AUD/USD 2H BUY

· 16 hours ago
BUY
100%
▲ BUY
VERY STRONG
Intraday
Prognose: 61% historisch
⚡ Confluence +60%
▲ Bullish 100% (57.74) ▼ Bearish 0% (0.00)
AUD/USD  ·  2H
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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/USD

Full calendar
  • TodayUSDRetail Sales MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.2%Previous 0.2%in 8h
  • TodayUSDRetail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM (Jul)●●○Forecast 0.5%Previous 0.4%in 8h
  • TodayUSDRetail Sales YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 6%Previous 6.7%in 8h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Fibonacci Break UpTrend (0%) fibonacci 2.68
CCI OS Exit indicator 2.45
Support Level Retreat Up sr 2.19
Double Top Retreat Up chart_pattern 2.15
Triple Top Retreat Up chart_pattern 2.15
Trendline Break Down trendline 2.03
DI CROSS Cross Up indicator 1.85
STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.77
BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.76
STOCH OS Exit indicator 1.71
Trendline Retreat Up trendline 1.65
DM CROSS Cross Up indicator 1.63
APO Zero Cross Down indicator 1.54
WILLR OS Exit indicator 1.43

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
UPChoppy / sideways
4H
UPTrend forming
8H
UPTrend forming
12H
UPChoppy / sideways
1D
UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bullish signal on the 2H chart with multiple reversal patterns and momentum indicators aligning.
  • Higher timeframes (2H to 1D) are bullish, but lower timeframes are still bearish, indicating early-stage reversal.
  • Watch for a break above 0.70908 to confirm the bullish move; a drop below 0.70397 would invalidate the signal.
  • The signal is very strong (92% probability), but the choppy trend on some timeframes suggests careful risk management.
The AUD/USD 2H signal is strongly bullish (92% probability, very strong), driven by a cluster of signals including Trendline Break Down, Trendline Retreat Up, Double Top Retreat Up, Triple Top Retreat Up, APO Zero Cross Down, BOP Zero Cross Up, CCI OS Exit, and DI Cross Up. These signals collectively indicate that the recent downtrend has been broken, and the price is now retreating upward from a trendline, with multiple reversal patterns (double and triple top retreats) confirming a shift in momentum. The bullish alignment across higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D) supports this view, although lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1H) are still bearish, suggesting that the reversal is in its early stages and may face near-term resistance.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.70908 and support at 0.70397. A break above resistance would confirm the bullish reversal, while a loss of support would invalidate the signal. Given the mixed trend scores across timeframes, traders should monitor price action around these levels for confirmation. The confluence of multiple signals and the strong probability rating suggest a high-quality setup, but the choppy nature of the trend on some timeframes warrants caution.
Catalysts
  • Multiple reversal patterns (Double Top Retreat Up, Triple Top Retreat Up) and trendline breaks indicate a strong bullish reversal.
  • Momentum indicators (APO, BOP, CCI, DI) are aligning bullish, supporting the upward move.
  • Higher timeframe trends (2H, 4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are bullish, providing a supportive backdrop.
  • The signal's high probability and very strong strength suggest high conviction.
Risk Factors
  • Lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1H) are still bearish, which could lead to a pullback before the reversal takes hold.
  • The trend scores are low (1-2/5) on many timeframes, indicating choppy/sideways conditions that could undermine momentum.
  • A failure to break above the nearest resistance at 0.70908 could lead to a retest of support at 0.70397.
  • If the price breaks below 0.70397, the bullish signal would be invalidated, and the bearish lower timeframe trends could dominate.
Symbol AUD/USD
Timeframe 2H
Direction BUY
Probability 100%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-08-13 12:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.70908 2026-08-12
S1 0.70397 2026-08-11
S2 0.70220 2026-08-07
S3 0.69834 2026-08-03

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