AUD/JPY – 30M – SELL
SELL
96%
▲ Bullish 4% (3.52)
▼ Bearish 96% (84.78)
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Signal evolution
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Bear Pennant | chart_pattern | 4.48 |
| ▼ | Trendline Break Down | trendline | 2.73 |
| ▼ | MA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.32 |
| ▼ | EMA 50 Retreat Down | indicator | 2.25 |
| ▼ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down | indicator | 2.23 |
| ▼ | SMA 50 Retreat Down | indicator | 2.23 |
| ▼ | Trendline Retreat Down | trendline | 2.15 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%) | fibonacci | 2.09 |
| ▼ | KAMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.97 |
| ▲ | CCI OB Exit | indicator | 1.95 |
| ▼ | MACD Signal Cross Down | indicator | 1.92 |
| ▼ | HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down | indicator | 1.85 |
| ▼ | AROON Strong Downtrend | indicator | 1.78 |
| ▼ | STOCH KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.73 |
| ▼ | MOM Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.57 |
| ▼ | ROC Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.57 |
| ▼ | ROCR Cross Down | indicator | 1.57 |
| ▲ | WILLR OS Entry | indicator | 1.57 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.50 |
| ▼ | Marubozu Bearish | candlestick | 1.28 |
| ▼ | Tweezers Top | candlestick | 1.02 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNSolid trend
30MDOWNSolid trend
1HDOWNVery strong trend
2HDOWNSolid trend
4HDOWNSolid trend
8HDOWNSolid trend
12HDOWNSolid trend
1DDOWNChoppy / sideways
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bearish alignment across all major timeframes except the daily, which is sideways.
- Multiple signal types (trendline, pattern, momentum) all point lower, increasing conviction.
- Key support at 110.90700; a break below could accelerate the decline.
- Resistance at 112.98000 is the level to watch for invalidation.
The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Trendline Retreat Down and Trendline Break Down, a Bear Pennant, and a strong AROON downtrend. The MACD Signal Cross Down, MOM Zero Cross Down, and BOP Zero Cross Down confirm downside momentum, while the CCI OB Exit indicates that the recent overbought condition has reversed. The confluence of trendline, chart pattern, and momentum signals points to a continuation of the prevailing downtrend.
Across timeframes, the bias is consistently bearish from the 15-minute up to the 12-hour, with the 1-hour showing the strongest trend score (4/5). The daily timeframe is choppy and sideways, which could limit the depth of the move. The nearest support sits at 110.90700, while resistance is at 112.98000. A break below support would reinforce the bearish outlook, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the setup.
Across timeframes, the bias is consistently bearish from the 15-minute up to the 12-hour, with the 1-hour showing the strongest trend score (4/5). The daily timeframe is choppy and sideways, which could limit the depth of the move. The nearest support sits at 110.90700, while resistance is at 112.98000. A break below support would reinforce the bearish outlook, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the setup.
Catalysts
- ▼ Consistent bearish trend across 15m to 12h, with the 1h showing very strong trend (4/5).
- ▼ Confluence of a Bear Pennant and trendline breaks, both classic continuation patterns.
- ▼ Momentum indicators (MACD, MOM, BOP) all crossing down simultaneously.
- ▼ CCI exiting overbought territory, signaling a shift from bullish to bearish pressure.
Risk Factors
- ▲ Daily timeframe is choppy and sideways, which could stall or reverse the move.
- ▲ If price reclaims the 112.98000 resistance, the bearish setup is invalidated.
- ▲ The 96% probability and very strong strength may already be priced in, leading to a pullback.
- ▲ Watch for a false break below support; a quick bounce could trap sellers.
Symbol
AUD/JPY
Timeframe
30M
Direction
SELL
Probability
96%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-07-31 23:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 112.98000 | 2026-07-31 |
| R2 | 113.95000 | 2026-07-30 |
| R3 | 114.11000 | 2026-07-29 |
| S1 | 110.90700 | 2026-07-30 |