AUD/USD – 30M – SELL
SELL
100%
▲ Bullish 0% (0.00)
▼ Bearish 100% (67.93)
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Signal evolution
Events for AUD/USD
Full calendar- TodayUSDEIA Gasoline Stocks Change (Aug/07)●●○Previous -1.643in 45m
- TodayUSDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change (Aug/07)●●●Previous 2.479in 45m
- TodayUSDMonthly Budget Statement (Jul)●●○Forecast -$340BPrevious -$120Bin 4h
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Trendline Retreat Down | trendline | 2.26 |
| ▼ | Resistance Level Retreat Down | sr | 2.12 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (50%) | fibonacci | 2.05 |
| ▼ | STOCHF KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.60 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.48 |
| ▲ | MAMA Cross Up | indicator | 1.15 |
| ▲ | Long Legged Doji | candlestick | 0.91 |
Trend Context
15MUPChoppy / sideways
30MDOWNChoppy / sideways
1HDOWNChoppy / sideways
2HDOWNChoppy / sideways
4HUPChoppy / sideways
8HUPTrend forming
12HUPChoppy / sideways
1DUPTrend forming
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bearish signal on the 30-minute chart with high probability (89%).
- Multiple indicators and patterns align: trendline retreat, resistance retreat, BOP and STOCHF crosses, Fibonacci retracement, and a doji candle.
- Short-term timeframes (30m, 1h, 2h) are bearish, but higher timeframes remain bullish, suggesting this may be a pullback within an uptrend.
- Watch key levels: resistance at 0.70689 and support at 0.70397.
The AUD/USD 30-minute chart has triggered a very strong SELL signal, with an 89% probability, driven by a confluence of bearish signals. The Trendline Retreat Down and Resistance Level Retreat Down indicate that price has pulled back from a resistance level and a trendline, suggesting potential downside. The BOP Zero Cross Down and STOCHF KD Cross Down confirm weakening buying pressure, while the Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (50%) highlights a key retracement level that may act as resistance. The Long Legged Doji candlestick pattern adds to the indecision, but in this context, it supports a bearish reversal. The MAMA Cross Up, however, is a contrarian signal, suggesting some underlying bullish momentum, which introduces a note of caution.
Across timeframes, the trend is mixed. The 30-minute, 1-hour, and 2-hour timeframes are bearish, aligning with the sell signal, but the 15-minute, 4-hour, 8-hour, 12-hour, and daily timeframes are bullish, albeit mostly choppy or only forming trends. This indicates that the bearish signal is a short-term move within a larger bullish context. Key levels to watch are nearest resistance at 0.70689 and nearest support at 0.70397. A break below support could accelerate the decline, while a move back above resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
Across timeframes, the trend is mixed. The 30-minute, 1-hour, and 2-hour timeframes are bearish, aligning with the sell signal, but the 15-minute, 4-hour, 8-hour, 12-hour, and daily timeframes are bullish, albeit mostly choppy or only forming trends. This indicates that the bearish signal is a short-term move within a larger bullish context. Key levels to watch are nearest resistance at 0.70689 and nearest support at 0.70397. A break below support could accelerate the decline, while a move back above resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
Catalysts
- ▼ Confluence of bearish signals: trendline and resistance retreat, BOP and STOCHF crosses, and Fibonacci retracement.
- ▼ Short-term timeframes (30m, 1h, 2h) are bearish, aligning with the sell signal.
- ▼ The Long Legged Doji pattern indicates potential reversal at resistance.
- ▼ Very strong signal strength (89% probability) suggests high confidence.
Risk Factors
- ▲ Higher timeframes (4h, 8h, 12h, 1d) are bullish, which could limit downside or cause a reversal.
- ▲ The MAMA Cross Up is a bullish signal that contradicts the bearish setup.
- ▲ Price is near support at 0.70397; a bounce from this level could invalidate the sell.
- ▲ If price breaks above resistance at 0.70689, the bearish thesis is invalidated.
Symbol
AUD/USD
Timeframe
30M
Direction
SELL
Probability
100%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-12 02:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 0.70689 | 2026-08-11 |
| R2 | 0.70738 | 2026-08-10 |
| R3 | 0.70746 | 2026-08-07 |
| S1 | 0.70397 | 2026-08-11 |
| S2 | 0.70220 | 2026-08-07 |
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