AUD/CAD – 4H – BUY
BUY
81%
▲ Bullish 81% (54.90)
▼ Bearish 19% (13.20)
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Signal evolution
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Triple Top | chart_pattern | 3.52 |
| ▼ | Double Top | chart_pattern | 3.48 |
| ▼ | Trendline Break Down | trendline | 2.65 |
| ▲ | MAMA PRICE Retreat Up | indicator | 2.24 |
| ▲ | MIDPOINT Retreat Up | indicator | 2.22 |
| ▲ | DEMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.17 |
| ▲ | Fibonacci Retreat UpTrend (24%) | fibonacci | 2.04 |
| ▲ | MIDPRICE Retreat Up | indicator | 2.02 |
| ▲ | EMA Retreat Up | indicator | 1.95 |
| ▲ | KAMA Retreat Up | indicator | 1.95 |
| ▲ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up | indicator | 1.70 |
| ▲ | MA Retreat Up | indicator | 1.67 |
| ▲ | BOP Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.60 |
| ▲ | MACD Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.60 |
| ▲ | STOCHF KD Cross Up | indicator | 1.57 |
| ▲ | DX Trend Strong | indicator | 1.49 |
| ▲ | Bullish Separating Lines | candlestick | 0.94 |
| ▲ | Belt Hold Bullish | candlestick | 0.82 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNChoppy / sideways
30MDOWNSolid trend
1HUPSolid trend
2HUPSolid trend
4HUPTrend forming
8HUPChoppy / sideways
12HUPChoppy / sideways
1DDOWNChoppy / sideways
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bullish signal on 4H with multiple confirmations.
- Trend alignment is bullish on 1H-8H, supporting the move.
- Watch resistance at 0.98802 for potential breakout.
- Support at 0.98016 is the key invalidation level.
The AUD/CAD 4H signal is strongly bullish, backed by a confluence of technical events. The break of the descending trendline, combined with a Double Top and Triple Top pattern resolution, indicates a shift in market structure from bearish to bullish. The MACD and BOP zero cross ups, along with the STOCHF KD cross up, confirm increasing bullish momentum. The DEMA retreat up adds to the bullish case, while the strong DX trend score supports the strength of the move.
Across timeframes, the trend is bullish from 1H to 8H, with the 4H trend forming and 1H/2H showing solid trends. This alignment suggests the bullish bias is well supported on the higher timeframes, although the 15M and 1D are bearish, indicating potential for short-term pullbacks. Key levels to watch: resistance at 0.98802 and support at 0.98016. A break above resistance could open further upside, while a move below support would invalidate the bullish setup.
Across timeframes, the trend is bullish from 1H to 8H, with the 4H trend forming and 1H/2H showing solid trends. This alignment suggests the bullish bias is well supported on the higher timeframes, although the 15M and 1D are bearish, indicating potential for short-term pullbacks. Key levels to watch: resistance at 0.98802 and support at 0.98016. A break above resistance could open further upside, while a move below support would invalidate the bullish setup.
Catalysts
- ▲ Trendline break and chart patterns (Double Top, Triple Top) signal reversal.
- ▲ MACD and BOP zero cross ups confirm bullish momentum.
- ▲ Strong DX trend score indicates a strong trend.
- ▲ DEMA retreat up and STOCHF cross up add to bullish confluence.
Risk Factors
- ▼ Bearish 15M and 1D timeframes could lead to pullbacks.
- ▼ Nearest resistance at 0.98802 may cap upside.
- ▼ If price falls below support at 0.98016, the bullish thesis is invalidated.
- ▼ Momentum could fade if the strong trend score weakens.
Symbol
AUD/CAD
Timeframe
4H
Direction
BUY
Probability
81%
Strength
STRONG
Date
2026-07-31 08:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 0.98802 | 2026-07-27 |
| R2 | 0.98875 | 2026-07-22 |
| R3 | 0.98883 | 2026-07-07 |
| S1 | 0.98016 | 2026-07-23 |
| S2 | 0.97526 | 2026-07-20 |