EUR/AUD 1H SELL

· 13 hours ago
SELL
98%
▼ SELL
VERY STRONG
Intraday
Prognose: 61% historisch
⚡ Confluence +15%
▲ Bullish 2% (1.01) ▼ Bearish 98% (55.79)
EUR/AUD  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/AUD

Full calendar
  • TodayEURWholesale Prices YoY (Jul)●●○Forecast 5.4%Previous 4.9%in 1h
  • TodayEURWholesale Prices MoM (Jul)●●○Forecast 0.4%Previous -0.7%in 1h
  • TodayEURInflation Rate YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 2.1%Previous 1.8%in 2h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
SMA CROSS 20 50 Golden Cross indicator 2.24
Trendline Retreat Down trendline 1.84
SMA 200 Retreat Down indicator 1.78
HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend indicator 1.75
ADXR Trend Weak indicator 1.70
EMA 200 Retreat Down indicator 1.63
Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%) fibonacci 1.59
STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.43
BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.42
Hanging Man candlestick 0.98

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
UPChoppy / sideways
4H
UPChoppy / sideways
8H
UPChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Bearish signals on the 1H are countered by a bullish bias on higher timeframes, suggesting a corrective move rather than a reversal.
  • Resistance at 1.63971 and support at 1.63000 are the critical levels to watch for direction.
  • Weak trend strength (ADXR) and a Golden Cross indicate the bearish momentum may be fragile.
  • STOCHF KD Cross Up suggests a potential short-term bounce before further downside.
The EUR/AUD 1H signal is a confluence of multiple bearish indicators, led by a Trendline Retreat Down and EMA 200/SMA 200 Retreat Down, indicating that price has pulled back to a descending trendline and key moving averages, which are now acting as resistance. The ADXR Trend Weak suggests the prevailing bearish momentum is not strong, but the BOP Zero Cross Down confirms selling pressure, while the STOCHF KD Cross Up hints at a short-term oversold bounce that could offer a better entry. The Golden Cross on the SMA 20/50 is a medium-term bullish signal, conflicting with the immediate bearish setup, and the HT TRENDMODE shift to Trend adds a layer of caution.

Across higher timeframes, the picture is mixed: the 15m, 30m, and 12h are bearish, but the 2h, 4h, 8h, and 1d are bullish, all with weak trend scores (1/5) indicating choppy conditions. This suggests the bearish move is likely a correction within a larger bullish structure, limiting downside potential. Key levels to watch are resistance at 1.63971 and support at 1.63000; a break below support could open further downside, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish signal.
Catalysts
  • Multiple bearish signals align on the 1H: Trendline Retreat Down, EMA 200 and SMA 200 Retreat Down, and BOP Zero Cross Down.
  • Bearish trend on the 15m and 30m timeframes supports the short-term downside.
  • Price is retreating from a trendline and key moving averages, which often act as resistance.
  • Fibonacci retracement levels likely provide confluence with the support zone.
Risk Factors
  • Higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H, 1D) are bullish, which could cap downside and lead to a reversal.
  • ADXR Trend Weak indicates low trend strength, so the bearish move may lack conviction.
  • The SMA 20/50 Golden Cross is a bullish signal that could override the bearish setup.
  • A break above resistance at 1.63971 would invalidate the bearish signal and likely trigger a rally.
Symbol EUR/AUD
Timeframe 1H
Direction SELL
Probability 98%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-08-13 17:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.63971 2026-08-11
R2 1.64047 2026-08-07
R3 1.65036 2026-08-03
S1 1.63000 2026-08-12

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