EUR/JPY 30M SELL

· 13 hours ago
SELL
65%
▼ SELL
MODERATE
Scalping
Prognose: 31% historisch
⚡ Confluence +16%
▲ Bullish 35% (5.83) ▼ Bearish 65% (10.82)
EUR/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 2.29
EMA CROSS 20 50 Death Cross indicator 2.21
HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 2.16
MA Retreat Down indicator 1.97
EMA Retreat Down indicator 1.82
KAMA Retreat Down indicator 1.82
MOM Zero Cross Down indicator 1.70
ROC Zero Cross Down indicator 1.70
ROCR Cross Down indicator 1.70
DEMA Retreat Down indicator 1.69
Resistance Level Retreat Down sr 1.65
Trendline Retreat Down trendline 1.59
HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend indicator 1.57
Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%) fibonacci 1.45
BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.12
STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.12
Bearish Engulfing candlestick 1.09

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
UPChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
UPTrend forming
12H
UPTrend forming
1D
UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A dense cluster of bearish signals on the 30M timeframe suggests strong selling pressure.
  • Short-term trends (15M, 30M, 1H) are bearish, but higher timeframes are bullish, creating a conflict.
  • Key resistance at 186.67900 holds; a break below support at 186.18000 could accelerate declines.
  • The very strong signal probability (97%) indicates high conviction in the bearish move.
The EUR/JPY pair on the 30-minute timeframe has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, including Trendline Retreat Down, multiple zero-cross downs (BOP, MOM, ROC, ROCR), STOCHF KD Cross Down, and moving average retreats (DEMA, EMA). This confluence across trendline, support/resistance, candlestick, indicator, and Fibonacci groups points to strong selling pressure at current levels. The 30-minute trend is bearish and forming, aligning with the 15-minute and 1-hour bearish biases, though higher timeframes (2H, 8H, 12H, 1D) remain bullish or choppy, creating a mixed backdrop. The nearest resistance at 186.67900 caps upside, while support at 186.18000 is the immediate downside target. Traders should watch for a break below support to confirm further bearish momentum.
Catalysts
  • Multiple zero-cross downs (BOP, MOM, ROC, ROCR) confirm momentum shift to bearish.
  • Trendline Retreat Down and moving average retreats (DEMA, EMA) align with bearish structure.
  • STOCHF KD Cross Down adds short-term overbought-to-bearish reversal signal.
  • Signal confluence across five groups (trendline, sr, candlestick, indicator, fibonacci) strengthens the case.
Risk Factors
  • Higher timeframes (2H, 8H, 12H, 1D) remain bullish, which could limit downside or reverse the move.
  • The 1H and 4H trends are choppy/sideways, indicating lack of strong trend conviction.
  • A break above resistance at 186.67900 would invalidate the bearish setup.
  • Fading momentum on the 30M or a bounce at support could lead to a false breakout.
Symbol EUR/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Probability 65%
Strength MODERATE
Date 2026-07-29 13:30
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 186.67900 2026-07-28
R2 186.73300 2026-07-27
S1 186.18000 2026-07-29
S2 186.04300 2026-07-28

Tags

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