AUD/JPY – 30M – SELL

2026-08-10 15:00 UTC · 14 hours ago

SELL

74%

▼ SELL

MODERATE

Scalping

Prognose: 35% historisch

⚡ Confluence +40%

▲ Bullish 26% (7.14) ▼ Bearish 74% (20.20)

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar

04:30TodayAUDRBA Interest Rate Decision●●●Forecast 4.35%Previous 4.35%in 1h
05:30TodayAUDRBA Press Conference●●○in 2h
23:50TomorrowJPYPPI MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.6%Previous 0.4%in 1 day

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Trendline Break Up	trendline	2.50
▼	SAR Flip Bearish	indicator	2.38
▼	MACD Signal Cross Down	indicator	2.30
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	2.17
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.97
▼	DX Trend Weak	indicator	1.78
▼	T3 Retreat Down	indicator	1.51
▼	Trendline Retreat Down	trendline	1.48
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.45
▼	HT SINE Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.33
▼	CCI Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.31
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.90

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish signals on the 30M chart suggest short-term selling pressure.
Higher timeframes (1h, 2h, 4h) are still bullish, so the trend is not fully aligned.
Key support at 110.76500 is the critical level to watch for a breakdown.
Mixed timeframes mean the signal is moderate strength, not a high-conviction trade.

The 30-minute AUD/JPY chart has fired a cluster of bearish signals, including a Trendline Break Up, Trendline Retreat Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, CCI Zero Cross Down, and MACD Signal Cross Down, alongside a weakening DX Trend. While the immediate timeframe is bearish, the higher timeframes (1h, 2h, 4h) remain bullish, creating a conflicting outlook. However, the 8h, 12h, and 1d timeframes are bearish, suggesting that the longer-term trend may be turning lower. The key support to watch is at 110.76500; a break below this level would confirm the bearish momentum and potentially open the door for further downside.

The signal strength is moderate, and the probability is 73%, indicating a reasonable but not overwhelming edge. The presence of multiple signal groups (trendline, indicator, candlestick) adds confluence, but the mixed higher-timeframe trends warrant caution. Traders should monitor the price action around the support level and watch for any reversal signals that could invalidate the bearish setup.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple bearish signals fired across trendline, indicator, and candlestick groups.
▼ Longer-term timeframes (8h, 12h, 1d) are bearish, supporting a potential downtrend.
▼ DX Trend Weak suggests the current bullish trend is losing momentum.
▼ The cluster of signals increases the likelihood of a bearish move.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (1h, 2h, 4h) are still bullish, which could overpower the 30M bearish signal.
▲ The signal is moderate strength, so the move may lack strong follow-through.
▲ If price holds above 110.76500, the bearish setup could fail.
▲ Watch for any bullish reversal signals that could invalidate the bearish outlook.