AUD/JPY – 30M – BUY

2026-07-28 08:30 UTC · 13 hours ago

BUY

88%

▲ BUY

VERY STRONG

Scalping

Prognose: 46% historisch

⚡ Confluence +60%

▲ Bullish 88% (31.85) ▼ Bearish 12% (4.41)

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Fibonacci Break UpTrend (0%)	fibonacci	2.67
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	2.29
▲	Support Level Retreat Up	sr	2.27
▼	Trendline Break Down	trendline	2.19
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.94
▲	CMO OS Exit	indicator	1.82
▲	Bullish Harami	candlestick	1.15
▲	Inverted Hammer	candlestick	1.12
▼	Below The Stomach	candlestick	1.03

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid Trend

30M

DOWNTrend Forming

DOWNChoppy / Sideways

DOWNTrend Forming

UPTrend Forming

12H

UPSolid Trend

UPChoppy / Sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bullish signals align on the 30-minute chart, suggesting a potential reversal from the recent downtrend.
Momentum indicators (BOP, CMO, STOCH) are turning bullish, supporting the case for a move higher.
Key resistance at 114.614 is the immediate upside target; support at 114.053 must hold for the bullish scenario to remain valid.
Higher timeframes are mixed, so the bullish signal is counter-trend on the 15m and 30m but aligns with the 4h and above bullish bias.

AUD/JPY on the 30-minute chart is showing a confluence of bullish signals despite mixed higher timeframe trends. The Trendline Break Down and Fibonacci Break UpTrend (0%) indicate a breakout above a descending trendline and a retracement to the 0% Fibonacci level, suggesting a potential reversal. The BOP Zero Cross Up, CMO OS Exit, and STOCH KD Cross Up point to improving momentum and buying pressure. The Bullish Harami and Inverted Hammer candlestick patterns further support a bullish reversal. However, the 15m and 30m trends are still bearish, but the signals suggest a shift may be underway. Key levels to watch: resistance at 114.614 and support at 114.053. A break above resistance could confirm the bullish move, while a loss of support would invalidate the signal.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of trendline break, Fibonacci retracement, and bullish candlestick patterns (Bullish Harami, Inverted Hammer).
▲ Momentum indicators (BOP, CMO, STOCH) all flashing bullish signals simultaneously.
▲ Higher timeframes (4h to daily) are bullish, providing a supportive macro context.
▲ Strong signal probability (87%) and very strong strength rating.

Risk Factors

▼ The 15m and 30m trends are still bearish, meaning the signal is counter-trend on the lower timeframes.
▼ If price fails to break above resistance at 114.614, the bullish move could stall or reverse.
▼ A break below support at 114.053 would invalidate the bullish setup and suggest continued downside.
▼ Mixed trend scores on higher timeframes (1h choppy, 2h forming) indicate lack of strong alignment.