AUD/USD 1H SELL

· 17 hours ago
SELL
100%
▼ SELL
VERY STRONG
Intraday
Prognose: 61% historisch
⚡ Confluence +49%
▲ Bullish 0% (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100% (21.70)
AUD/USD  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/USD

Full calendar
  • TodayUSDRetail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM (Jul)●●○Forecast 0.5%Previous 0.4%in 8h
  • TodayUSDRetail Sales YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 6%Previous 6.7%in 8h
  • TodayUSDRetail Sales Control Group MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.6%Previous 0.5%in 8h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Triple Top chart_pattern 4.02
Double Top chart_pattern 3.63
Trendline Break Down trendline 2.47
SMA 50 Retreat Down indicator 2.19
Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (79%) fibonacci 2.13
EMA 50 Retreat Down indicator 2.09
MA Retreat Down indicator 1.86
CMO Zero Cross Down indicator 1.85
RSI Midline Cross Down indicator 1.85
CCI Zero Cross Up indicator 1.73
KAMA Retreat Down indicator 1.72
BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.50
Belt Hold Bearish candlestick 0.84

Trend Context

15M
UPTrend forming
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
UPChoppy / sideways
4H
UPTrend forming
8H
UPTrend forming
12H
UPChoppy / sideways
1D
UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish signal on the 1H chart, with multiple confirmations.
  • Short-term trend is down, but higher timeframes remain bullish.
  • Watch key support at 0.70537; a break below could open further downside.
  • Resistance at 0.70908 is the immediate upside barrier.
The AUD/USD 1H chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Trendline Break Down, a Double Top, and a Triple Top. These chart patterns are reinforced by a suite of momentum indicators—BOP Zero Cross Down, CMO Zero Cross Down, RSI Midline Cross Down, and CCI Zero Cross Up—all aligning to suggest that sellers have seized control. The EMA 50 Retreat Down further confirms that the short-term trend is turning lower, with price likely retreating from recent highs. The confluence of these signals across multiple groups (fibonacci, trendline, candlestick, indicator, chart_pattern) gives the signal very strong conviction.

However, the broader trend picture is mixed. While the 1H and 30M timeframes are bearish, the 15M, 2H, 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D timeframes are all bullish, albeit with weak trend scores (1-2 out of 5). This means the bearish signal is primarily a short-term correction within a larger uptrend. The nearest resistance at 0.70908 and support at 0.70537 provide key levels to watch. A break below support would confirm the bearish move, while a bounce could signal that the larger bullish trend remains intact.
Catalysts
  • Multiple chart patterns (Double Top, Triple Top, Trendline Break Down) align.
  • Momentum indicators confirm bearish shift (RSI, CMO, BOP).
  • EMA 50 retreat suggests short-term trend reversal.
  • High probability score (96%) and very strong strength.
Risk Factors
  • Higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 1D) are bullish, which could limit downside.
  • Weak trend scores on higher timeframes indicate choppy conditions.
  • Price may find support at 0.70537 and reverse, invalidating the signal.
  • A break above 0.70908 would negate the bearish setup.
Symbol AUD/USD
Timeframe 1H
Direction SELL
Probability 100%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-08-13 13:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.70908 2026-08-12
S1 0.70537 2026-08-12
S2 0.70397 2026-08-11
S3 0.70220 2026-08-07

Tags

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