AUD/JPY – 2H – SELL
SELL
95%
▲ Bullish 5% (1.48)
▼ Bearish 95% (26.03)
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Signal evolution
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Rectangle | chart_pattern | 3.08 |
| ▼ | Bear Flag | chart_pattern | 2.93 |
| ▼ | EMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.53 |
| ▼ | SMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.52 |
| ▼ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down | indicator | 2.22 |
| ▼ | EMA CROSS 50 200 Death Cross | indicator | 2.21 |
| ▼ | Trendline Break Down | trendline | 2.17 |
| ▼ | KAMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.16 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (50%) | fibonacci | 1.87 |
| ▲ | MACD Signal Cross Up | indicator | 1.67 |
| ▼ | STOCHF KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.59 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.50 |
| ▼ | Bearish Engulfing | candlestick | 0.99 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNTrend forming
30MDOWNChoppy / sideways
1HDOWNSolid trend
2HDOWNSolid trend
4HDOWNTrend forming
8HDOWNTrend forming
12HDOWNTrend forming
1DDOWNChoppy / sideways
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- A high-conviction SELL signal on AUD/JPY 2H, backed by multiple bearish patterns and indicators.
- All timeframes are bearish, with the strongest trends on 1H and 2H, supporting the downtrend.
- Watch the 114.658 resistance as the key invalidation level; a break above would negate the signal.
- The 112.180 support is the next target; a break below it could accelerate the decline.
The AUD/JPY 2H chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Trendline Break Down, Rectangle breakdown, Bear Flag, BOP Zero Cross Down, and a Death Cross on the 50/200 EMA, alongside multiple candlestick and Fibonacci confirmations. The confluence of these patterns across chart patterns, indicators, and trendlines points to a strong bearish momentum. Across timeframes, the bias is uniformly bearish, with the 1H and 2H showing solid trends (3/5) and the 15M beginning to form a trend, while higher timeframes (4H to 12H) are also bearish but still forming. This alignment supports the continuation of the downtrend.
Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 114.658, which now acts as a potential pivot for bearish continuation, and the nearest support at 112.180, a zone where selling pressure may face a bounce. The signal's high probability (96%) and very strong strength reflect the exceptional confluence of bearish factors. However, the 30M and 1D timeframes are choppy/sideways, indicating some underlying uncertainty. A break below the support would confirm further downside, while a reclaim of the resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 114.658, which now acts as a potential pivot for bearish continuation, and the nearest support at 112.180, a zone where selling pressure may face a bounce. The signal's high probability (96%) and very strong strength reflect the exceptional confluence of bearish factors. However, the 30M and 1D timeframes are choppy/sideways, indicating some underlying uncertainty. A break below the support would confirm further downside, while a reclaim of the resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
Catalysts
- ▼ Strong confluence of bearish signals: Trendline Break Down, Rectangle, Bear Flag, and Death Cross.
- ▼ Uniform bearish trend across all timeframes, with solid trends on 1H and 2H.
- ▼ BOP Zero Cross Down and STOCHF KD Cross Down indicate selling pressure and momentum shift.
- ▼ High signal probability (96%) and very strong strength reflect exceptional alignment.
Risk Factors
- ▲ Choppy/sideways conditions on 30M and 1D timeframes may lead to false breakouts or whipsaws.
- ▲ If price reclaims the 114.658 resistance, the bearish setup is invalidated and a bounce could occur.
- ▲ Momentum could fade if the RSI or MACD shows bullish divergence, signaling a potential reversal.
- ▲ The nearest support at 112.180 may act as a strong floor, causing a pause or reversal if reached.
Symbol
AUD/JPY
Timeframe
2H
Direction
SELL
Probability
95%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-07-31 08:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 114.65800 | 2026-07-27 |
| S1 | 112.18000 | 2026-07-10 |
| S2 | 111.14800 | 2026-07-02 |
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