USD/JPY 8H SELL

· 12 hours ago
SELL
94%
▼ SELL
VERY STRONG
Swing
Prognose: 69% historisch
⚡ Confluence +60%
▲ Bullish 6% (4.25) ▼ Bearish 94% (65.14)
USD/JPY  ·  8H
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Williams %R Regular Bear Div divergence 3.22
Stoch Regular Bear Div divergence 3.12
MACD Regular Bear Div divergence 2.77
ULTOSC OB Exit indicator 2.13
WILLR OB Exit indicator 2.12
TEMA Retreat Down indicator 1.94
SAR Flip Bearish indicator 1.87
MACD Signal Cross Down indicator 1.70
Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (100%) fibonacci 1.63
STOCH KD Cross Down indicator 1.55
Resistance Level Retreat Down sr 1.53
CCI Zero Cross Down indicator 1.52
Trendline Retreat Down trendline 1.51
HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down indicator 1.44
MOM Zero Cross Down indicator 1.41
ROC Zero Cross Down indicator 1.41
ROCR Cross Down indicator 1.41
DX Trend Weak indicator 1.34

Trend Context

15M
UPSolid trend
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
UPChoppy / sideways
12H
UPTrend forming
1D
UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Bearish cluster on 8H with multiple momentum and trendline signals suggests selling pressure.
  • Higher timeframes (8H-1D) remain bullish, so this is likely a correction within an uptrend.
  • Key resistance at 163.98400 held; nearest support at 161.27600 is the target.
  • DX Trend Weak indicates low momentum, so the move may not be sustained.
USD/JPY on the 8H timeframe has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, including Trendline Retreat Down, CCI Zero Cross Down, and multiple momentum cross-downs (MACD, MOM, ROC, ROCR, STOCH KD). The confluence of indicator, trendline, and divergence groups suggests strong selling pressure at the current level. However, the higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) remain bullish, indicating this is likely a corrective move within a larger uptrend. The key resistance at 163.98400 has held, and the nearest support at 161.27600 is the immediate downside target. The bearish alignment on the lower timeframes (30m-2H) supports a short-term sell bias, but the overall trend conflict warrants caution.

The DX Trend Weak signal confirms a lack of strong directional momentum, which could mean the bearish move is short-lived. The heavy signal count (10+ signals) increases the probability of a downside move, but traders should watch for a bounce at support or a break above resistance to invalidate the sell setup. The 93% probability reflects strong signal confluence, but the bullish higher timeframe trend is a significant risk factor.
Catalysts
  • Confluence of 10+ bearish signals across indicator, trendline, and divergence groups.
  • CCI and MACD cross-downs confirm bearish momentum shift.
  • Trendline Retreat Down signal indicates rejection at a key trendline.
  • Lower timeframe alignment (30m-2H) supports short-term bearish bias.
Risk Factors
  • Higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are bullish, suggesting the sell-off may be temporary.
  • DX Trend Weak implies low trend strength, which could lead to choppy price action.
  • Support at 161.27600 is a significant level; a bounce could invalidate the sell setup.
  • If price breaks above 163.98400 resistance, the bearish signal would be negated.
Symbol USD/JPY
Timeframe 8H
Direction SELL
Probability 94%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-07-29 00:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 163.98400 2026-07-23
S1 161.27600 2026-07-10
S2 160.48800 2026-07-03

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