USD/JPY – 30M – BUY
BUY
97%
▲ Bullish 97% (58.49)
▼ Bearish 3% (2.04)
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Signal evolution
Events for USD/JPY
Full calendar- TomorrowUSDADP Employment Change Weekly●●○Previous 15Kin 12h
- TomorrowUSDExisting Home Sales (Jul)●●○Forecast 4.07MPrevious 4.09Min 14h
- TomorrowUSDExisting Home Sales MoM (Jul)●●○Forecast -0.7%Previous -2.4%in 14h
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | Triple Bottom | chart_pattern | 3.38 |
| ▲ | Double Bottom | chart_pattern | 3.27 |
| ▲ | T3 Break Up | indicator | 2.70 |
| ▲ | Trendline Break Up | trendline | 2.60 |
| ▲ | MIDPOINT Retreat Up | indicator | 2.35 |
| ▲ | MIDPRICE Retreat Up | indicator | 2.34 |
| ▲ | MAMA PRICE Break Up | indicator | 2.33 |
| ▲ | DEMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.29 |
| ▲ | Fibonacci Retreat UpTrend (0%) | fibonacci | 2.19 |
| ▲ | KAMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.08 |
| ▲ | EMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.05 |
| ▲ | MA Retreat Up | indicator | 1.93 |
| ▼ | HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle | indicator | 1.51 |
| ▼ | HT SINE Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.29 |
| ▼ | STOCHF KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.23 |
| ▼ | BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down | indicator | 1.19 |
Trend Context
15MUPSolid trend
30MUPSolid trend
1HUPTrend forming
2HUPTrend forming
4HDOWNSolid trend
8HDOWNVery strong trend
12HDOWNVery strong trend
1DDOWNSolid trend
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bullish reversal signals on the 30M chart, including trendline break and multiple bottom patterns.
- Short-term trend (15M-2H) is bullish, but higher timeframes (4H-Daily) are bearish, indicating a counter-trend move.
- Key support to watch is 156.672; a break below would invalidate the bullish setup.
- The StochF cross down is a minor caution, but overall momentum favors buyers.
The USD/JPY 30-minute signal is strongly bullish, firing a cluster of trend, pattern, and indicator signals. The breakout of a falling trendline, combined with Double and Triple Bottom patterns, suggests a reversal from the recent downtrend. The retreat of the upper Bollinger Band and pullbacks in DEMA, EMA, and KAMA indicate a temporary pause or consolidation, which often precedes a continuation of the upward move. The StochF KD Cross Down is a short-term bearish signal, but it is overshadowed by the overall bullish momentum and the high probability score (91%).
Across timeframes, the bullish bias is consistent on the 15-minute to 2-hour charts, with the trend strengthening from 'forming' to 'solid'. However, higher timeframes (4H to Daily) remain bearish, with very strong downtrends on the 8H and 12H. This suggests the current bullish move is a counter-trend rally within a larger downtrend. The nearest support is at 156.672, a level that bulls must defend to maintain the upside. Resistance levels are not provided, so traders should watch for potential supply zones from previous highs or the 4H downtrend line.
Across timeframes, the bullish bias is consistent on the 15-minute to 2-hour charts, with the trend strengthening from 'forming' to 'solid'. However, higher timeframes (4H to Daily) remain bearish, with very strong downtrends on the 8H and 12H. This suggests the current bullish move is a counter-trend rally within a larger downtrend. The nearest support is at 156.672, a level that bulls must defend to maintain the upside. Resistance levels are not provided, so traders should watch for potential supply zones from previous highs or the 4H downtrend line.
Catalysts
- ▲ Multiple bullish chart patterns (Double Bottom, Triple Bottom) and a trendline break provide strong confluence.
- ▲ Bullish trend alignment across 15M, 30M, 1H, and 2H timeframes supports the signal.
- ▲ High signal probability (91%) and very strong strength indicate robust bullish conditions.
- ▲ Retreats in key moving averages (DEMA, EMA, KAMA) suggest a healthy pullback within an uptrend.
Risk Factors
- ▼ Higher timeframes (4H-12H) are bearish with very strong trends, which could cap upside or reverse the move.
- ▼ The StochF KD Cross Down is a short-term bearish signal that could precede a pullback.
- ▼ A break below the nearest support at 156.672 would invalidate the bullish patterns.
- ▼ Lack of a defined resistance level means the rally may face unknown selling pressure.
Symbol
USD/JPY
Timeframe
30M
Direction
BUY
Probability
97%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-10 12:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| S1 | 156.67200 | 2026-08-07 |