USD/JPY 2H BUY

· 15 hours ago
BUY
100%
▲ BUY
VERY STRONG
Intraday
Prognose: 61% historisch
⚡ Confluence +60%
▲ Bullish 100% (22.20) ▼ Bearish 0% (0.00)
USD/JPY  ·  2H
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Bear Flag chart_pattern 2.94
WILLR OS Exit indicator 2.23
STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 2.01
BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.96
RSI OS Exit indicator 1.81
Fibonacci Retreat UpTrend (79%) fibonacci 1.55
MOM Zero Cross Up indicator 1.25
ROC Zero Cross Up indicator 1.25
ROCR Cross Up indicator 1.25

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNVery strong trend
2H
DOWNVery strong trend
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A cluster of bullish signals on the 2H chart suggests a potential short-term bounce, but the overall trend remains bearish across all timeframes.
  • The Bear Flag pattern and multiple zero-cross up signals indicate building buying momentum, but confirmation requires a break above resistance.
  • Key levels: resistance at 163.90400 and support at 157.96900; a break below support would invalidate the bullish setup.
  • Given the strong bearish trend on higher timeframes, any upside is likely corrective; traders should be cautious about chasing longs.
The USD/JPY 2H signal fires a cluster of bullish technical triggers, including a Bear Flag pattern, multiple zero-cross up signals (BOP, MOM, ROC, ROCR), and oversold exits on RSI and Williams %R, alongside a Stoch KD cross up. These signals collectively indicate a potential bullish reversal or corrective bounce within a broader bearish trend. The confluence of momentum, oscillator, and pattern-based signals suggests that buying pressure is building after a period of downside, with the Bear Flag pattern hinting at a possible upside breakout.

Across timeframes, the trend is bearish on all frames, with very strong trend scores on the 1H and 2H, solid on 15m, 30m, 4H, and 12H, and trend forming on 8H and 1D. This alignment suggests the bearish trend is dominant, but the 2H bullish signals may indicate a short-term counter-trend move. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 163.90400, which could act as a target or barrier, and the nearest support at 157.96900, which is a critical level; a break below this support would invalidate the bullish case and signal a continuation of the downtrend.
Catalysts
  • Confluence of multiple bullish signals (Bear Flag, zero-cross ups, oversold exits) on the 2H chart.
  • Strong trend scores on 1H and 2H (4/5) support the idea that the bearish trend is mature, increasing the likelihood of a reversal.
  • The price is near the lower end of the range, with support at 157.96900 providing a potential floor.
  • Fibonacci signals (as part of the signal groups) may indicate a retracement level where buyers could step in.
Risk Factors
  • The dominant bearish trend across all timeframes could overpower the bullish signals, leading to a failed bounce.
  • A break below the nearest support at 157.96900 would invalidate the bullish setup and likely resume the downtrend.
  • Momentum signals (MOM, ROC) could fade quickly if the bounce is merely a dead-cat bounce within a strong downtrend.
  • Resistance at 163.90400 is far above the current price, so upside may be limited; watch for a rejection at that level.
Symbol USD/JPY
Timeframe 2H
Direction BUY
Probability 100%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-07-31 12:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 163.90400 2026-07-29
R2 163.94700 2026-07-28
R3 163.98400 2026-07-23
S1 157.96900 2026-07-30

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