AUD/USD – 1H – SELL
SELL
100%
▲ Bullish 0% (0.00)
▼ Bearish 100% (21.70)
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Signal evolution
Events for AUD/USD
Full calendar- TodayUSDRetail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM (Jul)●●○Forecast 0.5%Previous 0.4%in 8h
- TodayUSDRetail Sales YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 6%Previous 6.7%in 8h
- TodayUSDRetail Sales Control Group MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.6%Previous 0.5%in 8h
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Triple Top | chart_pattern | 4.02 |
| ▼ | Double Top | chart_pattern | 3.63 |
| ▼ | Trendline Break Down | trendline | 2.47 |
| ▼ | SMA 50 Retreat Down | indicator | 2.19 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (79%) | fibonacci | 2.13 |
| ▼ | EMA 50 Retreat Down | indicator | 2.09 |
| ▼ | MA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.86 |
| ▼ | CMO Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.85 |
| ▼ | RSI Midline Cross Down | indicator | 1.85 |
| ▲ | CCI Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.73 |
| ▼ | KAMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.72 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.50 |
| ▼ | Belt Hold Bearish | candlestick | 0.84 |
Trend Context
15MUPTrend forming
30MDOWNTrend forming
1HDOWNChoppy / sideways
2HUPChoppy / sideways
4HUPTrend forming
8HUPTrend forming
12HUPChoppy / sideways
1DUPTrend forming
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bearish signal on the 1H chart, with multiple confirmations.
- Short-term trend is down, but higher timeframes remain bullish.
- Watch key support at 0.70537; a break below could open further downside.
- Resistance at 0.70908 is the immediate upside barrier.
The AUD/USD 1H chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Trendline Break Down, a Double Top, and a Triple Top. These chart patterns are reinforced by a suite of momentum indicators—BOP Zero Cross Down, CMO Zero Cross Down, RSI Midline Cross Down, and CCI Zero Cross Up—all aligning to suggest that sellers have seized control. The EMA 50 Retreat Down further confirms that the short-term trend is turning lower, with price likely retreating from recent highs. The confluence of these signals across multiple groups (fibonacci, trendline, candlestick, indicator, chart_pattern) gives the signal very strong conviction.
However, the broader trend picture is mixed. While the 1H and 30M timeframes are bearish, the 15M, 2H, 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D timeframes are all bullish, albeit with weak trend scores (1-2 out of 5). This means the bearish signal is primarily a short-term correction within a larger uptrend. The nearest resistance at 0.70908 and support at 0.70537 provide key levels to watch. A break below support would confirm the bearish move, while a bounce could signal that the larger bullish trend remains intact.
However, the broader trend picture is mixed. While the 1H and 30M timeframes are bearish, the 15M, 2H, 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D timeframes are all bullish, albeit with weak trend scores (1-2 out of 5). This means the bearish signal is primarily a short-term correction within a larger uptrend. The nearest resistance at 0.70908 and support at 0.70537 provide key levels to watch. A break below support would confirm the bearish move, while a bounce could signal that the larger bullish trend remains intact.
Catalysts
- ▼ Multiple chart patterns (Double Top, Triple Top, Trendline Break Down) align.
- ▼ Momentum indicators confirm bearish shift (RSI, CMO, BOP).
- ▼ EMA 50 retreat suggests short-term trend reversal.
- ▼ High probability score (96%) and very strong strength.
Risk Factors
- ▲ Higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 1D) are bullish, which could limit downside.
- ▲ Weak trend scores on higher timeframes indicate choppy conditions.
- ▲ Price may find support at 0.70537 and reverse, invalidating the signal.
- ▲ A break above 0.70908 would negate the bearish setup.
Symbol
AUD/USD
Timeframe
1H
Direction
SELL
Probability
100%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-13 13:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 0.70908 | 2026-08-12 |
| S1 | 0.70537 | 2026-08-12 |
| S2 | 0.70397 | 2026-08-11 |
| S3 | 0.70220 | 2026-08-07 |
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