AUD/JPY – 30M – BUY
BUY
99%
▲ Bullish 99% (51.70)
▼ Bearish 1% (0.75)
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Signal evolution
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | EMA 200 Retreat Up | indicator | 2.11 |
| ▲ | Support Level Retreat Up | sr | 2.04 |
| ▲ | KAMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.03 |
| ▲ | SMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.02 |
| ▲ | STOCHF KD Cross Up | indicator | 2.00 |
| ▲ | Trendline Retreat Up | trendline | 1.97 |
| ▲ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up | indicator | 1.95 |
| ▲ | MIDPOINT Retreat Up | indicator | 1.87 |
| ▲ | MA Retreat Up | indicator | 1.72 |
| ▲ | BOP Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.68 |
| ▲ | Fibonacci Retreat UpTrend (0%) | fibonacci | 1.60 |
| ▲ | Belt Hold Bullish | candlestick | 1.30 |
Trend Context
15MUPTrend forming
30MDOWNChoppy / sideways
1HUPChoppy / sideways
2HUPChoppy / sideways
4HDOWNTrend forming
8HDOWNSolid trend
12HDOWNSolid trend
1DDOWNTrend forming
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bullish confluence on the 30-minute chart, but higher timeframes are mostly bearish.
- Key support at 111.19000 is holding; resistance at 111.48500 is the immediate target.
- Signal likely a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend; watch for confirmation.
- High signal strength suggests a high-probability setup, but manage risk accordingly.
The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a cluster of bullish signals, including a Trendline Retreat Up, BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, and a retreat up from the EMA 200, alongside multiple moving average and midpoint retreats. This confluence suggests strong short-term buying pressure, with price likely bouncing off key support. The nearest support at 111.19000 has held, and the nearest resistance at 111.48500 is the immediate upside target. The signal strength is very strong, backed by a high probability score.
However, the higher timeframe trend is mixed: while the 15-minute and 1-hour charts are bullish, the 30-minute itself is bearish and choppy, and the 4-hour through daily timeframes are bearish. This indicates that the bullish move on the 30-minute may be a counter-trend rally within a larger downtrend. The alignment across timeframes is weak, with only the short-term timeframes supporting the buy. Traders should watch for a break above 111.48500 to confirm further upside, but a failure to hold above support could invalidate the signal.
However, the higher timeframe trend is mixed: while the 15-minute and 1-hour charts are bullish, the 30-minute itself is bearish and choppy, and the 4-hour through daily timeframes are bearish. This indicates that the bullish move on the 30-minute may be a counter-trend rally within a larger downtrend. The alignment across timeframes is weak, with only the short-term timeframes supporting the buy. Traders should watch for a break above 111.48500 to confirm further upside, but a failure to hold above support could invalidate the signal.
Catalysts
- ▲ Multiple bullish signals fired simultaneously, including Trendline Retreat Up, BOP Zero Cross Up, and STOCHF KD Cross Up.
- ▲ Price is retreating up from the EMA 200, indicating a bounce off a key moving average.
- ▲ Support at 111.19000 is holding, providing a solid base for the move.
- ▲ Short-term timeframes (15m, 1h) are bullish, supporting the immediate momentum.
Risk Factors
- ▼ Higher timeframes (4h, 8h, 12h, 1d) are bearish, suggesting the broader trend is down.
- ▼ The 30-minute chart itself is bearish and choppy, which could limit the upside.
- ▼ A break below 111.19000 would invalidate the bullish signal and could trigger a sell-off.
- ▼ Momentum may fade if the price fails to break resistance at 111.48500.
Symbol
AUD/JPY
Timeframe
30M
Direction
BUY
Probability
99%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-07 14:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 111.48500 | 2026-08-06 |
| S1 | 111.19000 | 2026-08-07 |
| S2 | 111.06500 | 2026-08-06 |
| S3 | 110.96700 | 2026-08-05 |