AUD/JPY 2H SELL

· 12 hours ago
SELL
92%
▼ SELL
VERY STRONG
Intraday
Prognose: 61% historisch
⚡ Confluence +8%
▲ Bullish 8% (2.71) ▼ Bearish 92% (30.73)
AUD/JPY  ·  2H
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.42
MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 2.22
DEMA Retreat Down indicator 2.15
Trendline Break Down trendline 1.93
EMA Retreat Down indicator 1.92
KAMA Retreat Down indicator 1.92
MAMA PRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.57
ADXR Trend Strong indicator 1.51
Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (79%) fibonacci 1.49
STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.37
BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.32
WILLR OS Entry indicator 1.26
Bearish Engulfing candlestick 0.76

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNVery strong trend
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • AUD/JPY has broken a key trendline on the 2H chart, with multiple indicators confirming bearish momentum.
  • Bearish alignment across lower timeframes (15m to 12H) supports continued downside, but the daily trend is still bullish.
  • The nearest support at 113.009 is the immediate target; a break below could accelerate selling.
  • The high signal density (11 signals) and very strong strength rating suggest a high-confidence bearish setup.
AUD/JPY on the 2H timeframe has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a trendline breakdown and reinforced by multiple momentum and trend indicators all flipping bearish. The ADXR confirms a strong trend, while the BOP zero cross down, STOCHF KD cross down, and WILLR oversold entry all point to sustained selling pressure. The alignment of DEMA, EMA, and KAMA retreat downs further validates the bearish momentum. Across timeframes, the bias is consistently bearish from 15m to 12H, with the 30m showing a very strong trend (4/5). The daily timeframe remains bullish but choppy (1/5), suggesting this is a counter-trend move within the larger uptrend. Key resistance sits at 114.658, while support at 113.009 is the next downside target. The confluence of signals across candlestick, trendline, Fibonacci, and indicator groups gives this setup high probability (91%).
Catalysts
  • Trendline breakdown on 2H, a classic bearish continuation signal.
  • ADXR indicates a strong trend, supporting the bearish move.
  • Confluence of moving average retreat downs (DEMA, EMA, KAMA) confirms momentum shift.
  • Consistent bearish trend across multiple timeframes (15m to 12H), with 30m showing very strong trend.
Risk Factors
  • The daily timeframe is still bullish and choppy, which could limit downside or trigger a reversal.
  • The nearest support at 113.009 is a major level; a bounce there could invalidate the bearish setup.
  • Some indicators (WILLR, STOCHF) are oversold, increasing the risk of a short-term pullback or consolidation.
  • The trend on higher timeframes (4H, 8H) is still forming (2/5), so the bearish move may lack full trend strength.
Symbol AUD/JPY
Timeframe 2H
Direction SELL
Probability 92%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-07-29 10:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 114.65800 2026-07-27
S1 113.00900 2026-07-20
S2 112.18000 2026-07-10
S3 111.14800 2026-07-02

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