XRP/USDT – 4H – SELL
SELL
97%
▲ Bullish 3% (1.36)
▼ Bearish 97% (37.71)
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Signal evolution
Events for XRP/USDT
Full calendar- TomorrowUSDInflation Rate YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 3.4%Previous 3.5%in 1 day
- TomorrowUSDInflation Rate MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.1%Previous -0.4%in 1 day
- TomorrowUSDCore Inflation Rate MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.2%Previous 0%in 1 day
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down | indicator | 2.39 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%) | fibonacci | 2.25 |
| ▼ | MIDPOINT Retreat Down | indicator | 2.22 |
| ▼ | MA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.10 |
| ▼ | Bear Flag | chart_pattern | 2.08 |
| ▼ | MIDPRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 1.93 |
| ▼ | EMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.68 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.61 |
| ▲ | STOCH KD Cross Up | indicator | 1.36 |
| ▼ | BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down | indicator | 1.22 |
| ▼ | Bearish Harami | candlestick | 1.13 |
| ▼ | Hanging Man | candlestick | 0.86 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNChoppy / sideways
30MUPChoppy / sideways
1HDOWNChoppy / sideways
2HDOWNChoppy / sideways
4HDOWNChoppy / sideways
8HDOWNTrend forming
12HDOWNTrend forming
1DDOWNTrend forming
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bearish confluence on the 4H chart with a Bear Flag and multiple retreat signals.
- Higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are bearish and forming, supporting the downtrend.
- Watch for a break below 1.01280 support to confirm the move; resistance at 1.04880 is the key invalidation.
- Choppy lower timeframes warrant caution; wait for a clear break before entering.
The 4H chart for XRP/USDT has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Bear Flag pattern, multiple retreats from key moving averages and trendlines, and a BOP Zero Cross Down. The confluence of these signals across indicator, chart pattern, candlestick, and Fibonacci groups points to strong selling pressure. The trend across higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) is bearish and forming, while lower timeframes are choppy but predominantly bearish. This alignment suggests the recent upward move is likely a corrective bounce within a larger downtrend, with the Bear Flag indicating a potential continuation lower.
Key levels to watch are immediate resistance at 1.04880 and support at 1.01280. A decisive break below support would confirm the bearish continuation, while a reclaim of resistance could invalidate the setup. Given the very strong signal strength and high probability (93%), the bias is firmly bearish, but traders should wait for confirmation and manage risk accordingly, as the lower timeframes are choppy and could produce false moves.
Key levels to watch are immediate resistance at 1.04880 and support at 1.01280. A decisive break below support would confirm the bearish continuation, while a reclaim of resistance could invalidate the setup. Given the very strong signal strength and high probability (93%), the bias is firmly bearish, but traders should wait for confirmation and manage risk accordingly, as the lower timeframes are choppy and could produce false moves.
Catalysts
- ▼ Multiple retreat signals (EMA, HT trendline, MA, midpoint) all pointing down.
- ▼ Bear Flag pattern on the 4H chart suggests a bearish continuation.
- ▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicates selling pressure is increasing.
- ▼ Trend alignment across higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) is bearish.
Risk Factors
- ▲ Lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h) are choppy and could produce false signals.
- ▲ A reclaim of the 1.04880 resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
- ▲ The STOCH KD Cross Up signal hints at a possible short-term bounce.
- ▲ If the price holds above support and forms a higher low, the bearish case weakens.
Symbol
XRP/USDT
Timeframe
4H
Direction
SELL
Probability
97%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-10 08:30
cat_ Crypto
Crypto
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 1.04880 | 2026-08-08 |
| R2 | 1.09330 | 2026-08-02 |
| R3 | 1.09500 | 2026-07-30 |
| S1 | 1.01280 | 2026-08-07 |
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