News report 💱 Forex 🌍 GLOBAL

USD/CAD Trades at 1.4110 as Hawkish Fed Rhetoric Supports Dollar

USD/CAD hovers at 1.4110 as hawkish Fed rhetoric offsets technical pressure from a descending channel, with the pair supported by key moving averages.

🕐 1 min read

2 assets impacted (Forex). Net bias: 2 Bullish, 0 Bearish, 0 Neutral. Strongest signal: USD ↑ 3/10 (60% confidence).

📊 Affected Assets (2)

USD
Bullish 🤖 60%
📅 Short-term 🌍 US ✨ Inferred

Fed officials Barkin and Goolsbee signalled persistent core CPI inflation, especially in services, with justification for future hikes, and Rabobank notes a more hawkish lilt across the FOMC. The FXS Fed Sentiment Index staying elevated reinforces a constructive backdrop for the dollar against major peers.

Catalysts
  • ▲ Hawkish FOMC rhetoric on persistent services CPI inflation on November 9-10
  • ▲ Elevated FXS Fed Sentiment Index
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Both speakers cited are non-voters or alternate voters, limiting policy weight
USD/CAD
Bullish 🤖 55%
📅 Short-term 🌍 GLOBAL · Explicit

The pair trades around 1.4110 on November 10 after two days of losses but stays above the nine-day EMA at 1.4062 and 50-day EMA at 1.4056, with RSI near 56 signalling positive momentum. Hawkish Fed rhetoric from Barkin and Goolsbee on persistent services CPI inflation supports the dollar. A bearish daily descending channel caps upside near 1.4140, limiting conviction.

Catalysts
  • ▲ Hawkish Fed speakers (Barkin, Goolsbee) citing persistent core services CPI and justification for future hikes
  • ▲ Pair holding above nine-day EMA at 1.4062 and 50-day EMA at 1.4056
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Price remains within a bearish descending channel on the daily chart
  • ▼ Second consecutive day of losses with resistance at channel top near 1.4140

🧭 Full analysis of these assets

🎯 Key Takeaways

  • USD/CAD trades at 1.4110, remaining above the nine-day EMA of 1.4062 and 50-day EMA of 1.4056.
  • Fed officials Barkin and Goolsbee cited persistent core services CPI as justification for future rate hikes.
  • The pair faces immediate resistance at the descending channel's upper boundary of 1.4140.
  • A break below the 50-day EMA could target the May 21 low of 1.3732.

📝 Executive Summary

The USD/CAD pair trades near 1.4110 on November 10, marking its second consecutive day of losses. Despite the pullback, the pair maintains a bullish near-term bias by holding above the nine-day EMA of 1.4062 and the 50-day EMA of 1.4056. Support for the US Dollar is bolstered by hawkish comments from Fed officials Thomas Barkin and Austan Goolsbee regarding persistent core services inflation.

❓ FAQ

USD · Is the dollar getting support from the Fed?

Yes, Fed speakers Barkin and Goolsbee stressed persistent core services inflation and justification for future hikes, which aligns with a more hawkish FOMC tone and supports the dollar.

USD/CAD · Where are the key levels for USD/CAD now?

Immediate resistance sits at the descending channel's upper boundary around 1.4140, with the October 14 high of 1.4299 above. Support lies at the nine-day EMA at 1.4062, then the 50-day EMA at 1.4056, and a break lower could target 1.3850 and 1.3732.

USD/CAD · Why is the dollar supported against the Canadian dollar?

Fed speakers Thomas Barkin and Austan Goolsbee pointed to persistent core services inflation and justification for future rate hikes, a more hawkish tone that strengthens the dollar against the Canadian dollar.