AUD/JPY 2H SELL

· 14 hours ago
SELL
95%
▼ SELL
VERY STRONG
Intraday
Prognose: 61% historisch
▲ Bullish 5% (1.48) ▼ Bearish 95% (26.03)
AUD/JPY  ·  2H
Loading…
Signal evolution

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Rectangle chart_pattern 3.08
Bear Flag chart_pattern 2.93
EMA Retreat Down indicator 2.53
SMA Retreat Down indicator 2.52
HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 2.22
EMA CROSS 50 200 Death Cross indicator 2.21
Trendline Break Down trendline 2.17
KAMA Retreat Down indicator 2.16
Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (50%) fibonacci 1.87
MACD Signal Cross Up indicator 1.67
STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.59
BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.50
Bearish Engulfing candlestick 0.99

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A high-conviction SELL signal on AUD/JPY 2H, backed by multiple bearish patterns and indicators.
  • All timeframes are bearish, with the strongest trends on 1H and 2H, supporting the downtrend.
  • Watch the 114.658 resistance as the key invalidation level; a break above would negate the signal.
  • The 112.180 support is the next target; a break below it could accelerate the decline.
The AUD/JPY 2H chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Trendline Break Down, Rectangle breakdown, Bear Flag, BOP Zero Cross Down, and a Death Cross on the 50/200 EMA, alongside multiple candlestick and Fibonacci confirmations. The confluence of these patterns across chart patterns, indicators, and trendlines points to a strong bearish momentum. Across timeframes, the bias is uniformly bearish, with the 1H and 2H showing solid trends (3/5) and the 15M beginning to form a trend, while higher timeframes (4H to 12H) are also bearish but still forming. This alignment supports the continuation of the downtrend.

Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 114.658, which now acts as a potential pivot for bearish continuation, and the nearest support at 112.180, a zone where selling pressure may face a bounce. The signal's high probability (96%) and very strong strength reflect the exceptional confluence of bearish factors. However, the 30M and 1D timeframes are choppy/sideways, indicating some underlying uncertainty. A break below the support would confirm further downside, while a reclaim of the resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
Catalysts
  • Strong confluence of bearish signals: Trendline Break Down, Rectangle, Bear Flag, and Death Cross.
  • Uniform bearish trend across all timeframes, with solid trends on 1H and 2H.
  • BOP Zero Cross Down and STOCHF KD Cross Down indicate selling pressure and momentum shift.
  • High signal probability (96%) and very strong strength reflect exceptional alignment.
Risk Factors
  • Choppy/sideways conditions on 30M and 1D timeframes may lead to false breakouts or whipsaws.
  • If price reclaims the 114.658 resistance, the bearish setup is invalidated and a bounce could occur.
  • Momentum could fade if the RSI or MACD shows bullish divergence, signaling a potential reversal.
  • The nearest support at 112.180 may act as a strong floor, causing a pause or reversal if reached.
Symbol AUD/JPY
Timeframe 2H
Direction SELL
Probability 95%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-07-31 08:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 114.65800 2026-07-27
S1 112.18000 2026-07-10
S2 111.14800 2026-07-02

Tags

Similar Signals