AUD/USD – 1H – BUY
BUY
99%
▲ Bullish 99% (84.41)
▼ Bearish 1% (0.81)
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Signal evolution
Events for AUD/USD
Full calendar- TodayUSDRetail Sales YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 6%Previous 6.7%in 8h
- TodayUSDRetail Sales Control Group MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.6%Previous 0.5%in 8h
- TodayUSDRetail Sales Ex Autos MoM (Jul)●●○Forecast 0.2%Previous -0.2%in 8h
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Triple Top | chart_pattern | 4.02 |
| ▼ | Double Top | chart_pattern | 3.63 |
| ▲ | MIDPRICE Retreat Up | indicator | 2.64 |
| ▲ | Fibonacci Break UpTrend (0%) | fibonacci | 2.64 |
| ▲ | MIDPOINT Retreat Up | indicator | 2.63 |
| ▲ | DEMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.51 |
| ▼ | Trendline Break Down | trendline | 2.47 |
| ▲ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up | indicator | 2.46 |
| ▲ | EMA 200 Retreat Up | indicator | 2.44 |
| ▲ | Double Top Retreat Up | chart_pattern | 2.36 |
| ▲ | Triple Top Retreat Up | chart_pattern | 2.19 |
| ▲ | MAMA PRICE Retreat Up | indicator | 1.99 |
| ▲ | Trendline Retreat Up | trendline | 1.93 |
| ▲ | Support Level Retreat Up | sr | 1.83 |
| ▲ | STOCH KD Cross Up | indicator | 1.79 |
| ▲ | BOP Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.67 |
| ▲ | CMO Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.57 |
| ▲ | RSI Midline Cross Up | indicator | 1.57 |
| ▲ | HT SINE Cross Up | indicator | 1.45 |
| ▲ | AROON Cross Up | indicator | 1.44 |
| ▲ | AROONOSC Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.44 |
| ▲ | Belt Hold Bullish | candlestick | 1.00 |
| ▲ | AROON Strong Uptrend | indicator | 0.97 |
| ▼ | WILLR OB Entry | indicator | 0.81 |
Trend Context
15MUPTrend forming
30MUPTrend forming
1HUPChoppy / sideways
2HUPChoppy / sideways
4HUPTrend forming
8HUPTrend forming
12HUPChoppy / sideways
1DUPChoppy / sideways
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- AUD/USD 1H is firing a strong bullish cluster of 21 signals, including trendline breaks, double/triple top retreats, and AROON cross up.
- All timeframes are bullish, but higher timeframes are choppy/sideways, so expect possible consolidation.
- Key levels: resistance at 0.70908 and support at 0.70537; a break above resistance could extend gains, while a break below support would invalidate the bullish setup.
- The signal has high probability (83%) and strong strength, but traders should manage risk given the lack of momentum on higher timeframes.
The AUD/USD 1H signal is overwhelmingly bullish, firing a dense cluster of 21 signals across trendline, chart pattern, candlestick, indicator, support/resistance, and Fibonacci groups. Key patterns include a Trendline Break Down followed by a Trendline Retreat Up, plus Double Top, Triple Top, and their retreat-up variants, all indicating that downside attempts have been repelled and buyers are stepping in. The AROON Cross Up and Strong Uptrend confirm strengthening bullish momentum. This confluence suggests that the pair is likely to continue higher, with the nearest resistance at 0.70908 as the immediate upside target and support at 0.70537 serving as the critical floor.
Across timeframes, the bullish bias is consistent: every timeframe from 15 minutes to daily shows a bullish trend, though the 1H, 2H, 12H, and 1D are classified as choppy/sideways with a trend score of 1/5. This indicates that while the overall direction is up, the higher timeframes lack strong momentum, which could lead to consolidation or pullbacks. The signal's high probability (83%) and strong strength suggest that the immediate 1H setup is robust, but traders should watch for a potential stall at resistance or a breakdown below support to invalidate the bullish case.
Across timeframes, the bullish bias is consistent: every timeframe from 15 minutes to daily shows a bullish trend, though the 1H, 2H, 12H, and 1D are classified as choppy/sideways with a trend score of 1/5. This indicates that while the overall direction is up, the higher timeframes lack strong momentum, which could lead to consolidation or pullbacks. The signal's high probability (83%) and strong strength suggest that the immediate 1H setup is robust, but traders should watch for a potential stall at resistance or a breakdown below support to invalidate the bullish case.
Catalysts
- ▲ Overwhelming confluence of 21 signals across multiple groups (trendline, chart pattern, candlestick, indicator, support/resistance, Fibonacci).
- ▲ Consistent bullish trend across all timeframes from 15m to 1D, though higher timeframes are choppy.
- ▲ AROON Cross Up and Strong Uptrend confirm bullish momentum on the 1H chart.
- ▲ Retreat-up patterns (Trendline Retreat Up, Double Top Retreat Up, Triple Top Retreat Up) suggest that dips are being bought, reinforcing the bullish bias.
Risk Factors
- ▼ Higher timeframes (1H, 2H, 12H, 1D) are classified as choppy/sideways with a low trend score (1/5), indicating weak momentum that could lead to a pullback or range-bound action.
- ▼ Immediate resistance at 0.70908 could cap upside and trigger a reversal if the pair fails to break above it.
- ▼ A break below the nearest support at 0.70537 would invalidate the bullish setup and could lead to a sharp decline.
- ▼ The dense cluster of signals may already be priced in, so the move could be overextended in the short term.
Symbol
AUD/USD
Timeframe
1H
Direction
BUY
Probability
99%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-13 17:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 0.70908 | 2026-08-12 |
| S1 | 0.70537 | 2026-08-12 |
| S2 | 0.70397 | 2026-08-11 |
| S3 | 0.70220 | 2026-08-07 |
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