EUR/JPY – 1H – BUY
BUY
90%
▲ Bullish 90% (19.83)
▼ Bearish 10% (2.26)
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Signal evolution
Events for EUR/JPY
Full calendar- TodayEURWholesale Prices MoM (Jul)●●○Forecast 0.4%Previous -0.7%in 1h
- TodayEURWholesale Prices YoY (Jul)●●○Forecast 5.4%Previous 4.9%in 1h
- TodayEURInflation Rate YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 2.1%Previous 1.8%in 2h
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | SAR Flip Bearish | indicator | 2.20 |
| ▲ | Fibonacci Break UpTrend (0%) | fibonacci | 2.07 |
| ▲ | MA Retreat Up | indicator | 1.83 |
| ▲ | STOCHF KD Cross Up | indicator | 1.75 |
| ▲ | BOP Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.72 |
| ▲ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up | indicator | 1.70 |
| ▲ | MIDPOINT Retreat Up | indicator | 1.67 |
| ▲ | SMA Retreat Up | indicator | 1.64 |
| ▲ | Trendline Retreat Up | trendline | 1.63 |
| ▲ | EMA 200 Retreat Up | indicator | 1.57 |
| ▲ | HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up | indicator | 1.55 |
| ▲ | MIDPRICE Retreat Up | indicator | 1.52 |
| ▲ | Support Level Retreat Up | sr | 1.51 |
| ▲ | CMO Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.44 |
| ▲ | RSI Midline Cross Up | indicator | 1.44 |
| ▲ | MOM Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.34 |
| ▲ | ROC Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.34 |
| ▲ | ROCR Cross Up | indicator | 1.34 |
| ▲ | Spinning Top Bullish | candlestick | 1.08 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNTrend forming
30MDOWNTrend forming
1HDOWNSolid trend
2HDOWNTrend forming
4HDOWNChoppy / sideways
8HDOWNSolid trend
12HDOWNSolid trend
1DDOWNSolid trend
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- A strong cluster of bullish momentum indicators fired on the 1H chart, suggesting a potential short-term bounce.
- The broader trend is bearish across all timeframes, so this is likely a counter-trend move within a downtrend.
- Watch the nearest resistance at 183.961 and support at 183.442 for direction; a break above resistance could signal a deeper reversal.
- The signal has a high probability (91%) and very strong strength, but the conflicting higher timeframe trend warrants caution.
The EUR/JPY 1H signal has fired a broad cluster of bullish momentum indicators, including Trendline Retreat Up, BOP Zero Cross Up, CMO, MOM, ROC, and ROCR Zero Cross Ups, RSI Midline Cross Up, and STOCHF KD Cross Up. This suggests a strong intraday shift in buying pressure after a recent pullback. The confluence of trendline, candlestick, indicator, support/resistance, and Fibonacci groups points to a coordinated bullish setup, with the nearest resistance at 183.961 and support at 183.442 acting as key levels to watch.
However, the broader trend across all timeframes from 15 minutes to daily is bearish, with solid trend scores on the higher timeframes (1H, 8H, 12H, 1D). This creates a conflict: the intraday momentum is turning up, but the larger trend remains down. The signal's high probability (91%) and very strong strength suggest the bullish move may have legs, but traders should be cautious of a potential retracement within the larger downtrend. The key levels to monitor are the resistance at 183.961 and support at 183.442; a break above resistance could signal a stronger reversal, while a loss of support would invalidate the bullish signal.
However, the broader trend across all timeframes from 15 minutes to daily is bearish, with solid trend scores on the higher timeframes (1H, 8H, 12H, 1D). This creates a conflict: the intraday momentum is turning up, but the larger trend remains down. The signal's high probability (91%) and very strong strength suggest the bullish move may have legs, but traders should be cautious of a potential retracement within the larger downtrend. The key levels to monitor are the resistance at 183.961 and support at 183.442; a break above resistance could signal a stronger reversal, while a loss of support would invalidate the bullish signal.
Catalysts
- ▲ Multiple momentum oscillators (BOP, CMO, MOM, ROC, ROCR, RSI, STOCHF) all crossed above their midlines or zero lines, indicating a surge in buying pressure.
- ▲ The Trendline Retreat Up signal suggests price has bounced off an upward trendline, adding confluence.
- ▲ The signal group includes support/resistance and Fibonacci levels, which often act as strong reaction zones, increasing the likelihood of a bounce.
- ▲ The high probability (91%) and very strong strength rating reflect a high-confidence setup based on the algorithm's criteria.
Risk Factors
- ▼ The overall trend is bearish across all timeframes, so this bullish signal may be a counter-trend retracement that could fade.
- ▼ The nearest resistance at 183.961 is a potential barrier; if price fails to break above it, the bullish momentum could stall.
- ▼ If price breaks below the nearest support at 183.442, the bullish signal would be invalidated, and a continuation of the downtrend is likely.
- ▼ The 4H timeframe shows a choppy/sideways trend (1/5), which could mean the market is indecisive and prone to whipsaws.
Symbol
EUR/JPY
Timeframe
1H
Direction
BUY
Probability
90%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-13 17:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 183.96100 | 2026-08-12 |
| S1 | 183.44200 | 2026-08-13 |
| S2 | 183.15100 | 2026-08-12 |
| S3 | 181.31200 | 2026-08-07 |
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