AUD/USD – 2H – BUY
BUY
100%
▲ Bullish 100% (57.74)
▼ Bearish 0% (0.00)
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Signal evolution
Events for AUD/USD
Full calendar- TodayUSDRetail Sales MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.2%Previous 0.2%in 8h
- TodayUSDRetail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM (Jul)●●○Forecast 0.5%Previous 0.4%in 8h
- TodayUSDRetail Sales YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 6%Previous 6.7%in 8h
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | Fibonacci Break UpTrend (0%) | fibonacci | 2.68 |
| ▲ | CCI OS Exit | indicator | 2.45 |
| ▲ | Support Level Retreat Up | sr | 2.19 |
| ▲ | Double Top Retreat Up | chart_pattern | 2.15 |
| ▲ | Triple Top Retreat Up | chart_pattern | 2.15 |
| ▼ | Trendline Break Down | trendline | 2.03 |
| ▲ | DI CROSS Cross Up | indicator | 1.85 |
| ▲ | STOCHF KD Cross Up | indicator | 1.77 |
| ▲ | BOP Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.76 |
| ▲ | STOCH OS Exit | indicator | 1.71 |
| ▲ | Trendline Retreat Up | trendline | 1.65 |
| ▲ | DM CROSS Cross Up | indicator | 1.63 |
| ▼ | APO Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.54 |
| ▲ | WILLR OS Exit | indicator | 1.43 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNTrend forming
30MDOWNTrend forming
1HDOWNChoppy / sideways
2HUPChoppy / sideways
4HUPTrend forming
8HUPTrend forming
12HUPChoppy / sideways
1DUPTrend forming
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bullish signal on the 2H chart with multiple reversal patterns and momentum indicators aligning.
- Higher timeframes (2H to 1D) are bullish, but lower timeframes are still bearish, indicating early-stage reversal.
- Watch for a break above 0.70908 to confirm the bullish move; a drop below 0.70397 would invalidate the signal.
- The signal is very strong (92% probability), but the choppy trend on some timeframes suggests careful risk management.
The AUD/USD 2H signal is strongly bullish (92% probability, very strong), driven by a cluster of signals including Trendline Break Down, Trendline Retreat Up, Double Top Retreat Up, Triple Top Retreat Up, APO Zero Cross Down, BOP Zero Cross Up, CCI OS Exit, and DI Cross Up. These signals collectively indicate that the recent downtrend has been broken, and the price is now retreating upward from a trendline, with multiple reversal patterns (double and triple top retreats) confirming a shift in momentum. The bullish alignment across higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D) supports this view, although lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1H) are still bearish, suggesting that the reversal is in its early stages and may face near-term resistance.
Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.70908 and support at 0.70397. A break above resistance would confirm the bullish reversal, while a loss of support would invalidate the signal. Given the mixed trend scores across timeframes, traders should monitor price action around these levels for confirmation. The confluence of multiple signals and the strong probability rating suggest a high-quality setup, but the choppy nature of the trend on some timeframes warrants caution.
Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.70908 and support at 0.70397. A break above resistance would confirm the bullish reversal, while a loss of support would invalidate the signal. Given the mixed trend scores across timeframes, traders should monitor price action around these levels for confirmation. The confluence of multiple signals and the strong probability rating suggest a high-quality setup, but the choppy nature of the trend on some timeframes warrants caution.
Catalysts
- ▲ Multiple reversal patterns (Double Top Retreat Up, Triple Top Retreat Up) and trendline breaks indicate a strong bullish reversal.
- ▲ Momentum indicators (APO, BOP, CCI, DI) are aligning bullish, supporting the upward move.
- ▲ Higher timeframe trends (2H, 4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are bullish, providing a supportive backdrop.
- ▲ The signal's high probability and very strong strength suggest high conviction.
Risk Factors
- ▼ Lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1H) are still bearish, which could lead to a pullback before the reversal takes hold.
- ▼ The trend scores are low (1-2/5) on many timeframes, indicating choppy/sideways conditions that could undermine momentum.
- ▼ A failure to break above the nearest resistance at 0.70908 could lead to a retest of support at 0.70397.
- ▼ If the price breaks below 0.70397, the bullish signal would be invalidated, and the bearish lower timeframe trends could dominate.
Symbol
AUD/USD
Timeframe
2H
Direction
BUY
Probability
100%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-13 12:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 0.70908 | 2026-08-12 |
| S1 | 0.70397 | 2026-08-11 |
| S2 | 0.70220 | 2026-08-07 |
| S3 | 0.69834 | 2026-08-03 |
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