AUD/JPY 1H BUY

· 13 hours ago
BUY
100%
▲ BUY
VERY STRONG
Intraday
Prognose: 61% historisch
⚡ Confluence +60%
▲ Bullish 100% (59.83) ▼ Bearish 0% (0.00)
AUD/JPY  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar
  • August 16, 2026JPYGDP Growth Annualized (Q2)●●○Forecast 2%Previous 1.8%in 2 days
  • August 16, 2026JPYGDP Growth Rate QoQ (Q2)●●●Forecast 0.5%Previous 0.5%in 2 days
  • August 18, 2026AUDWestpac Consumer Confidence Change (Aug)●●○Forecast -2.6%Previous 4.1%in 3 days

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Fibonacci Break UpTrend (0%) fibonacci 2.68
MIDPRICE Retreat Up indicator 2.35
MIDPOINT Retreat Up indicator 2.34
EMA 200 Retreat Up indicator 2.32
TEMA Retreat Up indicator 2.29
Support Level Retreat Up sr 2.09
Trendline Retreat Up trendline 1.99
STOCH KD Cross Up indicator 1.93
BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.89
CMO Zero Cross Up indicator 1.79
RSI Midline Cross Up indicator 1.79
MACD Signal Cross Up indicator 1.65
BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up indicator 1.37
ADXR Trend Strong indicator 1.31
Bullish Harami candlestick 1.14
Above The Stomach candlestick 1.12
Spinning Top Bullish candlestick 1.00

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A powerful bullish signal cluster on the 1H chart suggests a short-term bounce in AUD/JPY.
  • The broader trend is bearish, so this is a counter-trend move; watch the 112.749 resistance.
  • Momentum indicators (MACD, RSI, STOCH) all crossed up, confirming the immediate bullish push.
  • If the price fails at resistance, the downtrend is likely to resume.
The AUD/JPY 1H chart has triggered a dense cluster of bullish signals, including a Trendline Retreat Up, ADXR Trend Strong, and multiple zero-line and midline crosses across BOP, CMO, MACD, RSI, and STOCH. The BBANDS Middle Cross Up adds to the momentum alignment. This confluence suggests a strong short-term buying impulse, likely a rebound within a broader downtrend.

However, the higher timeframes remain predominantly bearish, with the 1D and 12H showing solid downtrends. The 1H signal appears counter-trend, and the nearest resistance at 112.749 is a critical hurdle. The nearest support at 112.208 provides a near-term floor. Traders should watch whether the bounce can break above resistance or if it stalls, confirming the larger bearish bias.
Catalysts
  • Confluence of multiple bullish signals across trendline, candlestick, indicator, support/resistance, and Fibonacci groups.
  • Strong trend strength (ADXR) and momentum crosses (BOP, CMO, MACD, RSI, STOCH) all aligned upward.
  • The BBANDS Middle Cross Up adds a volatility-based confirmation.
  • The signal is at a support level, increasing the chance of a bounce.
Risk Factors
  • Higher timeframes (12H and 1D) are in solid downtrends, which could overwhelm the 1H bullish move.
  • The nearest resistance at 112.749 is a strong barrier; a failure to break above could invalidate the bullish signal.
  • The 15M and 2H timeframes are choppy, suggesting weak conviction in the bounce.
  • A close below the nearest support at 112.208 would invalidate the bullish setup.
Symbol AUD/JPY
Timeframe 1H
Direction BUY
Probability 100%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-08-13 17:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 112.74900 2026-08-12
S1 112.20800 2026-08-13
S2 112.13400 2026-08-12
S3 112.06700 2026-08-11

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