GBP/JPY – 30M – BUY

2026-08-13 13:00 UTC · 13 hours ago

BUY

95%

▲ BUY

VERY STRONG

Scalping

Prognose: 61% historisch

⚡ Confluence +60%

▲ Bullish 95% (56.84) ▼ Bearish 5% (2.74)

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Signal evolution

Events for GBP/JPY

Full calendar

23:50August 16, 2026JPYGDP Growth Rate QoQ (Q2)●●●Forecast 0.5%Previous 0.5%in 2 days
23:50August 16, 2026JPYGDP Growth Annualized (Q2)●●○Forecast 2%Previous 1.8%in 2 days
06:00August 18, 2026GBPUnemployment Rate (Jun)●●●Forecast 4.9%Previous 4.9%in 4 days

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Fibonacci Break UpTrend (0%)	fibonacci	2.27
▲	CCI Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.96
▲	Trendline Retreat Up	trendline	1.88
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.87
▲	CMO Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.80
▲	RSI Midline Cross Up	indicator	1.80
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.72
▲	Support Level Retreat Up	sr	1.72
▲	EMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	1.66
▲	MACD Signal Cross Up	indicator	1.64
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.60
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	1.60
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.59
▲	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up	indicator	1.57
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.57
▼	DX Trend Weak	indicator	1.45
▲	HT SINE Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.22
▲	Bullish Separating Lines	candlestick	0.95
▼	WILLR OB Entry	indicator	0.83

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A strong bullish cluster on the 30-minute chart suggests a short-term bounce, but the overall trend is bearish.
Watch the resistance at 215.24800 and support at 214.53200 for direction.
The signal is counter-trend, so position sizing and risk management are key.
Higher timeframes (1h, 12h) are bearish, which may limit upside.

The 30-minute GBP/JPY chart has triggered a dense cluster of bullish signals, including a Trendline Retreat Up, a MACD Signal Cross Up, an RSI Midline Cross Up, and multiple zero-line crosses (BOP, CCI, CMO). This suggests a short-term bounce is underway, with momentum shifting from bearish to bullish. However, the broader trend across higher timeframes remains bearish, with the 1-hour and 12-hour charts showing solid downtrends. The signal is therefore a counter-trend move within a larger decline, and traders should treat it as such.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 215.24800 and support at 214.53200. A break above resistance could signal a deeper retracement, while a loss of support would invalidate the bullish setup. The confluence of indicators and the high probability score (91%) suggest the bounce has strength, but the bearish higher-timeframe trend is a significant headwind. Traders should monitor price action at these levels and consider the counter-trend nature of the signal.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple technical indicators align bullish on the 30-minute timeframe, including MACD, RSI, and CCI.
▲ Trendline retreat up indicates buying interest at the trendline.
▲ High signal probability (91%) and very strong strength score.
▲ Diverse signal groups (candlestick, trendline, support/resistance, indicator, Fibonacci) add confluence.

Risk Factors

▼ The 30-minute trend is still bearish (3/5), conflicting with the bullish signals.
▼ Higher timeframes (1h, 12h, 1d) are bearish, which could cap the bounce.
▼ A break below support at 214.53200 would invalidate the bullish setup.
▼ Momentum could fade if price fails to break resistance at 215.24800.