AUD/JPY – 1H – BUY
BUY
100%
▲ Bullish 100% (59.83)
▼ Bearish 0% (0.00)
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Signal evolution
Events for AUD/JPY
Full calendar- August 16, 2026JPYGDP Growth Annualized (Q2)●●○Forecast 2%Previous 1.8%in 2 days
- August 16, 2026JPYGDP Growth Rate QoQ (Q2)●●●Forecast 0.5%Previous 0.5%in 2 days
- August 18, 2026AUDWestpac Consumer Confidence Change (Aug)●●○Forecast -2.6%Previous 4.1%in 3 days
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | Fibonacci Break UpTrend (0%) | fibonacci | 2.68 |
| ▲ | MIDPRICE Retreat Up | indicator | 2.35 |
| ▲ | MIDPOINT Retreat Up | indicator | 2.34 |
| ▲ | EMA 200 Retreat Up | indicator | 2.32 |
| ▲ | TEMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.29 |
| ▲ | Support Level Retreat Up | sr | 2.09 |
| ▲ | Trendline Retreat Up | trendline | 1.99 |
| ▲ | STOCH KD Cross Up | indicator | 1.93 |
| ▲ | BOP Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.89 |
| ▲ | CMO Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.79 |
| ▲ | RSI Midline Cross Up | indicator | 1.79 |
| ▲ | MACD Signal Cross Up | indicator | 1.65 |
| ▲ | BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up | indicator | 1.37 |
| ▲ | ADXR Trend Strong | indicator | 1.31 |
| ▲ | Bullish Harami | candlestick | 1.14 |
| ▲ | Above The Stomach | candlestick | 1.12 |
| ▲ | Spinning Top Bullish | candlestick | 1.00 |
Trend Context
15MUPChoppy / sideways
30MDOWNTrend forming
1HDOWNTrend forming
2HDOWNChoppy / sideways
4HDOWNChoppy / sideways
8HDOWNTrend forming
12HDOWNSolid trend
1DDOWNSolid trend
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- A powerful bullish signal cluster on the 1H chart suggests a short-term bounce in AUD/JPY.
- The broader trend is bearish, so this is a counter-trend move; watch the 112.749 resistance.
- Momentum indicators (MACD, RSI, STOCH) all crossed up, confirming the immediate bullish push.
- If the price fails at resistance, the downtrend is likely to resume.
The AUD/JPY 1H chart has triggered a dense cluster of bullish signals, including a Trendline Retreat Up, ADXR Trend Strong, and multiple zero-line and midline crosses across BOP, CMO, MACD, RSI, and STOCH. The BBANDS Middle Cross Up adds to the momentum alignment. This confluence suggests a strong short-term buying impulse, likely a rebound within a broader downtrend.
However, the higher timeframes remain predominantly bearish, with the 1D and 12H showing solid downtrends. The 1H signal appears counter-trend, and the nearest resistance at 112.749 is a critical hurdle. The nearest support at 112.208 provides a near-term floor. Traders should watch whether the bounce can break above resistance or if it stalls, confirming the larger bearish bias.
However, the higher timeframes remain predominantly bearish, with the 1D and 12H showing solid downtrends. The 1H signal appears counter-trend, and the nearest resistance at 112.749 is a critical hurdle. The nearest support at 112.208 provides a near-term floor. Traders should watch whether the bounce can break above resistance or if it stalls, confirming the larger bearish bias.
Catalysts
- ▲ Confluence of multiple bullish signals across trendline, candlestick, indicator, support/resistance, and Fibonacci groups.
- ▲ Strong trend strength (ADXR) and momentum crosses (BOP, CMO, MACD, RSI, STOCH) all aligned upward.
- ▲ The BBANDS Middle Cross Up adds a volatility-based confirmation.
- ▲ The signal is at a support level, increasing the chance of a bounce.
Risk Factors
- ▼ Higher timeframes (12H and 1D) are in solid downtrends, which could overwhelm the 1H bullish move.
- ▼ The nearest resistance at 112.749 is a strong barrier; a failure to break above could invalidate the bullish signal.
- ▼ The 15M and 2H timeframes are choppy, suggesting weak conviction in the bounce.
- ▼ A close below the nearest support at 112.208 would invalidate the bullish setup.
Symbol
AUD/JPY
Timeframe
1H
Direction
BUY
Probability
100%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-13 17:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 112.74900 | 2026-08-12 |
| S1 | 112.20800 | 2026-08-13 |
| S2 | 112.13400 | 2026-08-12 |
| S3 | 112.06700 | 2026-08-11 |
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