News report 💱 Forex 🌍 United States

US Dollar Targets 103.00 Resistance as Fed Signals 50bp Hike Potential

The US Dollar is poised to test 103.00 resistance as Fed member Chris Waller signals a potential 50bp rate hike at the 9 December FOMC meeting following persistent inflation.

🕐 1 min read

1 assets impacted (Forex). Net bias: 1 Bullish, 0 Bearish, 0 Neutral. Strongest signal: USD ↑ 6/10 (75% confidence).

📊 Affected Assets (1)

USD
Bullish 🤖 75%
📅 Short-term 🌍 US · Explicit

October CPI came in hot for a third straight month and Fed's Chris Waller threatened to vote for a 50bp hike at the 9 December FOMC, tightening expectations. ING expects the dollar to stay strong and explore the top of ranges for weeks, with bearish yield-curve flattening favouring USD. Friday's October PPI could extend the move if hot.

Catalysts
  • ▲ Waller's threat to back a 50bp hike at the 9 December FOMC if inflation stays hot
  • ▲ Third consecutive hot October CPI print
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Outlook relies on another hot PPI print; softer data would undercut dollar strength
  • ▼ Labour-market acceleration is framed as a possibility ('could be'), not confirmed

🧭 Full analysis of these assets

🎯 Key Takeaways

  • Fed member Chris Waller threatened to vote for a 50bp rate hike at the 9 December FOMC meeting.
  • October CPI data printed hot for the third consecutive month.
  • ING expects the DXY to retest resistance levels at 102.85 and 103.00 in the coming weeks.
  • Bearish yield curve flattening is currently supporting the dollar against procyclical currencies.

📝 Executive Summary

The US Dollar remains near yearly highs following a third consecutive month of hot CPI data and hawkish rhetoric from Fed member Chris Waller. ING analysts expect the greenback to maintain strength and test resistance levels at 102.85 and 103.00 as the yield curve undergoes bearish flattening.

❓ FAQ

Why is the dollar strengthening now?

October CPI was hot for the third month in a row and Fed member Chris Waller said he could vote for a 50bp rate hike at the 9 December FOMC, which ING says supports the dollar against activity currencies.

How long could the dollar's strength last?

ING expects the dollar to stay strong and test the top end of trading ranges over the coming weeks, with DXY possibly retesting resistance at 102.85/103.00.