AUD/USD – 8H – BUY
BUY
85%
▲ Bullish 85% (39.22)
▼ Bearish 15% (7.13)
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Signal evolution
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | MAMA PRICE Break Up | indicator | 2.64 |
| ▲ | MIDPRICE Break Up | indicator | 2.57 |
| ▲ | MIDPOINT Break Up | indicator | 2.54 |
| ▲ | DEMA Break Up | indicator | 2.43 |
| ▲ | EMA Break Up | indicator | 2.37 |
| ▲ | HT TRENDLINE Break Up | indicator | 2.27 |
| ▲ | KAMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.19 |
| ▲ | MA Break Up | indicator | 2.04 |
| ▼ | STOCHRSI KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.93 |
| ▲ | MACD Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.62 |
| ▼ | Trendline Retreat Down | trendline | 1.56 |
| ▼ | Bearish Harami Cross | candlestick | 0.96 |
| ▲ | Long Legged Doji | candlestick | 0.84 |
Trend Context
15MUPTrend forming
30MUPSolid trend
1HUPVery strong trend
2HUPSolid trend
4HUPTrend forming
8HUPTrend forming
12HUPChoppy / sideways
1DDOWNChoppy / sideways
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bullish confluence on the 8H chart with multiple signals firing.
- Lower timeframes are bullish, but higher timeframes are not yet aligned, indicating a possible counter-trend rally.
- Key support at 0.69616 must hold to maintain the bullish bias.
- Momentum is strong, but traders should be cautious of the larger bearish trend.
The AUD/USD 8H signal is strongly bullish, with a confluence of trendline, candlestick, and indicator signals aligning. The break above the major trendline, coupled with the MACD zero cross up and the DEMA/EMA break ups, indicates a shift in momentum from bearish to bullish. The KAMA retreat up and the MA break up further confirm the upward bias. The trend across lower timeframes is consistently bullish, with the 1H showing a very strong trend (4/5), which supports the 8H signal. However, the higher timeframes are less supportive, with the 12H showing choppy/sideways action and the 1D still bearish, suggesting this is a counter-trend move within a larger downtrend. The nearest support is at 0.69616, which is a key level to watch; a break below this could invalidate the bullish setup. The nearest resistance is not defined, so traders should look for potential resistance levels on higher timeframes or use recent swing highs as targets.
Catalysts
- ▲ Multiple trendline breaks (HT TRENDLINE Break Up, Trendline Retreat Down) indicate a shift in market structure.
- ▲ MACD Zero Cross Up and DEMA/EMA Break Ups confirm bullish momentum.
- ▲ Strong trend scores on the 1H (4/5) and 30m (3/5) timeframes support the signal.
- ▲ KAMA Retreat Up and MA Break Up add to the confluence of indicators.
Risk Factors
- ▼ Higher timeframe trends (12H, 1D) are bearish or choppy, suggesting the bullish move may be a retracement within a larger downtrend.
- ▼ A break below the nearest support at 0.69616 would invalidate the bullish setup.
- ▼ The 8H trend score is only 2/5, indicating the trend is still forming and could fail.
- ▼ Momentum could fade if the price fails to hold above the broken trendline or if the MACD histogram starts to shrink.
Symbol
AUD/USD
Timeframe
8H
Direction
BUY
Probability
85%
Strength
STRONG
Date
2026-07-31 00:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| S1 | 0.69616 | 2026-07-20 |
| S2 | 0.69061 | 2026-07-08 |
| S3 | 0.68649 | 2026-06-30 |
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