single Mag7 name.

What are TSMC's latest quarterly results?

TSMC's Q2 revenue was $40.2B, up 33.7% y/y. Gross margin was 67.7% and net profit margin 55.6%, with 2nm process revenue contributing 3% of wafer revenue.

How does TSMC benefit from Magnificent Seven AI spending?

Each major AI chip developer is a foundry customer: Nvidia and Apple buy advanced chips, Amazon uses TSMC for custom silicon, Meta designs custom AI chips with Broadcom on TSMC, and Alphabet's TPUs are built in conjunction with Broadcom. Agentic AI is also lifting CPU demand, and TSMC serves x86, Arm, and RISC-V designs.