EUR/AUD – 1H – SELL
SELL
98%
▲ Bullish 2% (1.01)
▼ Bearish 98% (55.79)
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Signal evolution
Events for EUR/AUD
Full calendar- TodayEURWholesale Prices YoY (Jul)●●○Forecast 5.4%Previous 4.9%in 1h
- TodayEURWholesale Prices MoM (Jul)●●○Forecast 0.4%Previous -0.7%in 1h
- TodayEURInflation Rate YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 2.1%Previous 1.8%in 2h
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | SMA CROSS 20 50 Golden Cross | indicator | 2.24 |
| ▼ | Trendline Retreat Down | trendline | 1.84 |
| ▼ | SMA 200 Retreat Down | indicator | 1.78 |
| ▲ | HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend | indicator | 1.75 |
| ▼ | ADXR Trend Weak | indicator | 1.70 |
| ▼ | EMA 200 Retreat Down | indicator | 1.63 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%) | fibonacci | 1.59 |
| ▲ | STOCHF KD Cross Up | indicator | 1.43 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.42 |
| ▼ | Hanging Man | candlestick | 0.98 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNTrend forming
30MDOWNTrend forming
1HDOWNChoppy / sideways
2HUPChoppy / sideways
4HUPChoppy / sideways
8HUPChoppy / sideways
12HDOWNChoppy / sideways
1DUPChoppy / sideways
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Bearish signals on the 1H are countered by a bullish bias on higher timeframes, suggesting a corrective move rather than a reversal.
- Resistance at 1.63971 and support at 1.63000 are the critical levels to watch for direction.
- Weak trend strength (ADXR) and a Golden Cross indicate the bearish momentum may be fragile.
- STOCHF KD Cross Up suggests a potential short-term bounce before further downside.
The EUR/AUD 1H signal is a confluence of multiple bearish indicators, led by a Trendline Retreat Down and EMA 200/SMA 200 Retreat Down, indicating that price has pulled back to a descending trendline and key moving averages, which are now acting as resistance. The ADXR Trend Weak suggests the prevailing bearish momentum is not strong, but the BOP Zero Cross Down confirms selling pressure, while the STOCHF KD Cross Up hints at a short-term oversold bounce that could offer a better entry. The Golden Cross on the SMA 20/50 is a medium-term bullish signal, conflicting with the immediate bearish setup, and the HT TRENDMODE shift to Trend adds a layer of caution.
Across higher timeframes, the picture is mixed: the 15m, 30m, and 12h are bearish, but the 2h, 4h, 8h, and 1d are bullish, all with weak trend scores (1/5) indicating choppy conditions. This suggests the bearish move is likely a correction within a larger bullish structure, limiting downside potential. Key levels to watch are resistance at 1.63971 and support at 1.63000; a break below support could open further downside, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish signal.
Across higher timeframes, the picture is mixed: the 15m, 30m, and 12h are bearish, but the 2h, 4h, 8h, and 1d are bullish, all with weak trend scores (1/5) indicating choppy conditions. This suggests the bearish move is likely a correction within a larger bullish structure, limiting downside potential. Key levels to watch are resistance at 1.63971 and support at 1.63000; a break below support could open further downside, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish signal.
Catalysts
- ▼ Multiple bearish signals align on the 1H: Trendline Retreat Down, EMA 200 and SMA 200 Retreat Down, and BOP Zero Cross Down.
- ▼ Bearish trend on the 15m and 30m timeframes supports the short-term downside.
- ▼ Price is retreating from a trendline and key moving averages, which often act as resistance.
- ▼ Fibonacci retracement levels likely provide confluence with the support zone.
Risk Factors
- ▲ Higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H, 1D) are bullish, which could cap downside and lead to a reversal.
- ▲ ADXR Trend Weak indicates low trend strength, so the bearish move may lack conviction.
- ▲ The SMA 20/50 Golden Cross is a bullish signal that could override the bearish setup.
- ▲ A break above resistance at 1.63971 would invalidate the bearish signal and likely trigger a rally.
Symbol
EUR/AUD
Timeframe
1H
Direction
SELL
Probability
98%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-13 17:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 1.63971 | 2026-08-11 |
| R2 | 1.64047 | 2026-08-07 |
| R3 | 1.65036 | 2026-08-03 |
| S1 | 1.63000 | 2026-08-12 |
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