USD/JPY – 1H – BUY
BUY
100%
▲ Bullish 100% (10.10)
▼ Bearish 0% (0.00)
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Signal evolution
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | TEMA Break Up | indicator | 2.77 |
| ▲ | CCI OS Exit | indicator | 1.78 |
| ▲ | Support Level Retreat Up | sr | 1.23 |
| ▲ | Fibonacci Retreat UpTrend (79%) | fibonacci | 1.01 |
| ▲ | BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up | indicator | 0.99 |
| ▲ | Long Line Bullish | candlestick | 0.93 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNSolid trend
30MDOWNVery strong trend
1HDOWNVery strong trend
2HDOWNVery strong trend
4HDOWNSolid trend
8HDOWNTrend forming
12HDOWNSolid trend
1DDOWNSolid trend
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Bullish signals on the 1H chart suggest a potential bounce, but the overall trend is bearish across all timeframes.
- The 79% Fibonacci retracement level and support zone are providing a confluence of support.
- Watch the nearest resistance at 160.87200 for a potential breakout; a rejection could lead to a continuation lower.
- The nearest support at 157.96900 is the invalidation level for the bullish setup.
The 1H USD/JPY chart has fired a cluster of bullish signals, including a CCI oversold exit, a retreat up from the lower Bollinger Band, a TEMA break up, a Fibonacci retracement up trend at the 79% level, a Long Line Bullish candlestick, and a retreat up from a support level. Together, these indicate a potential short-term bounce or reversal to the upside within a broader bearish trend. The confluence of multiple indicators and patterns at a key support area suggests that buyers are stepping in, and the market may be poised for a corrective move higher.
However, the trend across all timeframes is bearish, with very strong downward momentum on the 30m, 1H, and 2H charts. This suggests that any upside move is likely to be a counter-trend rally rather than a full trend reversal. The nearest resistance at 160.87200 is a critical level to watch; a break above it could signal a stronger reversal, while a failure to break it may lead to a resumption of the downtrend. The nearest support at 157.96900 is the key level to hold for the bullish case to remain valid.
However, the trend across all timeframes is bearish, with very strong downward momentum on the 30m, 1H, and 2H charts. This suggests that any upside move is likely to be a counter-trend rally rather than a full trend reversal. The nearest resistance at 160.87200 is a critical level to watch; a break above it could signal a stronger reversal, while a failure to break it may lead to a resumption of the downtrend. The nearest support at 157.96900 is the key level to hold for the bullish case to remain valid.
Catalysts
- ▲ Multiple bullish signals (CCI OS Exit, BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up, TEMA Break Up, Fibonacci Retreat UpTrend, Long Line Bullish, Support Level Retreat Up) align at a key support area.
- ▲ The Fibonacci retracement at 79% suggests a deep pullback that could attract buyers.
- ▲ The retreat up from support indicates that buyers are defending the level, potentially leading to a short-term rally.
Risk Factors
- ▼ The bearish trend across all timeframes, especially the very strong downtrend on the 1H and 2H, suggests that upside moves may be limited.
- ▼ A break below the nearest support at 157.96900 would invalidate the bullish setup and likely lead to further declines.
- ▼ The resistance at 160.87200 is nearby and could cap the upside, especially if the broader downtrend resumes.
- ▼ Momentum may fade quickly if the bounce is only a correction within the larger downtrend.
Symbol
USD/JPY
Timeframe
1H
Direction
BUY
Probability
100%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-07-31 22:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 160.87200 | 2026-07-31 |
| R2 | 163.73600 | 2026-07-30 |
| R3 | 163.90400 | 2026-07-29 |
| S1 | 157.96900 | 2026-07-30 |