AUD/USD 30M SELL

· 13 hours ago
SELL
93%
▼ SELL
VERY STRONG
Scalping
Prognose: 61% historisch
⚡ Confluence +60%
▲ Bullish 7% (4.95) ▼ Bearish 93% (67.71)
AUD/USD  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/USD

Full calendar
  • TodayAUDRBA Interest Rate Decision●●●Forecast 4.35%Previous 4.35%in 55m
  • TodayAUDRBA Press Conference●●○in 1h
  • TodayUSDADP Employment Change Weekly●●○Previous 15Kin 8h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
KAMA Retreat Down indicator 2.52
Trendline Retreat Down trendline 2.29
MA Retreat Down indicator 2.28
HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 2.24
MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 2.23
Trendline Break Down trendline 2.17
EMA Retreat Down indicator 2.17
Resistance Level Retreat Down sr 2.14
MAMA PRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.09
MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.07
Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (79%) fibonacci 2.05
DEMA Retreat Down indicator 2.04
SMA CROSS 20 50 Golden Cross indicator 1.88
STOCH KD Cross Up indicator 1.85
STOCHRSI KD Cross Down indicator 1.64
BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.48
Hanging Man candlestick 1.36

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
UPTrend forming
4H
UPTrend forming
8H
UPTrend forming
12H
UPChoppy / sideways
1D
UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish momentum on the 30-minute chart with multiple trendline and indicator signals aligning.
  • Higher timeframes (2H to Daily) are still bullish, so this sell signal may be a pullback, not a reversal.
  • Watch the 0.70562 support level; a break could open further downside, while resistance at 0.70738 is the key invalidation.
  • The signal is very strong (93% probability), but conflicting higher timeframes warrant caution.
The AUD/USD 30-minute chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Trendline Retreat Down, Trendline Break Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHRSI KD Cross Down, and DEMA/EMA Retreat Down. This confluence suggests strong short-term selling pressure. However, the broader trend is mixed: while the 15-minute and 1-hour timeframes are bearish, the 2-hour through daily timeframes remain bullish. This creates a conflict where the immediate momentum is down, but the higher-timeframe trend is still up, meaning the sell signal may be a correction within a larger uptrend rather than a reversal.

Key levels to watch are resistance at 0.70738 and support at 0.70562. A break below support could confirm further downside, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup. The signal's high probability (93%) and very strong strength are tempered by the higher-timeframe bullish alignment, so traders should be cautious and watch for confirmation on the lower timeframes.
Catalysts
  • Multiple trendline breakouts and retreats on the 30M chart signal strong selling pressure.
  • Indicator convergence: BOP, STOCHRSI, DEMA, and EMA all point down, confirming bearish momentum.
  • Short-term timeframes (15M, 30M, 1H) are bearish, aligning with the signal direction.
Risk Factors
  • Higher timeframes (2H to Daily) are bullish, which could limit downside or cause a reversal.
  • The 30M trend is choppy/sideways (1/5 trend score), indicating weak trend strength and potential false signals.
  • A break above resistance at 0.70738 would invalidate the bearish setup.
  • The STOCH KD Cross Up signal suggests a possible short-term bounce, conflicting with the overall bearish bias.
Symbol AUD/USD
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Probability 93%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-08-10 16:30
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.70738 2026-08-10
R2 0.70746 2026-08-07
R3 0.70773 2026-08-07
S1 0.70562 2026-08-10
S2 0.70220 2026-08-07
S3 0.69834 2026-08-03

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