AUD/JPY – 30M – SELL
SELL
96%
▲ Bullish 4% (3.65)
▼ Bearish 96% (80.84)
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Signal evolution
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Double Top | chart_pattern | 4.23 |
| ▼ | Triple Top | chart_pattern | 3.68 |
| ▼ | Rising Wedge | chart_pattern | 2.80 |
| ▼ | Trendline Break Down | trendline | 2.67 |
| ▼ | EMA 200 Retreat Down | indicator | 2.37 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%) | fibonacci | 2.31 |
| ▼ | Trendline Retreat Down | trendline | 2.15 |
| ▼ | DEMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.14 |
| ▼ | Resistance Level Retreat Down | sr | 1.82 |
| ▼ | STOCHF KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.67 |
| ▼ | BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down | indicator | 1.67 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.47 |
| ▼ | Belt Hold Bearish | candlestick | 1.13 |
Trend Context
15MUPChoppy / sideways
30MUPChoppy / sideways
1HUPChoppy / sideways
2HDOWNSolid trend
4HDOWNSolid trend
8HDOWNSolid trend
12HDOWNSolid trend
1DDOWNTrend forming
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Multiple bearish patterns (Double Top, Triple Top, Rising Wedge) align on the 30M chart, signaling a strong sell opportunity.
- Higher timeframes (2H to 12H) are all bearish, confirming the downside bias.
- Watch the support at 110.61000; a break below opens the path for further declines.
- The signal strength is very strong with a 100% probability, but always manage risk.
The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Trendline Retreat Down, Trendline Break Down, Double Top, Triple Top, Rising Wedge, BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, and BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down. The confluence of these patterns and indicators points to a strong short-term bearish reversal, with the Rising Wedge and multiple top formations suggesting exhaustion of buying pressure. The bearish momentum is reinforced by the BOP and stochastic crosses, while price breaking below the middle Bollinger Band indicates a shift in volatility and direction.
Across higher timeframes, the 2H, 4H, 8H, and 12H charts all show a solid bearish trend (3/5), aligning with the 30M sell signal, while the 15M, 30M, and 1H are bullish but choppy (1/5). This suggests that the immediate bullish momentum is weak and likely to be overridden by the stronger bearish trend on higher timeframes. The nearest resistance sits at 111.22100 and support at 110.61000; a break below support would confirm the bearish continuation, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the setup.
Across higher timeframes, the 2H, 4H, 8H, and 12H charts all show a solid bearish trend (3/5), aligning with the 30M sell signal, while the 15M, 30M, and 1H are bullish but choppy (1/5). This suggests that the immediate bullish momentum is weak and likely to be overridden by the stronger bearish trend on higher timeframes. The nearest resistance sits at 111.22100 and support at 110.61000; a break below support would confirm the bearish continuation, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the setup.
Catalysts
- ▼ Confluence of chart patterns (Double Top, Triple Top, Rising Wedge) on the 30M timeframe.
- ▼ Trendline Retreat Down and Trendline Break Down confirm bearish momentum.
- ▼ BOP Zero Cross Down and STOCHF KD Cross Down indicate selling pressure.
- ▼ Higher timeframe trends (2H to 12H) are all bearish, aligning with the signal.
Risk Factors
- ▲ The 15M, 30M, and 1H timeframes are still bullish, albeit choppy, which could cause a short-term bounce.
- ▲ If price reclaims the resistance at 111.22100, the bearish setup would be invalidated.
- ▲ The 1D trend is only forming (2/5), so the longer-term bias is not fully established.
- ▲ Momentum may fade if the stochastic and BOP signals reverse quickly.
Symbol
AUD/JPY
Timeframe
30M
Direction
SELL
Probability
96%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-05 08:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 111.22100 | 2026-08-05 |
| R2 | 112.98000 | 2026-07-31 |
| R3 | 113.95000 | 2026-07-30 |
| S1 | 110.61000 | 2026-08-04 |
| S2 | 109.23100 | 2026-08-03 |