AUD/JPY – 30M – SELL
SELL
94%
▲ Bullish 6% (1.85)
▼ Bearish 94% (31.41)
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Signal evolution
Events for AUD/JPY
Full calendar- TodayJPYPPI MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.6%Previous 0.4%in 10h
- TodayJPYPPI YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 7.4%Previous 7.1%in 10h
- TomorrowAUDRBA Kent Speech●●○in 10h
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Trendline Break Down | trendline | 2.53 |
| ▲ | HT SINE Zero Cross Up | indicator | 2.32 |
| ▼ | MA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.16 |
| ▼ | DEMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.89 |
| ▼ | Trendline Retreat Down | trendline | 1.82 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (79%) | fibonacci | 1.71 |
| ▲ | STOCH OB Exit | indicator | 1.67 |
| ▲ | SAR Flip Bullish | indicator | 1.65 |
| ▼ | Resistance Level Retreat Down | sr | 1.56 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.27 |
| ▲ | Northern Doji | candlestick | 1.03 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNSolid trend
30MDOWNChoppy / sideways
1HDOWNChoppy / sideways
2HDOWNChoppy / sideways
4HUPChoppy / sideways
8HDOWNTrend forming
12HDOWNSolid trend
1DDOWNSolid trend
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Bearish signals are firing across multiple groups, including trendlines, indicators, and candlesticks, on the 30-minute chart.
- The trend is bearish on most timeframes, with solid trends on 15m, 8h, 12h, and 1d, reinforcing the sell signal.
- Immediate support is at 112.36100; a break below could open the door to further downside.
- Resistance at 112.56100 is the nearest barrier; a reclaim of that level would weaken the bearish case.
The 30-minute AUD/JPY chart has fired a cluster of bearish signals, including a Trendline Retreat Down, Trendline Break Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCH OB Exit, DEMA Retreat Down, and MA Retreat Down. These signals collectively indicate that the recent upward move has stalled and is reversing lower. The bearish momentum is reinforced by a SAR Flip Bullish (which, despite its name, often confirms a trend change in the opposite direction) and an HT SINE Zero Cross Up, suggesting that the higher-timeframe cycle is turning down.
Across timeframes, the trend is predominantly bearish, with solid bearish trends on the 15-minute, 8-hour, 12-hour, and daily charts. The 30-minute, 1-hour, and 2-hour timeframes are bearish but choppy, indicating that the immediate trend is not as clean. The 4-hour chart is bullish but choppy, which could provide some counter-trend resistance. The confluence of bearish signals on the 30-minute chart and the alignment of higher timeframes support a continued move lower. Key levels to watch are resistance at 112.56100 and support at 112.36100; a break below support would likely accelerate the decline.
Across timeframes, the trend is predominantly bearish, with solid bearish trends on the 15-minute, 8-hour, 12-hour, and daily charts. The 30-minute, 1-hour, and 2-hour timeframes are bearish but choppy, indicating that the immediate trend is not as clean. The 4-hour chart is bullish but choppy, which could provide some counter-trend resistance. The confluence of bearish signals on the 30-minute chart and the alignment of higher timeframes support a continued move lower. Key levels to watch are resistance at 112.56100 and support at 112.36100; a break below support would likely accelerate the decline.
Catalysts
- ▼ Multiple bearish signals fired simultaneously, including Trendline Break Down and MA Retreat Down, indicating strong selling pressure.
- ▼ Higher timeframes (8h, 12h, 1d) show solid bearish trends, aligning with the 30-minute direction.
- ▼ The 15-minute chart is also bearish with a solid trend, suggesting momentum is building.
- ▼ The presence of a SAR Flip Bullish and HT SINE Zero Cross Up may signal a broader cycle turn lower.
Risk Factors
- ▲ The 30-minute, 1-hour, and 2-hour trends are choppy/sideways, which could lead to false breakouts or whipsaws.
- ▲ The 4-hour chart is bullish, albeit choppy, which could provide a counter-trend bounce.
- ▲ If price reclaims resistance at 112.56100, the bearish thesis would be invalidated.
- ▲ Momentum could fade if the STOCH and BOP indicators show divergence or if volume dries up.
Symbol
AUD/JPY
Timeframe
30M
Direction
SELL
Probability
94%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-12 15:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 112.56100 | 2026-08-12 |
| R2 | 112.57200 | 2026-08-12 |
| S1 | 112.36100 | 2026-08-12 |
| S2 | 112.06700 | 2026-08-11 |
| S3 | 111.89300 | 2026-08-10 |
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