USD/JPY 2H SELL

· 14 hours ago
SELL
93%
▼ SELL
VERY STRONG
Intraday
Prognose: 61% historisch
⚡ Confluence +60%
▲ Bullish 7% (3.04) ▼ Bearish 93% (38.69)
USD/JPY  ·  2H
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Double Top chart_pattern 2.73
EMA CROSS 20 50 Death Cross indicator 2.21
Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (79%) fibonacci 2.17
Trendline Retreat Down trendline 2.09
Resistance Level Retreat Down sr 2.09
BBANDS LOWER Break Down indicator 1.94
MA Retreat Down indicator 1.91
Trendline Break Down trendline 1.71
STOCH KD Cross Down indicator 1.70
SAR Flip Bearish indicator 1.67
SMA 50 Retreat Down indicator 1.62
BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.50
CMO Zero Cross Down indicator 1.46
RSI Midline Cross Down indicator 1.46
BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down indicator 1.46
Tweezers Top candlestick 1.01

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
UPTrend forming
1D
UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish confluence from multiple indicators and patterns on 2H.
  • Short-term timeframes aligned bearish, but higher timeframes mixed.
  • Key support at 162.201; a break below could extend losses.
  • Resistance at 163.947 caps upside; a reclaim would weaken bearish case.
USD/JPY on the 2H timeframe has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Double Top pattern, Trendline Break Down, and multiple momentum crossovers (BOP, CMO, RSI, STOCH). This confluence suggests strong selling pressure, with price breaking below the lower Bollinger Band, indicating elevated volatility to the downside. The bearish alignment across 15m, 30m, 1h, and 2h timeframes reinforces the short-term downtrend, though higher timeframes (4H, 8H) show choppy conditions and the 12H/1D remain bullish, creating a potential conflict. Key levels to watch are the nearest support at 162.201 and resistance at 163.947. A break below support could accelerate selling, while a bounce from support may lead to consolidation or reversal.
Catalysts
  • Double Top pattern completed with trendline breakdown.
  • Multiple momentum oscillators (RSI, STOCH, CMO, BOP) all crossing down.
  • Price breaking below lower Bollinger Band, confirming volatility expansion.
  • Consistent bearish trend across 15m to 2H timeframes.
Risk Factors
  • Higher timeframe trends (12H, 1D) remain bullish, suggesting potential for a pullback or reversal.
  • Choppy/sideways conditions on 4H and 8H may limit downside momentum.
  • Nearest support at 162.201 could act as a strong floor, leading to a bounce.
  • Overextended move below Bollinger Bands may attract mean reversion buying.
Symbol USD/JPY
Timeframe 2H
Direction SELL
Probability 93%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-07-30 12:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 163.94700 2026-07-28
R2 163.98400 2026-07-23
S1 162.20100 2026-07-20
S2 161.89100 2026-07-15
S3 161.60300 2026-07-14

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