USD/JPY 30M SELL

· 13 hours ago
SELL
100%
▼ SELL
VERY STRONG
Scalping
Prognose: 61% historisch
⚡ Confluence +60%
▲ Bullish 0% (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100% (83.22)
USD/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar
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All times UTC.

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Double Bottom Retreat Down chart_pattern 2.35
Trendline Retreat Down trendline 1.72
Resistance Level Retreat Down sr 1.71
Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%) fibonacci 1.68
MOM Zero Cross Down indicator 1.57
ROC Zero Cross Down indicator 1.57
ROCR Cross Down indicator 1.57
DEMA Retreat Down indicator 1.50
BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.19
STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.18
Bearish Harami candlestick 0.78

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
UPChoppy / sideways
2H
UPChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNVery strong trend
12H
DOWNVery strong trend
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A dense cluster of bearish signals on the 30m chart points to a short-term sell bias.
  • Higher timeframes (8h, 12h, 1d) are bearish, supporting the downside move.
  • Immediate support at 158.918 is the key level to watch; a break could accelerate selling.
  • Choppy conditions on lower timeframes mean the move may be range-bound, so confirmation is key.
The USD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Trendline Retreat Down, a Double Bottom Retreat Down, and multiple momentum crosses (BOP, MOM, ROC, ROCR, STOCHF) all pointing lower. This confluence suggests a strong short-term bearish impulse. However, the lower timeframes (15m, 30m) are rated as choppy/sideways with a weak trend score of 1/5, indicating that the current move may be part of a range rather than a sustained trend. The higher timeframes (8h, 12h) show a very strong bearish trend (4/5), and the daily is solidly bearish (3/5), providing a broader bearish context. The 4-hour is just starting to form a bearish trend (2/5), so the medium-term direction is aligning with the short-term signals, but the immediate choppiness warrants caution.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 159.358 and support at 158.918. A break below support could confirm the bearish momentum and open the path toward lower levels, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup. Given the mixed trend scores on lower timeframes, traders should monitor price action around these levels for confirmation.
Catalysts
  • Multiple momentum indicators (BOP, MOM, ROC, ROCR, STOCHF) all crossing down simultaneously, creating strong confluence.
  • Trendline Retreat Down and Double Bottom Retreat Down patterns reinforce the bearish outlook.
  • Higher timeframes (8h, 12h) show very strong bearish trends, providing a supportive backdrop.
  • Nearest resistance at 159.358 is likely to cap upside moves, keeping pressure on sellers.
Risk Factors
  • Lower timeframes (15m, 30m) are choppy/sideways with weak trend scores, which could lead to false signals or range-bound price action.
  • The 1h and 2h timeframes are still bullish, creating a conflict that may slow down the bearish move.
  • If price reclaims the resistance at 159.358, the bearish setup would be invalidated.
  • Momentum may fade quickly given the choppy conditions; watch for a loss of downside momentum near support.
Symbol USD/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Probability 100%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-08-11 15:30
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 159.35800 2026-08-10
S1 158.91800 2026-08-11
S2 156.67200 2026-08-07

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