AUD/USD 30M SELL

· 14 hours ago
SELL
100%
▼ SELL
VERY STRONG
Scalping
Prognose: 61% historisch
⚡ Confluence +60%
▲ Bullish 0% (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100% (67.93)
AUD/USD  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/USD

Full calendar
  • TodayUSDEIA Gasoline Stocks Change (Aug/07)●●○Previous -1.643in 45m
  • TodayUSDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change (Aug/07)●●●Previous 2.479in 45m
  • TodayUSDMonthly Budget Statement (Jul)●●○Forecast -$340BPrevious -$120Bin 4h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Trendline Retreat Down trendline 2.26
Resistance Level Retreat Down sr 2.12
Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (50%) fibonacci 2.05
STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.60
BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.48
MAMA Cross Up indicator 1.15
Long Legged Doji candlestick 0.91

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
4H
UPChoppy / sideways
8H
UPTrend forming
12H
UPChoppy / sideways
1D
UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish signal on the 30-minute chart with high probability (89%).
  • Multiple indicators and patterns align: trendline retreat, resistance retreat, BOP and STOCHF crosses, Fibonacci retracement, and a doji candle.
  • Short-term timeframes (30m, 1h, 2h) are bearish, but higher timeframes remain bullish, suggesting this may be a pullback within an uptrend.
  • Watch key levels: resistance at 0.70689 and support at 0.70397.
The AUD/USD 30-minute chart has triggered a very strong SELL signal, with an 89% probability, driven by a confluence of bearish signals. The Trendline Retreat Down and Resistance Level Retreat Down indicate that price has pulled back from a resistance level and a trendline, suggesting potential downside. The BOP Zero Cross Down and STOCHF KD Cross Down confirm weakening buying pressure, while the Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (50%) highlights a key retracement level that may act as resistance. The Long Legged Doji candlestick pattern adds to the indecision, but in this context, it supports a bearish reversal. The MAMA Cross Up, however, is a contrarian signal, suggesting some underlying bullish momentum, which introduces a note of caution.

Across timeframes, the trend is mixed. The 30-minute, 1-hour, and 2-hour timeframes are bearish, aligning with the sell signal, but the 15-minute, 4-hour, 8-hour, 12-hour, and daily timeframes are bullish, albeit mostly choppy or only forming trends. This indicates that the bearish signal is a short-term move within a larger bullish context. Key levels to watch are nearest resistance at 0.70689 and nearest support at 0.70397. A break below support could accelerate the decline, while a move back above resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
Catalysts
  • Confluence of bearish signals: trendline and resistance retreat, BOP and STOCHF crosses, and Fibonacci retracement.
  • Short-term timeframes (30m, 1h, 2h) are bearish, aligning with the sell signal.
  • The Long Legged Doji pattern indicates potential reversal at resistance.
  • Very strong signal strength (89% probability) suggests high confidence.
Risk Factors
  • Higher timeframes (4h, 8h, 12h, 1d) are bullish, which could limit downside or cause a reversal.
  • The MAMA Cross Up is a bullish signal that contradicts the bearish setup.
  • Price is near support at 0.70397; a bounce from this level could invalidate the sell.
  • If price breaks above resistance at 0.70689, the bearish thesis is invalidated.
Symbol AUD/USD
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Probability 100%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-08-12 02:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.70689 2026-08-11
R2 0.70738 2026-08-10
R3 0.70746 2026-08-07
S1 0.70397 2026-08-11
S2 0.70220 2026-08-07

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