AUD/JPY 30M SELL

· 14 hours ago
SELL
93%
▼ SELL
VERY STRONG
Scalping
Prognose: 61% historisch
⚡ Confluence +60%
▲ Bullish 7% (1.75) ▼ Bearish 93% (22.78)
AUD/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
TEMA Retreat Down indicator 2.06
Trendline Retreat Down trendline 1.92
EMA 200 Retreat Down indicator 1.86
HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 1.85
MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 1.75
CMO Zero Cross Down indicator 1.60
RSI Midline Cross Down indicator 1.60
Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%) fibonacci 1.58
BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.32
MAMA PRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.22
DX Trend Weak indicator 1.10
Shooting Star candlestick 0.84

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Multiple retreat signals from key trendlines and EMAs confirm bearish pressure on AUD/JPY.
  • Bearish alignment across all intraday timeframes supports the sell signal, but the daily trend is still bullish.
  • Watch for a break below 113.448 support to confirm continuation; a move above 114.110 would invalidate the setup.
AUD/JPY on the 30-minute timeframe has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, including multiple retreats from trendlines (trendline, HT TRENDLINE, EMA 200, MAMA PRICE) and zero-cross downs on BOP and CMO, alongside an RSI midline cross down. The DX Trend Weak signal suggests the downtrend lacks strong momentum, but the convergence of eight distinct signals across trendline, indicator, and candlestick groups points to a coordinated bearish push. The bearish trend is consistent across all intraday timeframes from 15m to 12h, all showing trend formation with a strength score of 2/5, indicating early-stage but aligned bearish momentum. The daily timeframe remains bullish but choppy, creating a potential higher timeframe conflict. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 114.110 and support at 113.448; a break below support would confirm further downside, while a reclaim of resistance could invalidate the bearish setup.
Catalysts
  • Confluence of eight bearish signals across trendline, indicator, and candlestick groups.
  • Consistent bearish trend formation across 15m to 12h timeframes (all 2/5 strength).
  • Price retreating from multiple dynamic resistance levels (EMA 200, MAMA PRICE, HT TRENDLINE).
  • BOP and CMO zero-cross downs indicate selling pressure and negative momentum.
Risk Factors
  • Daily timeframe is still bullish and choppy, which may limit downside or cause a reversal.
  • DX Trend Weak signal suggests the downtrend lacks strong momentum, increasing the chance of a bounce.
  • Nearest support at 113.448 is a potential area for buyers to step in; failure to break could lead to consolidation.
  • Overlapping signals on a short timeframe (30M) may lead to noise or false breakout if not confirmed on higher timeframes.
Symbol AUD/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Probability 93%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-07-30 15:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 114.11000 2026-07-29
R2 114.33100 2026-07-29
R3 114.34000 2026-07-28
S1 113.44800 2026-07-29
S2 113.42400 2026-07-29

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