USD/JPY 2H SELL

· 13 hours ago
SELL
92%
▼ SELL
VERY STRONG
Intraday
Prognose: 61% historisch
⚡ Confluence +60%
▲ Bullish 8% (1.93) ▼ Bearish 92% (23.07)
USD/JPY  ·  2H
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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar
  • TodayUSDADP Employment Change Weekly●●○Previous 15Kin 6h
  • TodayUSDExisting Home Sales (Jul)●●○Forecast 4.07MPrevious 4.09Min 8h
  • TodayUSDExisting Home Sales MoM (Jul)●●○Forecast -0.7%Previous -2.4%in 8h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%) fibonacci 1.96
EMA CROSS 20 50 Golden Cross indicator 1.95
HT SINE Cross Up indicator 1.93
STOCH KD Cross Down indicator 1.73
Trendline Retreat Down trendline 1.52
BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.44
Northern Doji candlestick 1.03

Trend Context

15M
UPTrend forming
30M
UPSolid trend
1H
UPTrend forming
2H
UPTrend forming
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNVery strong trend
12H
DOWNVery strong trend
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Multiple bearish signals (trendline, BOP, stochastic, Fibonacci) converge on the 2H chart, suggesting a high-probability sell setup.
  • Higher timeframes (4H to 1D) are all bearish, outweighing the short-term bullish trends on 15m-2H.
  • Resistance at 163.90400 is the immediate upside barrier; a break above would invalidate the bearish thesis.
  • Support at 156.67200 is the next downside target; a break there could lead to further losses.
The 2H SELL signal on USD/JPY is driven by a confluence of technical factors, including a Trendline Retreat Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, and a Fibonacci Break DownTrend at 0%. These signals suggest that the recent bullish correction within the broader downtrend is losing momentum. The presence of a Northern Doji candlestick adds a note of indecision, but the overall bearish alignment across higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D) supports the sell signal. The EMA Cross 20 50 Golden Cross and HT SINE Cross Up are noted as conflicting signals, but they are on lower timeframes and may represent a temporary bounce.

Trend alignment across timeframes is mixed but leans bearish. While the 15m to 2H timeframes show bullish trends, they are mostly 'trend forming' or 'solid' at best, and the higher timeframes (4H to 1D) are all bearish with strong to very strong trend scores. This suggests that the bearish pressure from the higher timeframes is likely to dominate. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 163.90400, which could cap any upside, and the nearest support at 156.67200, which if broken could accelerate the decline. The Fibonacci break at 0% indicates a loss of a key retracement level, reinforcing the bearish case.
Catalysts
  • Strong bearish trend alignment on higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) with solid to very strong trend scores.
  • Fibonacci break below the 0% level (Trend Break Down) indicates loss of a key retracement support.
  • Multiple indicators (BOP, STOCH) confirm downward momentum, increasing the probability of the trade.
  • Trendline retreat down from resistance adds a classic bearish pattern.
Risk Factors
  • Conflicting bullish signals on lower timeframes (EMA Golden Cross, HT SINE Cross Up) could lead to a short-term bounce.
  • The 2H trend is still bullish (2/5), so the sell signal may be early; a break above 163.90400 would invalidate the setup.
  • The Northern Doji suggests indecision, which could precede a reversal or consolidation.
  • If the price holds support at 156.67200, the bearish move may stall, leading to a range-bound market.
Symbol USD/JPY
Timeframe 2H
Direction SELL
Probability 92%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-08-10 16:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 163.90400 2026-07-29
R2 163.94700 2026-07-28
R3 163.98400 2026-07-23
S1 156.67200 2026-08-07
S2 155.22400 2026-08-03

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