AUD/JPY 30M BUY

· 13 hours ago
BUY
92%
▲ BUY
VERY STRONG
Scalping
Prognose: 61% historisch
⚡ Confluence +60%
▲ Bullish 92% (75.78) ▼ Bearish 8% (6.23)
AUD/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Ascending Triangle chart_pattern 4.10
Double Bottom chart_pattern 3.85
Triple Bottom chart_pattern 3.15
Trendline Break Up trendline 2.64
EMA Retreat Up indicator 2.61
KAMA Retreat Up indicator 2.58
Support Level Retreat Up sr 2.37
SMA Retreat Up indicator 2.35
Trendline Retreat Up trendline 2.35
HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up indicator 2.29
MIDPRICE Retreat Up indicator 2.20
MIDPOINT Retreat Up indicator 2.19
MA Retreat Up indicator 2.18
STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 2.01
Fibonacci Retreat UpTrend (50%) fibonacci 1.93
BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.67
HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend indicator 1.51
Above The Stomach candlestick 1.09
WILLR OB Entry indicator 0.72
Closing Marubozu Bullish candlestick 0.68

Trend Context

15M
UPTrend forming
30M
UPChoppy / sideways
1H
UPChoppy / sideways
2H
UPTrend forming
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bullish signal cluster on the 30-minute chart suggests a short-term bounce, but it is counter to the longer-term bearish trend.
  • Key resistance at 112.980 is the immediate upside target; a break above it could signal a larger reversal.
  • Support at 110.967 is the invalidation level—a break below would negate the bullish setup.
  • Higher timeframe bearishness (4H and above) means the rally may be limited; watch for signs of momentum fading near resistance.
The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, including a Trendline Break Up, Trendline Retreat Up, Double Bottom, Triple Bottom, Ascending Triangle, BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, and WILLR OB Entry, among 12 additional signals. This confluence indicates strong buying pressure on the short-term timeframe, with the price breaking above a descending trendline and forming a base near the support zone. The alignment of multiple pattern and indicator signals suggests a high-probability continuation higher in the near term.

However, the higher timeframes paint a conflicting picture: the 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D charts are all bearish with solid trend scores (3/5), while the 15M and 2H show only nascent bullish trends. This divergence means the bullish move on the 30M is likely a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend. The nearest resistance at 112.980 is a critical hurdle; a break above could extend the rally, but failure to hold above this level would invalidate the bullish thesis. Conversely, the nearest support at 110.967 is the key level to watch—if price breaks below it, the bullish signals would be negated and the downtrend would resume.
Catalysts
  • Multiple bullish patterns (Double Bottom, Triple Bottom, Ascending Triangle) and trendline breaks align on the 30M chart.
  • Indicator confluence: BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, and WILLR OB Entry all point to buying momentum.
  • Short-term trend scores are improving (15M and 2H show trend forming), suggesting early bullish momentum.
  • Price is holding above the nearest support level, providing a base for the bounce.
Risk Factors
  • Higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are bearish with solid trends, which could cap upside and lead to a reversal.
  • The 30M trend is still classified as choppy/sideways (1/5), indicating weak trend strength at the signal's timeframe.
  • If price fails to break above the nearest resistance at 112.980, the bullish momentum may fade and lead to a pullback.
  • A break below the nearest support at 110.967 would invalidate the bullish signals and likely resume the downtrend.
Symbol AUD/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction BUY
Probability 92%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-08-05 23:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 112.98000 2026-07-31
R2 113.95000 2026-07-30
S1 110.96700 2026-08-05
S2 110.84100 2026-08-05
S3 110.61000 2026-08-04

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