EUR/JPY – 30M – BUY

2026-08-13 17:30 UTC · 13 hours ago

BUY

100%

▲ BUY

VERY STRONG

Scalping

Prognose: 61% historisch

⚡ Confluence +60%

▲ Bullish 100% (53.46) ▼ Bearish 0% (0.00)

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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/JPY

Full calendar

06:00TodayEURWholesale Prices MoM (Jul)●●○Forecast 0.4%Previous -0.7%in 1h
06:00TodayEURWholesale Prices YoY (Jul)●●○Forecast 5.4%Previous 4.9%in 1h
06:45TodayEURInflation Rate MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.6%Previous -0.3%in 2h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Ascending Triangle	chart_pattern	3.66
▲	Trendline Break Up	trendline	2.16
▲	Fibonacci Break UpTrend (0%)	fibonacci	1.84
▲	Trendline Retreat Up	trendline	1.69
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.66
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.57
▲	Support Level Retreat Up	sr	1.56
▲	SMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	1.52
▲	EMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	1.48
▲	CMO Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.37
▲	RSI Midline Cross Up	indicator	1.37
▼	HT SINE Cross Down	indicator	1.26
▲	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up	indicator	1.17
▲	CCI OS Exit	indicator	0.90
▲	Belt Hold Bullish	candlestick	0.78
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	0.64

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A powerful bullish reversal signal cluster has fired on the 30-minute chart, but it is against the prevailing downtrend.
The nearest resistance at 183.74500 is the key upside target; a break above could extend the bounce.
Support at 183.44200 is the invalidation level; losing it would negate the bullish signals.
Higher timeframes remain bearish, so treat this as a counter-trend move with limited upside potential.

The EUR/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, including a Trendline Break Up, Trendline Retreat Up, Ascending Triangle, and multiple momentum oscillators (BOP, CCI, CMO, RSI, STOCH) all crossing upward from oversold or midline levels. These signals together indicate a strong short-term reversal attempt, with price breaking above a descending trendline and forming a bullish chart pattern. The confluence across candlestick, indicator, support/resistance, and Fibonacci groups adds weight to the setup.

However, the higher timeframes remain firmly bearish, with all timeframes from 15 minutes to daily showing bearish trends, and several at solid strength (3/5). This suggests the current bullish momentum is a counter-trend bounce within a broader downtrend. The nearest resistance at 183.74500 is a critical barrier; a break above it could signal a deeper correction, while failure to hold above the support at 183.44200 would invalidate the bullish case. Traders should watch these levels closely for confirmation.

Catalysts

▲ Strong confluence of multiple bullish signals across trendline, chart pattern, and momentum indicators.
▲ Ascending Triangle pattern suggests accumulation and potential breakout continuation.
▲ RSI and STOCH cross-ups from oversold conditions indicate momentum is shifting upward.
▲ Price is holding above the nearest support, allowing the bullish setup to develop.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (1h, 4h, 8h, 12h, 1d) are all bearish, so the bounce may be short-lived.
▼ The 4-hour trend is choppy/sideways, which could mean the reversal lacks follow-through.
▼ Resistance at 183.74500 is nearby and could cap upside, especially if it aligns with a Fibonacci level.
▼ If price breaks below support at 183.44200, the bullish signals would be invalidated.