AUD/JPY 2H SELL

· 13 hours ago
SELL
93%
▼ SELL
VERY STRONG
Intraday
Prognose: 61% historisch
⚡ Confluence +56%
▲ Bullish 7% (4.02) ▼ Bearish 93% (50.60)
AUD/JPY  ·  2H
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
DEMA Retreat Down indicator 2.40
BBANDS LOWER Break Down indicator 2.27
Trendline Break Down trendline 2.07
Trendline Retreat Down trendline 2.06
Resistance Level Retreat Down sr 1.76
BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down indicator 1.65
Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (100%) fibonacci 1.53
STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.46
CMO Zero Cross Down indicator 1.45
RSI Midline Cross Down indicator 1.45
BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.37
DX Trend Weak indicator 1.35
DI CROSS Cross Down indicator 1.26
WILLR OS Entry indicator 1.20
DM CROSS Cross Down indicator 1.11
Closing Marubozu Bearish candlestick 0.96
Bearish Engulfing candlestick 0.81

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid Trend
30M
DOWNTrend Forming
1H
DOWNChoppy / Sideways
2H
DOWNTrend Forming
4H
UPTrend Forming
8H
UPTrend Forming
12H
UPSolid Trend
1D
UPChoppy / Sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Multiple bearish signals fired on 2H, indicating strong selling momentum.
  • Bearish alignment on lower timeframes supports immediate downside, but higher timeframes remain bullish.
  • Key support at 113.866 is the pivotal level; a break below opens further downside.
  • Resistance at 114.658 must hold for bearish bias to remain valid.
The AUD/JPY 2H chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including Trendline Retreat Down, Trendline Break Down, and multiple zero-line crosses (BOP, CMO, DI, DM) alongside an RSI Midline Cross Down. This confluence indicates strong selling pressure and momentum shift to the downside on the 2H timeframe. The bearish alignment across lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h) supports the immediate downtrend, while the 2H itself is forming a trend. However, higher timeframes (4H to 1D) remain bullish, suggesting this is a counter-trend move within a larger uptrend. Key resistance at 114.658 has been rejected, and price is now testing support at 113.866. A break below this level could accelerate selling, while a bounce may signal a false breakout.

Traders should monitor the 113.866 support closely. If it holds, the bearish move may be a pullback within the broader bullish structure. The high signal probability (97%) and very strong strength underscore conviction, but the conflicting higher timeframe trend warrants caution. The invalidation level for this bearish view is a reclaim of the 114.658 resistance.
Catalysts
  • Confluence of trendline breaks, zero-line crosses, and RSI midline cross on 2H.
  • Bearish trend across 15m, 30m, and 1h timeframes aligning with the 2H signal.
  • High signal probability (97%) and very strong strength rating.
Risk Factors
  • Higher timeframes (4H to 1D) are bullish, suggesting this could be a pullback within an uptrend.
  • Support at 113.866 may hold, leading to a bounce and reversal.
  • Nearby resistance at 114.658 could be retested if selling momentum fades.
  • Weak trend scores on some timeframes indicate choppy conditions.
Symbol AUD/JPY
Timeframe 2H
Direction SELL
Probability 93%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-07-28 06:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 114.65800 2026-07-27
S1 113.86600 2026-07-22
S2 113.00900 2026-07-20
S3 112.18000 2026-07-10

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