AUD/JPY – 2H – SELL

2026-08-10 14:00 UTC · 13 hours ago

SELL

90%

▼ SELL

VERY STRONG

Intraday

Prognose: 61% historisch

⚡ Confluence +60%

▲ Bullish 10% (1.94) ▼ Bearish 90% (17.51)

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar

04:30TodayAUDRBA Interest Rate Decision●●●Forecast 4.35%Previous 4.35%in 56m
05:30TodayAUDRBA Press Conference●●○in 1h
23:50TomorrowJPYPPI YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 7.4%Previous 7.1%in 1 day

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	2.10
▲	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend	indicator	1.94
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%)	fibonacci	1.68
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.47
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.36
▼	Hanging Man	candlestick	1.27
▼	DX Trend Weak	indicator	1.23
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.92
▼	Tweezers Top	candlestick	0.91

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bearish signals align on the 2H chart, including candlestick, indicator, and Fibonacci patterns.
Higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are bearish, supporting the sell signal despite mixed shorter-term trends.
Watch the nearest support at 110.765; a break below could accelerate downside, while resistance at 114.658 is the invalidation level.
The signal has high probability (90%) and very strong strength, but traders should manage risk due to conflicting shorter-timeframe trends.

The AUD/JPY 2H chart has triggered a confluence of bearish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, EMA 200 Retreat Down, and a HT TRENDMODE shift to Trend. Additionally, a Fibonacci Break DownTrend at 0% and bearish candlestick patterns (Bearish Engulfing, Hanging Man) reinforce the selling pressure. These signals collectively indicate strong bearish momentum on the 2H timeframe, with a very strong probability of continuation.

Across timeframes, the trend is mixed but leans bearish on higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D), while shorter timeframes (30M, 1H, 2H, 4H) show bullish or sideways tendencies. This suggests that the immediate bearish move may face resistance from higher-timeframe bullish trends, but the overall alignment of the 8H and 12H bearish trends supports the sell signal. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 114.658 and support at 110.765; a break below support would confirm the bearish move, while a move above resistance would invalidate the signal.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of bearish signals: BOP zero cross down, STOCH KD cross down, and EMA 200 retreat down.
▼ Bearish candlestick patterns (Bearish Engulfing, Hanging Man) confirm selling pressure.
▼ Fibonacci break down at 0% indicates a breakdown below a key level.
▼ Higher timeframe trends (8H, 12H, 1D) are bearish, aligning with the 2H signal.

Risk Factors

▲ Shorter timeframes (30M, 1H, 2H, 4H) are bullish or sideways, which may cause pullbacks or consolidation.
▲ The nearest resistance at 114.658 is a potential barrier; a break above would invalidate the bearish signal.
▲ The 2H trend is currently choppy/sideways (1/5), indicating weak momentum that could fail.
▲ If the price fails to break below support, the bearish move may stall, leading to a range-bound market.