AUD/JPY – 30M – BUY
BUY
92%
▲ Bullish 92% (75.78)
▼ Bearish 8% (6.23)
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Signal evolution
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | Ascending Triangle | chart_pattern | 4.10 |
| ▲ | Double Bottom | chart_pattern | 3.85 |
| ▲ | Triple Bottom | chart_pattern | 3.15 |
| ▲ | Trendline Break Up | trendline | 2.64 |
| ▲ | EMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.61 |
| ▲ | KAMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.58 |
| ▲ | Support Level Retreat Up | sr | 2.37 |
| ▲ | SMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.35 |
| ▲ | Trendline Retreat Up | trendline | 2.35 |
| ▲ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up | indicator | 2.29 |
| ▲ | MIDPRICE Retreat Up | indicator | 2.20 |
| ▲ | MIDPOINT Retreat Up | indicator | 2.19 |
| ▲ | MA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.18 |
| ▲ | STOCHF KD Cross Up | indicator | 2.01 |
| ▲ | Fibonacci Retreat UpTrend (50%) | fibonacci | 1.93 |
| ▲ | BOP Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.67 |
| ▲ | HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend | indicator | 1.51 |
| ▲ | Above The Stomach | candlestick | 1.09 |
| ▼ | WILLR OB Entry | indicator | 0.72 |
| ▲ | Closing Marubozu Bullish | candlestick | 0.68 |
Trend Context
15MUPTrend forming
30MUPChoppy / sideways
1HUPChoppy / sideways
2HUPTrend forming
4HDOWNSolid trend
8HDOWNSolid trend
12HDOWNSolid trend
1DDOWNTrend forming
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bullish signal cluster on the 30-minute chart suggests a short-term bounce, but it is counter to the longer-term bearish trend.
- Key resistance at 112.980 is the immediate upside target; a break above it could signal a larger reversal.
- Support at 110.967 is the invalidation level—a break below would negate the bullish setup.
- Higher timeframe bearishness (4H and above) means the rally may be limited; watch for signs of momentum fading near resistance.
The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, including a Trendline Break Up, Trendline Retreat Up, Double Bottom, Triple Bottom, Ascending Triangle, BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, and WILLR OB Entry, among 12 additional signals. This confluence indicates strong buying pressure on the short-term timeframe, with the price breaking above a descending trendline and forming a base near the support zone. The alignment of multiple pattern and indicator signals suggests a high-probability continuation higher in the near term.
However, the higher timeframes paint a conflicting picture: the 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D charts are all bearish with solid trend scores (3/5), while the 15M and 2H show only nascent bullish trends. This divergence means the bullish move on the 30M is likely a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend. The nearest resistance at 112.980 is a critical hurdle; a break above could extend the rally, but failure to hold above this level would invalidate the bullish thesis. Conversely, the nearest support at 110.967 is the key level to watch—if price breaks below it, the bullish signals would be negated and the downtrend would resume.
However, the higher timeframes paint a conflicting picture: the 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D charts are all bearish with solid trend scores (3/5), while the 15M and 2H show only nascent bullish trends. This divergence means the bullish move on the 30M is likely a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend. The nearest resistance at 112.980 is a critical hurdle; a break above could extend the rally, but failure to hold above this level would invalidate the bullish thesis. Conversely, the nearest support at 110.967 is the key level to watch—if price breaks below it, the bullish signals would be negated and the downtrend would resume.
Catalysts
- ▲ Multiple bullish patterns (Double Bottom, Triple Bottom, Ascending Triangle) and trendline breaks align on the 30M chart.
- ▲ Indicator confluence: BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, and WILLR OB Entry all point to buying momentum.
- ▲ Short-term trend scores are improving (15M and 2H show trend forming), suggesting early bullish momentum.
- ▲ Price is holding above the nearest support level, providing a base for the bounce.
Risk Factors
- ▼ Higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are bearish with solid trends, which could cap upside and lead to a reversal.
- ▼ The 30M trend is still classified as choppy/sideways (1/5), indicating weak trend strength at the signal's timeframe.
- ▼ If price fails to break above the nearest resistance at 112.980, the bullish momentum may fade and lead to a pullback.
- ▼ A break below the nearest support at 110.967 would invalidate the bullish signals and likely resume the downtrend.
Symbol
AUD/JPY
Timeframe
30M
Direction
BUY
Probability
92%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-05 23:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 112.98000 | 2026-07-31 |
| R2 | 113.95000 | 2026-07-30 |
| S1 | 110.96700 | 2026-08-05 |
| S2 | 110.84100 | 2026-08-05 |
| S3 | 110.61000 | 2026-08-04 |
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