USD/JPY – 1H – SELL

2026-08-13 10:00 UTC · 16 hours ago

SELL

100%

▼ SELL

VERY STRONG

Intraday

Prognose: 61% historisch

⚡ Confluence +10%

▲ Bullish 0% (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100% (27.71)

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

12:30TodayUSDRetail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM (Jul)●●○Forecast 0.5%Previous 0.4%in 11h
12:30TodayUSDRetail Sales YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 6%Previous 6.7%in 11h
12:30TodayUSDRetail Sales Control Group MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.6%Previous 0.5%in 11h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (79%)	fibonacci	1.81
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.79
▼	Trendline Retreat Down	trendline	1.44
▼	Resistance Level Retreat Down	sr	1.39
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.36
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.22
▲	HT SINE Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.22
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	0.95
▼	Spinning Top Bearish	candlestick	0.69
▼	Bearish Harami	candlestick	0.63

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish signal on the 1H with multiple confirmations (trendline, DEMA, Fibonacci, candlestick).
Higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are solidly bearish, supporting the sell bias.
Watch the support at 158.58100; a break could lead to further downside.
Short-term pullback signals (STOCH, HT SINE) may offer entry opportunities on weakness.

The USD/JPY 1H signal is strongly bearish, with an 82% probability and strong momentum. Multiple signals align to confirm the downtrend: a Trendline Retreat Down on the 1H and higher timeframe (HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down), a DEMA Retreat Down, and a Fibonacci Retreat Down (79%) all point to selling pressure. The candlestick pattern (Bearish Harami) adds confluence, while the STOCH KD Cross Up and HT SINE Zero Cross Up suggest a temporary pullback within the broader bearish move, offering a potential entry on weakness.

Trend alignment across timeframes is mixed but leans bearish. The 15m, 1h, and 8h through 1D timeframes all show bearish trends, with the 8h, 12h, and 1D being solid (3/5). However, the 30m, 2h, and 4h are choppy/sideways, indicating possible consolidation. Key levels to watch: nearest resistance at 159.54100 and support at 158.58100. A break below support could accelerate the decline, while a move above resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.

Catalysts

▼ Alignment of trendline, DEMA, and Fibonacci retreats on the 1H and higher timeframe.
▼ Bearish Harami candlestick pattern adds confluence.
▼ Solid bearish trends on 8H, 12H, and 1D timeframes.
▼ Fibonacci Retracement at 79% suggests strong selling pressure.

Risk Factors

▲ Choppy/sideways trends on 30m, 2H, and 4H could lead to range-bound price action.
▲ STOCH KD Cross Up and HT SINE Zero Cross Up hint at a possible bounce, which could delay the decline.
▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 159.54100 would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ Momentum may fade if the price fails to break support quickly.