AUD/JPY – 30M – SELL
SELL
68%
▲ Bullish 32% (6.31)
▼ Bearish 68% (13.52)
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Signal evolution
Events for AUD/JPY
Full calendar- TomorrowJPYPPI YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 7.4%Previous 7.1%in 1 day
- TomorrowJPYPPI MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.6%Previous 0.4%in 1 day
- August 13, 2026AUDRBA Kent Speech●●○in 1 day
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | Trendline Break Up | trendline | 2.61 |
| ▲ | RSI OB Exit | indicator | 2.17 |
| ▼ | DEMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.76 |
| ▼ | STOCH KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.60 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.43 |
| ▼ | Shooting Star | candlestick | 1.00 |
| ▼ | Bearish Engulfing | candlestick | 0.86 |
Trend Context
15MUPChoppy / sideways
30MUPTrend forming
1HUPTrend forming
2HUPChoppy / sideways
4HUPTrend forming
8HDOWNSolid trend
12HDOWNSolid trend
1DDOWNTrend forming
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Multiple bearish signals align on the 30-minute chart, but the overall signal strength is weak.
- Higher timeframes are mostly bullish, but the 8H and 12H are solidly bearish, creating conflicting signals.
- Watch the 111.89300 support level; a break could confirm further downside.
- The bearish signals may be a short-term pullback within a larger uptrend, so caution is advised.
The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart has triggered a cluster of bearish signals, including a Trendline Break Up, BOP Zero Cross Down, RSI OB Exit, STOCH KD Cross Down, DEMA Retreat Down, Bearish Engulfing, and Shooting Star. These signals collectively indicate a loss of upward momentum and a potential shift to bearish pressure in the short term. The confluence of candlestick patterns and indicator reversals at the same time strengthens the bearish case, though the overall signal strength is weak and probability is moderate at 60%.
Across higher timeframes, the trend is predominantly bullish from 15 minutes up to 4 hours, with the 30-minute and 1-hour trends forming. However, the 8-hour, 12-hour, and daily timeframes are bearish, with the 8-hour and 12-hour showing solid downtrends. This mixed picture suggests that the immediate bearish signals may be a pullback within a larger bullish structure, but the higher-timeframe bearishness could provide additional downside potential. The nearest support is at 111.89300, which is a key level to watch; a break below could accelerate selling, while a hold might lead to a bounce.
Across higher timeframes, the trend is predominantly bullish from 15 minutes up to 4 hours, with the 30-minute and 1-hour trends forming. However, the 8-hour, 12-hour, and daily timeframes are bearish, with the 8-hour and 12-hour showing solid downtrends. This mixed picture suggests that the immediate bearish signals may be a pullback within a larger bullish structure, but the higher-timeframe bearishness could provide additional downside potential. The nearest support is at 111.89300, which is a key level to watch; a break below could accelerate selling, while a hold might lead to a bounce.
Catalysts
- ▼ Confluence of bearish candlestick patterns (Bearish Engulfing, Shooting Star) and indicator reversals (RSI, STOCH, DEMA, BOP).
- ▼ Higher-timeframe bearish trends (8H, 12H) provide a backdrop for downside moves.
- ▼ The Trendline Break Up and BOP Zero Cross Down suggest a shift in momentum from buyers to sellers.
Risk Factors
- ▲ The 30-minute trend is still bullish, and the signal strength is weak, so the bearish move may be limited.
- ▲ Strong support at 111.89300 could halt the decline and lead to a reversal.
- ▲ If the price breaks back above the broken trendline or recent highs, the bearish signal would be invalidated.
- ▲ The mixed signals across timeframes reduce confidence in the direction.
Symbol
AUD/JPY
Timeframe
30M
Direction
SELL
Probability
68%
Strength
MODERATE
Date
2026-08-10 20:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| S1 | 111.89300 | 2026-08-10 |
| S2 | 110.76500 | 2026-08-07 |
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