EUR/JPY – 1H – SELL
SELL
76%
▲ Bullish 24% (5.03)
▼ Bearish 76% (15.50)
Loading…
Signal evolution
Events for EUR/JPY
Full calendar- TodayEURInflation Rate MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.8%Previous -0.3%in 2h
- TodayEURInflation Rate YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 2.8%Previous 2.3%in 2h
- TodayEURHarmonised Inflation Rate MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.9%Previous -0.2%in 2h
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | HT SINE Cross Down | indicator | 1.87 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%) | fibonacci | 1.76 |
| ▼ | Resistance Level Retreat Down | sr | 1.68 |
| ▼ | DEMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.67 |
| ▼ | Trendline Retreat Down | trendline | 1.64 |
| ▼ | HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle | indicator | 1.52 |
| ▲ | SAR Flip Bullish | indicator | 1.40 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.36 |
| ▲ | AROON Cross Up | indicator | 1.24 |
| ▲ | AROONOSC Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.24 |
| ▼ | Bearish Harami Cross | candlestick | 1.11 |
| ▲ | Northern Doji | candlestick | 1.03 |
| ▲ | AROON Strong Uptrend | indicator | 0.96 |
| ▼ | Tweezers Top | candlestick | 0.83 |
Trend Context
15MUPChoppy / sideways
30MUPChoppy / sideways
1HUPChoppy / sideways
2HUPChoppy / sideways
4HUPChoppy / sideways
8HDOWNSolid trend
12HDOWNSolid trend
1DDOWNTrend forming
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Bearish 1H signal aligns with higher timeframe downtrends (8H, 12H, 1D), but lower timeframes are bullish and choppy, creating conflict.
- Key levels: resistance at 183.93200, support at 181.31200. A break below support confirms the sell; a move above resistance invalidates it.
- Aroon indicators and SAR Flip Bullish suggest short-term bullish momentum, so the sell may face headwinds initially.
- Trend scores are weak (1/5) on lower timeframes, indicating the bearish move may lack momentum unless higher timeframe pressure prevails.
The 1H EUR/JPY signal is SELL (bearish) with 74% probability and moderate strength, fired by a mix of candlestick, support/resistance, indicator, trendline, and Fibonacci groups. Key signals include Trendline Retreat Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, DEMA Retreat Down, and HT SINE Cross Down, while Aroon indicators (Cross Up, Strong Uptrend, Zero Cross Up) and SAR Flip Bullish suggest short-term bullish momentum. This creates a conflicting picture: the higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are bearish with solid or forming trends, but all lower timeframes (15m to 4H) are bullish, though choppy and weak (trend score 1/5). The bearish signals on 1H may be an early reversal attempt, but the lower timeframe bullish pressure could delay or invalidate the move.
Key levels to watch: nearest resistance at 183.93200 and nearest support at 181.31200. A break below support would confirm the bearish bias, while a move above resistance would invalidate the sell signal. The alignment of higher timeframe downtrends with the 1H bearish signals suggests the sell could gain traction, but the conflicting lower timeframe bullishness and weak trend scores warrant caution. The moderate strength and mixed signals indicate this is not a high-conviction trade; traders should wait for confirmation, such as a close below support or a bearish crossover on lower timeframes.
Key levels to watch: nearest resistance at 183.93200 and nearest support at 181.31200. A break below support would confirm the bearish bias, while a move above resistance would invalidate the sell signal. The alignment of higher timeframe downtrends with the 1H bearish signals suggests the sell could gain traction, but the conflicting lower timeframe bullishness and weak trend scores warrant caution. The moderate strength and mixed signals indicate this is not a high-conviction trade; traders should wait for confirmation, such as a close below support or a bearish crossover on lower timeframes.
Catalysts
- ▼ Higher timeframe downtrends (8H, 12H, 1D) provide a strong backdrop for the bearish 1H signal.
- ▼ Multiple bearish signals (Trendline Retreat Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, DEMA Retreat Down, HT SINE Cross Down) add confluence.
- ▼ Support/resistance and Fibonacci levels may act as barriers, with resistance at 183.93200 capping upside.
- ▼ The signal includes a mix of groups (candlestick, sr, indicator, trendline, fibonacci), increasing technical weight.
Risk Factors
- ▲ All lower timeframes (15m to 4H) are bullish, though choppy, which could push price higher and delay the bearish move.
- ▲ Aroon Cross Up, Aroon Strong Uptrend, and SAR Flip Bullish indicate short-term bullish momentum that may counter the sell signal.
- ▲ The trend scores on lower timeframes are weak (1/5), suggesting the bearish signal lacks strong momentum.
- ▲ A break above resistance at 183.93200 would invalidate the bearish setup and could trigger a short squeeze.
Symbol
EUR/JPY
Timeframe
1H
Direction
SELL
Probability
76%
Strength
STRONG
Date
2026-08-11 16:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 183.93200 | 2026-08-10 |
| R2 | 185.15700 | 2026-07-31 |
| S1 | 181.31200 | 2026-08-07 |
| S2 | 181.17400 | 2026-08-04 |
| S3 | 180.03000 | 2026-08-03 |