USD/JPY – 2H – SELL
SELL
92%
▲ Bullish 8% (1.93)
▼ Bearish 92% (23.07)
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Signal evolution
Events for USD/JPY
Full calendar- TodayUSDADP Employment Change Weekly●●○Previous 15Kin 6h
- TodayUSDExisting Home Sales (Jul)●●○Forecast 4.07MPrevious 4.09Min 8h
- TodayUSDExisting Home Sales MoM (Jul)●●○Forecast -0.7%Previous -2.4%in 8h
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%) | fibonacci | 1.96 |
| ▲ | EMA CROSS 20 50 Golden Cross | indicator | 1.95 |
| ▲ | HT SINE Cross Up | indicator | 1.93 |
| ▼ | STOCH KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.73 |
| ▼ | Trendline Retreat Down | trendline | 1.52 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.44 |
| ▲ | Northern Doji | candlestick | 1.03 |
Trend Context
15MUPTrend forming
30MUPSolid trend
1HUPTrend forming
2HUPTrend forming
4HDOWNSolid trend
8HDOWNVery strong trend
12HDOWNVery strong trend
1DDOWNSolid trend
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Multiple bearish signals (trendline, BOP, stochastic, Fibonacci) converge on the 2H chart, suggesting a high-probability sell setup.
- Higher timeframes (4H to 1D) are all bearish, outweighing the short-term bullish trends on 15m-2H.
- Resistance at 163.90400 is the immediate upside barrier; a break above would invalidate the bearish thesis.
- Support at 156.67200 is the next downside target; a break there could lead to further losses.
The 2H SELL signal on USD/JPY is driven by a confluence of technical factors, including a Trendline Retreat Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, and a Fibonacci Break DownTrend at 0%. These signals suggest that the recent bullish correction within the broader downtrend is losing momentum. The presence of a Northern Doji candlestick adds a note of indecision, but the overall bearish alignment across higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D) supports the sell signal. The EMA Cross 20 50 Golden Cross and HT SINE Cross Up are noted as conflicting signals, but they are on lower timeframes and may represent a temporary bounce.
Trend alignment across timeframes is mixed but leans bearish. While the 15m to 2H timeframes show bullish trends, they are mostly 'trend forming' or 'solid' at best, and the higher timeframes (4H to 1D) are all bearish with strong to very strong trend scores. This suggests that the bearish pressure from the higher timeframes is likely to dominate. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 163.90400, which could cap any upside, and the nearest support at 156.67200, which if broken could accelerate the decline. The Fibonacci break at 0% indicates a loss of a key retracement level, reinforcing the bearish case.
Trend alignment across timeframes is mixed but leans bearish. While the 15m to 2H timeframes show bullish trends, they are mostly 'trend forming' or 'solid' at best, and the higher timeframes (4H to 1D) are all bearish with strong to very strong trend scores. This suggests that the bearish pressure from the higher timeframes is likely to dominate. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 163.90400, which could cap any upside, and the nearest support at 156.67200, which if broken could accelerate the decline. The Fibonacci break at 0% indicates a loss of a key retracement level, reinforcing the bearish case.
Catalysts
- ▼ Strong bearish trend alignment on higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) with solid to very strong trend scores.
- ▼ Fibonacci break below the 0% level (Trend Break Down) indicates loss of a key retracement support.
- ▼ Multiple indicators (BOP, STOCH) confirm downward momentum, increasing the probability of the trade.
- ▼ Trendline retreat down from resistance adds a classic bearish pattern.
Risk Factors
- ▲ Conflicting bullish signals on lower timeframes (EMA Golden Cross, HT SINE Cross Up) could lead to a short-term bounce.
- ▲ The 2H trend is still bullish (2/5), so the sell signal may be early; a break above 163.90400 would invalidate the setup.
- ▲ The Northern Doji suggests indecision, which could precede a reversal or consolidation.
- ▲ If the price holds support at 156.67200, the bearish move may stall, leading to a range-bound market.
Symbol
USD/JPY
Timeframe
2H
Direction
SELL
Probability
92%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-10 16:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 163.90400 | 2026-07-29 |
| R2 | 163.94700 | 2026-07-28 |
| R3 | 163.98400 | 2026-07-23 |
| S1 | 156.67200 | 2026-08-07 |
| S2 | 155.22400 | 2026-08-03 |
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