AUD/JPY – 2H – SELL
SELL
93%
▲ Bullish 7% (4.02)
▼ Bearish 93% (50.60)
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Signal evolution
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | DEMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.40 |
| ▼ | BBANDS LOWER Break Down | indicator | 2.27 |
| ▼ | Trendline Break Down | trendline | 2.07 |
| ▼ | Trendline Retreat Down | trendline | 2.06 |
| ▼ | Resistance Level Retreat Down | sr | 1.76 |
| ▼ | BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down | indicator | 1.65 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (100%) | fibonacci | 1.53 |
| ▼ | STOCHF KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.46 |
| ▼ | CMO Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.45 |
| ▼ | RSI Midline Cross Down | indicator | 1.45 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.37 |
| ▼ | DX Trend Weak | indicator | 1.35 |
| ▼ | DI CROSS Cross Down | indicator | 1.26 |
| ▲ | WILLR OS Entry | indicator | 1.20 |
| ▼ | DM CROSS Cross Down | indicator | 1.11 |
| ▼ | Closing Marubozu Bearish | candlestick | 0.96 |
| ▼ | Bearish Engulfing | candlestick | 0.81 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNSolid Trend
30MDOWNTrend Forming
1HDOWNChoppy / Sideways
2HDOWNTrend Forming
4HUPTrend Forming
8HUPTrend Forming
12HUPSolid Trend
1DUPChoppy / Sideways
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Multiple bearish signals fired on 2H, indicating strong selling momentum.
- Bearish alignment on lower timeframes supports immediate downside, but higher timeframes remain bullish.
- Key support at 113.866 is the pivotal level; a break below opens further downside.
- Resistance at 114.658 must hold for bearish bias to remain valid.
The AUD/JPY 2H chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including Trendline Retreat Down, Trendline Break Down, and multiple zero-line crosses (BOP, CMO, DI, DM) alongside an RSI Midline Cross Down. This confluence indicates strong selling pressure and momentum shift to the downside on the 2H timeframe. The bearish alignment across lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h) supports the immediate downtrend, while the 2H itself is forming a trend. However, higher timeframes (4H to 1D) remain bullish, suggesting this is a counter-trend move within a larger uptrend. Key resistance at 114.658 has been rejected, and price is now testing support at 113.866. A break below this level could accelerate selling, while a bounce may signal a false breakout.
Traders should monitor the 113.866 support closely. If it holds, the bearish move may be a pullback within the broader bullish structure. The high signal probability (97%) and very strong strength underscore conviction, but the conflicting higher timeframe trend warrants caution. The invalidation level for this bearish view is a reclaim of the 114.658 resistance.
Traders should monitor the 113.866 support closely. If it holds, the bearish move may be a pullback within the broader bullish structure. The high signal probability (97%) and very strong strength underscore conviction, but the conflicting higher timeframe trend warrants caution. The invalidation level for this bearish view is a reclaim of the 114.658 resistance.
Catalysts
- ▼ Confluence of trendline breaks, zero-line crosses, and RSI midline cross on 2H.
- ▼ Bearish trend across 15m, 30m, and 1h timeframes aligning with the 2H signal.
- ▼ High signal probability (97%) and very strong strength rating.
Risk Factors
- ▲ Higher timeframes (4H to 1D) are bullish, suggesting this could be a pullback within an uptrend.
- ▲ Support at 113.866 may hold, leading to a bounce and reversal.
- ▲ Nearby resistance at 114.658 could be retested if selling momentum fades.
- ▲ Weak trend scores on some timeframes indicate choppy conditions.
Symbol
AUD/JPY
Timeframe
2H
Direction
SELL
Probability
93%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-07-28 06:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 114.65800 | 2026-07-27 |
| S1 | 113.86600 | 2026-07-22 |
| S2 | 113.00900 | 2026-07-20 |
| S3 | 112.18000 | 2026-07-10 |
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