USD/CHF – 30M – SELL
SELL
70%
▲ Bullish 30% (3.55)
▼ Bearish 70% (8.06)
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Signal evolution
Events for USD/CHF
Full calendar- TodayUSDADP Employment Change Weekly●●○Previous 15Kin 6h
- TodayUSDExisting Home Sales (Jul)●●○Forecast 4.07MPrevious 4.09Min 8h
- TodayUSDExisting Home Sales MoM (Jul)●●○Forecast -0.7%Previous -2.4%in 8h
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | Trendline Break Up | trendline | 1.88 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%) | fibonacci | 1.73 |
| ▼ | EMA 200 Retreat Down | indicator | 1.68 |
| ▼ | T3 Retreat Down | indicator | 1.62 |
| ▼ | Resistance Level Retreat Down | sr | 1.62 |
| ▼ | Trendline Retreat Down | trendline | 1.51 |
| ▼ | Double Bottom Retreat Down | chart_pattern | 1.44 |
| ▼ | STOCHRSI KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.29 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.15 |
| ▼ | Shooting Star | candlestick | 0.90 |
Trend Context
15MUPChoppy / sideways
30MUPChoppy / sideways
1HDOWNTrend forming
2HDOWNSolid trend
4HDOWNTrend forming
8HDOWNChoppy / sideways
12HDOWNChoppy / sideways
1DDOWNChoppy / sideways
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- A strong bearish signal cluster on the 30m chart suggests the recent bounce is failing.
- Longer timeframes (1h, 2h, 4h) are bearish, aligning with the sell signal.
- Watch support at 0.80686; a break below could trigger further downside.
- Resistance at 0.80941 is the key invalidation level; reclaiming it would weaken the bearish case.
The 30-minute USD/CHF chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Trendline Break Up followed by a Trendline Retreat Down, a Double Bottom Retreat Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHRSI KD Cross Down, EMA 200 Retreat Down, T3 Retreat Down, and a Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%). This confluence suggests that the recent bounce has failed and sellers are reasserting control. The signal strength is very strong with 86% probability, indicating high alignment among the indicators.
Across timeframes, the trend is predominantly bearish, with the 1h, 2h, and 4h all showing bearish trends, while the 15m and 30m are bullish but choppy. This suggests that the shorter-term bullishness is a counter-trend move within a larger bearish structure. The nearest support at 0.80686 is the immediate downside target, and a break below could accelerate selling. Resistance at 0.80941 is the key level to watch; a reclaim would invalidate the bearish setup.
Across timeframes, the trend is predominantly bearish, with the 1h, 2h, and 4h all showing bearish trends, while the 15m and 30m are bullish but choppy. This suggests that the shorter-term bullishness is a counter-trend move within a larger bearish structure. The nearest support at 0.80686 is the immediate downside target, and a break below could accelerate selling. Resistance at 0.80941 is the key level to watch; a reclaim would invalidate the bearish setup.
Catalysts
- ▼ Multiple bearish signals fired simultaneously, indicating strong confluence.
- ▼ Trend alignment: higher timeframes (1h, 2h, 4h) are bearish, supporting the sell bias.
- ▼ Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%) suggests a retracement has completed and the downtrend is resuming.
- ▼ EMA 200 and T3 Retreat Down indicate momentum is shifting lower.
Risk Factors
- ▲ The 15m and 30m trends are still bullish, which could lead to a bounce before further decline.
- ▲ If price reclaims resistance at 0.80941, the bearish setup would be invalidated.
- ▲ The 1h trend is only 'trend forming' (2/5), suggesting the bearish trend is not yet fully established.
- ▲ Choppy/sideways conditions on higher timeframes (8h, 12h, 1d) could limit downside momentum.
Symbol
USD/CHF
Timeframe
30M
Direction
SELL
Probability
70%
Strength
MODERATE
Date
2026-08-10 18:30
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 0.80941 | 2026-08-10 |
| R2 | 0.81290 | 2026-08-07 |
| R3 | 0.81356 | 2026-08-06 |
| S1 | 0.80686 | 2026-08-10 |
| S2 | 0.80611 | 2026-08-10 |
| S3 | 0.80561 | 2026-08-07 |
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