AUD/JPY 30M BUY

· 14 hours ago
BUY
99%
▲ BUY
VERY STRONG
Scalping
Prognose: 61% historisch
⚡ Confluence +60%
▲ Bullish 99% (51.70) ▼ Bearish 1% (0.75)
AUD/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
EMA 200 Retreat Up indicator 2.11
Support Level Retreat Up sr 2.04
KAMA Retreat Up indicator 2.03
SMA Retreat Up indicator 2.02
STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 2.00
Trendline Retreat Up trendline 1.97
HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up indicator 1.95
MIDPOINT Retreat Up indicator 1.87
MA Retreat Up indicator 1.72
BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.68
Fibonacci Retreat UpTrend (0%) fibonacci 1.60
Belt Hold Bullish candlestick 1.30

Trend Context

15M
UPTrend forming
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
UPChoppy / sideways
2H
UPChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bullish confluence on the 30-minute chart, but higher timeframes are mostly bearish.
  • Key support at 111.19000 is holding; resistance at 111.48500 is the immediate target.
  • Signal likely a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend; watch for confirmation.
  • High signal strength suggests a high-probability setup, but manage risk accordingly.
The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a cluster of bullish signals, including a Trendline Retreat Up, BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, and a retreat up from the EMA 200, alongside multiple moving average and midpoint retreats. This confluence suggests strong short-term buying pressure, with price likely bouncing off key support. The nearest support at 111.19000 has held, and the nearest resistance at 111.48500 is the immediate upside target. The signal strength is very strong, backed by a high probability score.

However, the higher timeframe trend is mixed: while the 15-minute and 1-hour charts are bullish, the 30-minute itself is bearish and choppy, and the 4-hour through daily timeframes are bearish. This indicates that the bullish move on the 30-minute may be a counter-trend rally within a larger downtrend. The alignment across timeframes is weak, with only the short-term timeframes supporting the buy. Traders should watch for a break above 111.48500 to confirm further upside, but a failure to hold above support could invalidate the signal.
Catalysts
  • Multiple bullish signals fired simultaneously, including Trendline Retreat Up, BOP Zero Cross Up, and STOCHF KD Cross Up.
  • Price is retreating up from the EMA 200, indicating a bounce off a key moving average.
  • Support at 111.19000 is holding, providing a solid base for the move.
  • Short-term timeframes (15m, 1h) are bullish, supporting the immediate momentum.
Risk Factors
  • Higher timeframes (4h, 8h, 12h, 1d) are bearish, suggesting the broader trend is down.
  • The 30-minute chart itself is bearish and choppy, which could limit the upside.
  • A break below 111.19000 would invalidate the bullish signal and could trigger a sell-off.
  • Momentum may fade if the price fails to break resistance at 111.48500.
Symbol AUD/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction BUY
Probability 99%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-08-07 14:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 111.48500 2026-08-06
S1 111.19000 2026-08-07
S2 111.06500 2026-08-06
S3 110.96700 2026-08-05

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