AUD/USD – 30M – SELL
SELL
93%
▲ Bullish 7% (4.95)
▼ Bearish 93% (67.71)
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Signal evolution
Events for AUD/USD
Full calendar- TodayAUDRBA Interest Rate Decision●●●Forecast 4.35%Previous 4.35%in 55m
- TodayAUDRBA Press Conference●●○in 1h
- TodayUSDADP Employment Change Weekly●●○Previous 15Kin 8h
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | KAMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.52 |
| ▼ | Trendline Retreat Down | trendline | 2.29 |
| ▼ | MA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.28 |
| ▼ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down | indicator | 2.24 |
| ▼ | MIDPOINT Retreat Down | indicator | 2.23 |
| ▼ | Trendline Break Down | trendline | 2.17 |
| ▼ | EMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.17 |
| ▼ | Resistance Level Retreat Down | sr | 2.14 |
| ▼ | MAMA PRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 2.09 |
| ▼ | MIDPRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 2.07 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (79%) | fibonacci | 2.05 |
| ▼ | DEMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.04 |
| ▲ | SMA CROSS 20 50 Golden Cross | indicator | 1.88 |
| ▲ | STOCH KD Cross Up | indicator | 1.85 |
| ▼ | STOCHRSI KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.64 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.48 |
| ▼ | Hanging Man | candlestick | 1.36 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNTrend forming
30MDOWNChoppy / sideways
1HDOWNTrend forming
2HUPTrend forming
4HUPTrend forming
8HUPTrend forming
12HUPChoppy / sideways
1DUPChoppy / sideways
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bearish momentum on the 30-minute chart with multiple trendline and indicator signals aligning.
- Higher timeframes (2H to Daily) are still bullish, so this sell signal may be a pullback, not a reversal.
- Watch the 0.70562 support level; a break could open further downside, while resistance at 0.70738 is the key invalidation.
- The signal is very strong (93% probability), but conflicting higher timeframes warrant caution.
The AUD/USD 30-minute chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Trendline Retreat Down, Trendline Break Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHRSI KD Cross Down, and DEMA/EMA Retreat Down. This confluence suggests strong short-term selling pressure. However, the broader trend is mixed: while the 15-minute and 1-hour timeframes are bearish, the 2-hour through daily timeframes remain bullish. This creates a conflict where the immediate momentum is down, but the higher-timeframe trend is still up, meaning the sell signal may be a correction within a larger uptrend rather than a reversal.
Key levels to watch are resistance at 0.70738 and support at 0.70562. A break below support could confirm further downside, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup. The signal's high probability (93%) and very strong strength are tempered by the higher-timeframe bullish alignment, so traders should be cautious and watch for confirmation on the lower timeframes.
Key levels to watch are resistance at 0.70738 and support at 0.70562. A break below support could confirm further downside, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup. The signal's high probability (93%) and very strong strength are tempered by the higher-timeframe bullish alignment, so traders should be cautious and watch for confirmation on the lower timeframes.
Catalysts
- ▼ Multiple trendline breakouts and retreats on the 30M chart signal strong selling pressure.
- ▼ Indicator convergence: BOP, STOCHRSI, DEMA, and EMA all point down, confirming bearish momentum.
- ▼ Short-term timeframes (15M, 30M, 1H) are bearish, aligning with the signal direction.
Risk Factors
- ▲ Higher timeframes (2H to Daily) are bullish, which could limit downside or cause a reversal.
- ▲ The 30M trend is choppy/sideways (1/5 trend score), indicating weak trend strength and potential false signals.
- ▲ A break above resistance at 0.70738 would invalidate the bearish setup.
- ▲ The STOCH KD Cross Up signal suggests a possible short-term bounce, conflicting with the overall bearish bias.
Symbol
AUD/USD
Timeframe
30M
Direction
SELL
Probability
93%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-10 16:30
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 0.70738 | 2026-08-10 |
| R2 | 0.70746 | 2026-08-07 |
| R3 | 0.70773 | 2026-08-07 |
| S1 | 0.70562 | 2026-08-10 |
| S2 | 0.70220 | 2026-08-07 |
| S3 | 0.69834 | 2026-08-03 |