USD/JPY – 30M – BUY

2026-08-13 06:00 UTC · 21 hours ago

BUY

100%

▲ BUY

VERY STRONG

Scalping

Prognose: 61% historisch

⚡ Confluence +56%

▲ Bullish 100% (38.39) ▼ Bearish 0% (0.00)

Loading…

Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

12:30TodayUSDRetail Sales Control Group MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.6%Previous 0.5%in 11h
12:30TodayUSDRetail Sales Ex Autos MoM (Jul)●●○Forecast 0.2%Previous -0.2%in 11h
12:30TodayUSDRetail Sales MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.2%Previous 0.2%in 11h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Fibonacci Break UpTrend (0%)	fibonacci	2.15
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	2.09
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.05
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.02
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.01
▲	MACD Signal Cross Up	indicator	1.91
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.86
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.85
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.84
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	1.78
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	1.73
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.62
▼	ADXR Trend Weak	indicator	1.11
▼	WILLR OB Entry	indicator	0.64

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bullish indicators on the 30-minute chart suggest a short-term bounce, but the higher timeframes remain bearish.
The ADXR trend weakness and BOP zero cross up indicate fading downside momentum and rising buying pressure.
Watch resistance at 159.541 and support at 158.581 for direction; a break below support invalidates the bullish case.
This is likely a counter-trend move within a larger downtrend, so caution is advised.

The USD/JPY 30-minute signal has fired a cluster of bullish indicators, including a MACD signal line cross above the MACD line, a stochastic fast (STOCHF) cross up, and a Williams %R overbought entry, alongside retreats in both the DEMA and EMA. The ADXR trend weakness suggests the prevailing bearish trend is losing momentum, while the BOP zero cross up indicates improving buying pressure. This combination points to a potential short-term bounce within a broader bearish context.

Across timeframes, the 15-minute and 30-minute charts are showing bullish signs, but the higher timeframes (1H through 1D) remain bearish, with the 8H, 12H, and 1D showing solid downtrends. This misalignment suggests the bullish signal is likely a corrective move rather than a reversal. Key levels to watch are resistance at 159.541 and support at 158.581. A break above resistance could signal a stronger recovery, while a drop below support would invalidate the bullish setup.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of several bullish signals (MACD cross, STOCHF cross, DEMA/EMA retreats) on the 30-minute chart.
▲ Bullish momentum on the 15-minute and 30-minute timeframes supports the immediate upside.
▲ ADXR trend weakness suggests the bearish trend is losing steam, potentially allowing a bounce.
▲ BOP zero cross up indicates improving buying pressure.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (1H and above) are bearish, with solid downtrends on 8H, 12H, and 1D, which could overwhelm the short-term bullish signal.
▼ The 30-minute trend is labeled 'choppy/sideways,' indicating a lack of clear direction and potential for false signals.
▼ A drop below the nearest support at 158.581 would invalidate the bullish setup and likely resume the downtrend.
▼ The Williams %R overbought entry suggests the pair may be overbought in the short term, increasing the risk of a pullback.