AUD/JPY 30M SELL

· 14 hours ago
SELL
96%
▼ SELL
VERY STRONG
Scalping
Prognose: 61% historisch
⚡ Confluence +60%
▲ Bullish 4% (3.52) ▼ Bearish 96% (84.78)
AUD/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Bear Pennant chart_pattern 4.48
Trendline Break Down trendline 2.73
MA Retreat Down indicator 2.32
EMA 50 Retreat Down indicator 2.25
HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 2.23
SMA 50 Retreat Down indicator 2.23
Trendline Retreat Down trendline 2.15
Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%) fibonacci 2.09
KAMA Retreat Down indicator 1.97
CCI OB Exit indicator 1.95
MACD Signal Cross Down indicator 1.92
HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down indicator 1.85
AROON Strong Downtrend indicator 1.78
STOCH KD Cross Down indicator 1.73
MOM Zero Cross Down indicator 1.57
ROC Zero Cross Down indicator 1.57
ROCR Cross Down indicator 1.57
WILLR OS Entry indicator 1.57
BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.50
Marubozu Bearish candlestick 1.28
Tweezers Top candlestick 1.02

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNVery strong trend
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish alignment across all major timeframes except the daily, which is sideways.
  • Multiple signal types (trendline, pattern, momentum) all point lower, increasing conviction.
  • Key support at 110.90700; a break below could accelerate the decline.
  • Resistance at 112.98000 is the level to watch for invalidation.
The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Trendline Retreat Down and Trendline Break Down, a Bear Pennant, and a strong AROON downtrend. The MACD Signal Cross Down, MOM Zero Cross Down, and BOP Zero Cross Down confirm downside momentum, while the CCI OB Exit indicates that the recent overbought condition has reversed. The confluence of trendline, chart pattern, and momentum signals points to a continuation of the prevailing downtrend.

Across timeframes, the bias is consistently bearish from the 15-minute up to the 12-hour, with the 1-hour showing the strongest trend score (4/5). The daily timeframe is choppy and sideways, which could limit the depth of the move. The nearest support sits at 110.90700, while resistance is at 112.98000. A break below support would reinforce the bearish outlook, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the setup.
Catalysts
  • Consistent bearish trend across 15m to 12h, with the 1h showing very strong trend (4/5).
  • Confluence of a Bear Pennant and trendline breaks, both classic continuation patterns.
  • Momentum indicators (MACD, MOM, BOP) all crossing down simultaneously.
  • CCI exiting overbought territory, signaling a shift from bullish to bearish pressure.
Risk Factors
  • Daily timeframe is choppy and sideways, which could stall or reverse the move.
  • If price reclaims the 112.98000 resistance, the bearish setup is invalidated.
  • The 96% probability and very strong strength may already be priced in, leading to a pullback.
  • Watch for a false break below support; a quick bounce could trap sellers.
Symbol AUD/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Probability 96%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-07-31 23:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 112.98000 2026-07-31
R2 113.95000 2026-07-30
R3 114.11000 2026-07-29
S1 110.90700 2026-07-30

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