USD/JPY – 30M – SELL
SELL
100%
▲ Bullish 0% (0.00)
▼ Bearish 100% (83.22)
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Signal evolution
Events for USD/JPY
Full calendar- TodayUSDMBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Aug/07)●●○Previous 6.81in 8h
- TodayUSDCPI s.a (Jul)●●○Forecast 332.6Previous 332.568in 9h
- TodayUSDInflation Rate YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 3.4%Previous 3.5%in 9h
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Double Bottom Retreat Down | chart_pattern | 2.35 |
| ▼ | Trendline Retreat Down | trendline | 1.72 |
| ▼ | Resistance Level Retreat Down | sr | 1.71 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%) | fibonacci | 1.68 |
| ▼ | MOM Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.57 |
| ▼ | ROC Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.57 |
| ▼ | ROCR Cross Down | indicator | 1.57 |
| ▼ | DEMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.50 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.19 |
| ▼ | STOCHF KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.18 |
| ▼ | Bearish Harami | candlestick | 0.78 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNChoppy / sideways
30MDOWNChoppy / sideways
1HUPChoppy / sideways
2HUPChoppy / sideways
4HDOWNTrend forming
8HDOWNVery strong trend
12HDOWNVery strong trend
1DDOWNSolid trend
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- A dense cluster of bearish signals on the 30m chart points to a short-term sell bias.
- Higher timeframes (8h, 12h, 1d) are bearish, supporting the downside move.
- Immediate support at 158.918 is the key level to watch; a break could accelerate selling.
- Choppy conditions on lower timeframes mean the move may be range-bound, so confirmation is key.
The USD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Trendline Retreat Down, a Double Bottom Retreat Down, and multiple momentum crosses (BOP, MOM, ROC, ROCR, STOCHF) all pointing lower. This confluence suggests a strong short-term bearish impulse. However, the lower timeframes (15m, 30m) are rated as choppy/sideways with a weak trend score of 1/5, indicating that the current move may be part of a range rather than a sustained trend. The higher timeframes (8h, 12h) show a very strong bearish trend (4/5), and the daily is solidly bearish (3/5), providing a broader bearish context. The 4-hour is just starting to form a bearish trend (2/5), so the medium-term direction is aligning with the short-term signals, but the immediate choppiness warrants caution.
Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 159.358 and support at 158.918. A break below support could confirm the bearish momentum and open the path toward lower levels, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup. Given the mixed trend scores on lower timeframes, traders should monitor price action around these levels for confirmation.
Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 159.358 and support at 158.918. A break below support could confirm the bearish momentum and open the path toward lower levels, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup. Given the mixed trend scores on lower timeframes, traders should monitor price action around these levels for confirmation.
Catalysts
- ▼ Multiple momentum indicators (BOP, MOM, ROC, ROCR, STOCHF) all crossing down simultaneously, creating strong confluence.
- ▼ Trendline Retreat Down and Double Bottom Retreat Down patterns reinforce the bearish outlook.
- ▼ Higher timeframes (8h, 12h) show very strong bearish trends, providing a supportive backdrop.
- ▼ Nearest resistance at 159.358 is likely to cap upside moves, keeping pressure on sellers.
Risk Factors
- ▲ Lower timeframes (15m, 30m) are choppy/sideways with weak trend scores, which could lead to false signals or range-bound price action.
- ▲ The 1h and 2h timeframes are still bullish, creating a conflict that may slow down the bearish move.
- ▲ If price reclaims the resistance at 159.358, the bearish setup would be invalidated.
- ▲ Momentum may fade quickly given the choppy conditions; watch for a loss of downside momentum near support.
Symbol
USD/JPY
Timeframe
30M
Direction
SELL
Probability
100%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-11 15:30
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 159.35800 | 2026-08-10 |
| S1 | 158.91800 | 2026-08-11 |
| S2 | 156.67200 | 2026-08-07 |
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