AUD/JPY – 8H – BUY
BUY
68%
▲ Bullish 68% (19.57)
▼ Bearish 32% (9.04)
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Signal evolution
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Triple Top | chart_pattern | 3.21 |
| ▼ | Double Top | chart_pattern | 3.16 |
| ▼ | Trendline Break Down | trendline | 2.76 |
| ▲ | Fibonacci Break UpTrend (0%) | fibonacci | 1.84 |
| ▲ | CMO OS Exit | indicator | 1.83 |
| ▲ | RSI OS Exit | indicator | 1.81 |
| ▲ | ADX Trend Strong | indicator | 1.50 |
| ▲ | BOP Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.46 |
| ▲ | Support Level Retreat Up | sr | 1.44 |
| ▼ | HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down | indicator | 1.42 |
| ▲ | STOCHRSI KD Cross Up | indicator | 1.36 |
| ▲ | Belt Hold Bullish | candlestick | 0.98 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNTrend forming
30MDOWNChoppy / sideways
1HDOWNSolid trend
2HDOWNSolid trend
4HDOWNTrend forming
8HDOWNTrend forming
12HDOWNTrend forming
1DDOWNChoppy / sideways
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- A cluster of bullish reversal signals fired on the 8H chart, but the broader trend is firmly bearish across all timeframes.
- Oversold indicators (RSI, CMO, StochRSI) suggest a bounce is possible, but it may be short-lived without higher timeframe confirmation.
- Key levels: resistance at 114.65800 and support at 112.18000. A break above resistance could signal a stronger reversal, while losing support would negate the bullish setup.
The 8H chart for AUD/JPY has fired a cluster of bullish signals despite the broader bearish trend across all timeframes. The Trendline Break Down, Double Top, and Triple Top patterns suggest a potential reversal from a prolonged downtrend, while the ADX Trend Strong indicates that the prevailing bearish move may be losing steam. Oversold conditions, as highlighted by the CMO OS Exit, RSI OS Exit, and STOCHRSI KD Cross Up, point to a possible bounce. The BOP Zero Cross Up adds a bullish momentum shift, and the additional signals from candlestick, fibonacci, sr, and trendline groups reinforce the case for a corrective rally.
However, the alignment across timeframes is not supportive: every timeframe from 15m to 1d is bearish, with the 1H and 2H showing solid downtrends. This suggests that any bullish move is likely counter-trend and may face strong selling pressure. The nearest resistance at 114.65800 is a key barrier; a break above it could open the door to further upside, but failure to hold above support at 112.18000 would invalidate the bullish thesis. Traders should watch for a shift in higher timeframe momentum to confirm a true reversal.
However, the alignment across timeframes is not supportive: every timeframe from 15m to 1d is bearish, with the 1H and 2H showing solid downtrends. This suggests that any bullish move is likely counter-trend and may face strong selling pressure. The nearest resistance at 114.65800 is a key barrier; a break above it could open the door to further upside, but failure to hold above support at 112.18000 would invalidate the bullish thesis. Traders should watch for a shift in higher timeframe momentum to confirm a true reversal.
Catalysts
- ▲ Multiple reversal patterns (Trendline Break Down, Double Top, Triple Top) converging on the 8H timeframe.
- ▲ Oversold conditions on RSI, CMO, and StochRSI, with a bullish crossover in StochRSI, indicate potential buying pressure.
- ▲ BOP Zero Cross Up shows improving buying pressure, and ADX Trend Strong suggests the bearish trend may be maturing.
Risk Factors
- ▼ All timeframes are bearish, with 1H and 2H showing solid downtrends, which could overpower any counter-trend bounce.
- ▼ The nearest resistance at 114.65800 is a major hurdle; if price fails to break above it, the bullish signal may fail.
- ▼ A break below support at 112.18000 would invalidate the bullish setup and likely resume the downtrend.
- ▼ The probability of 68% is moderate, and the overall trend alignment is weak, so the signal may be a short-term correction rather than a full reversal.
Symbol
AUD/JPY
Timeframe
8H
Direction
BUY
Probability
68%
Strength
MODERATE
Date
2026-07-31 00:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 114.65800 | 2026-07-27 |
| S1 | 112.18000 | 2026-07-10 |
| S2 | 111.14800 | 2026-07-02 |
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