AUD/JPY – 2H – SELL
SELL
92%
▲ Bullish 8% (2.71)
▼ Bearish 92% (30.73)
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Signal evolution
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | MIDPRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 2.42 |
| ▼ | MIDPOINT Retreat Down | indicator | 2.22 |
| ▼ | DEMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.15 |
| ▼ | Trendline Break Down | trendline | 1.93 |
| ▼ | EMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.92 |
| ▼ | KAMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.92 |
| ▼ | MAMA PRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 1.57 |
| ▲ | ADXR Trend Strong | indicator | 1.51 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (79%) | fibonacci | 1.49 |
| ▼ | STOCHF KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.37 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.32 |
| ▲ | WILLR OS Entry | indicator | 1.26 |
| ▼ | Bearish Engulfing | candlestick | 0.76 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNSolid trend
30MDOWNVery strong trend
1HDOWNSolid trend
2HDOWNTrend forming
4HDOWNTrend forming
8HDOWNTrend forming
12HDOWNSolid trend
1DUPChoppy / sideways
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- AUD/JPY has broken a key trendline on the 2H chart, with multiple indicators confirming bearish momentum.
- Bearish alignment across lower timeframes (15m to 12H) supports continued downside, but the daily trend is still bullish.
- The nearest support at 113.009 is the immediate target; a break below could accelerate selling.
- The high signal density (11 signals) and very strong strength rating suggest a high-confidence bearish setup.
AUD/JPY on the 2H timeframe has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a trendline breakdown and reinforced by multiple momentum and trend indicators all flipping bearish. The ADXR confirms a strong trend, while the BOP zero cross down, STOCHF KD cross down, and WILLR oversold entry all point to sustained selling pressure. The alignment of DEMA, EMA, and KAMA retreat downs further validates the bearish momentum. Across timeframes, the bias is consistently bearish from 15m to 12H, with the 30m showing a very strong trend (4/5). The daily timeframe remains bullish but choppy (1/5), suggesting this is a counter-trend move within the larger uptrend. Key resistance sits at 114.658, while support at 113.009 is the next downside target. The confluence of signals across candlestick, trendline, Fibonacci, and indicator groups gives this setup high probability (91%).
Catalysts
- ▼ Trendline breakdown on 2H, a classic bearish continuation signal.
- ▼ ADXR indicates a strong trend, supporting the bearish move.
- ▼ Confluence of moving average retreat downs (DEMA, EMA, KAMA) confirms momentum shift.
- ▼ Consistent bearish trend across multiple timeframes (15m to 12H), with 30m showing very strong trend.
Risk Factors
- ▲ The daily timeframe is still bullish and choppy, which could limit downside or trigger a reversal.
- ▲ The nearest support at 113.009 is a major level; a bounce there could invalidate the bearish setup.
- ▲ Some indicators (WILLR, STOCHF) are oversold, increasing the risk of a short-term pullback or consolidation.
- ▲ The trend on higher timeframes (4H, 8H) is still forming (2/5), so the bearish move may lack full trend strength.
Symbol
AUD/JPY
Timeframe
2H
Direction
SELL
Probability
92%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-07-29 10:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 114.65800 | 2026-07-27 |
| S1 | 113.00900 | 2026-07-20 |
| S2 | 112.18000 | 2026-07-10 |
| S3 | 111.14800 | 2026-07-02 |
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