AUD/USD – 12H – BUY
BUY
100%
▲ Bullish 100% (16.27)
▼ Bearish 0% (0.00)
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Signal evolution
Events for AUD/USD
Full calendar- TodayUSDRetail Sales YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 6%Previous 6.7%in 8h
- TodayUSDRetail Sales Control Group MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.6%Previous 0.5%in 8h
- TodayUSDRetail Sales Ex Autos MoM (Jul)●●○Forecast 0.2%Previous -0.2%in 8h
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | Fibonacci Retreat UpTrend (0%) | fibonacci | 2.03 |
| ▲ | EMA Retreat Up | indicator | 1.97 |
| ▲ | MA Retreat Up | indicator | 1.97 |
| ▲ | SMA Retreat Up | indicator | 1.82 |
| ▲ | BOP Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.61 |
| ▲ | STOCHF KD Cross Up | indicator | 1.42 |
Trend Context
15MUPChoppy / sideways
30MUPChoppy / sideways
1HUPChoppy / sideways
2HUPChoppy / sideways
4HUPTrend forming
8HUPTrend forming
12HUPTrend forming
1DUPTrend forming
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Multiple bullish signals align on the 12H chart, including BOP, stochastic, and moving average retreats, all pointing to a continuation of the uptrend.
- The Fibonacci retreat at the 0% level adds confluence, suggesting the pullback is complete and the trend is resuming.
- The bullish trend is consistent across all timeframes, with higher timeframes showing trend formation, supporting the signal.
- Key level: support at 0.69218. A break below this could invalidate the bullish setup.
The AUD/USD 12H chart has fired a cluster of bullish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, and multiple moving average retreats (EMA, MA, SMA) that indicate price pulling back to dynamic support and resuming the uptrend. The Fibonacci Retreat UpTrend (0%) signal confirms that the pullback has reached the 0% retracement level, a common area for trend continuation. The overall trend across timeframes is bullish, with higher timeframes (4H to 1D) showing trend formation and lower timeframes (15m to 2H) choppy but still bullish, suggesting a broad alignment.
The confluence of these signals points to a strong bullish bias. The nearest support at 0.69218 is a key level to watch; as long as price holds above it, the bullish structure remains intact. The lack of a defined nearest resistance suggests that the pair may have room to move higher, but traders should monitor for any signs of momentum fading or a break below support, which would invalidate the bullish setup. The probability is rated at 100% with very strong strength, reflecting the high degree of alignment across indicators and timeframes.
The confluence of these signals points to a strong bullish bias. The nearest support at 0.69218 is a key level to watch; as long as price holds above it, the bullish structure remains intact. The lack of a defined nearest resistance suggests that the pair may have room to move higher, but traders should monitor for any signs of momentum fading or a break below support, which would invalidate the bullish setup. The probability is rated at 100% with very strong strength, reflecting the high degree of alignment across indicators and timeframes.
Catalysts
- ▲ Trend alignment across timeframes: all timeframes are bullish, with higher timeframes showing trend formation.
- ▲ Confluence of multiple indicator signals (BOP, STOCHF, MA retreats) pointing to the same direction.
- ▲ Fibonacci retreat at the 0% level, a classic continuation zone.
- ▲ Strong trend scores (very strong) and 100% probability assigned to the signal.
Risk Factors
- ▼ The 100% probability is unusually high; such extreme readings can sometimes precede a reversal or whipsaw.
- ▼ Lower timeframes are choppy/sideways, which could indicate a lack of momentum in the short term.
- ▼ A break below the nearest support at 0.69218 would invalidate the bullish signal.
- ▼ If the price fails to hold above the 0% Fibonacci level, the pullback could deepen, delaying the trend continuation.
Symbol
AUD/USD
Timeframe
12H
Direction
BUY
Probability
100%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-13 12:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| S1 | 0.69218 | 2026-07-29 |
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