USD/JPY – 30M – SELL
SELL
100%
▲ Bullish 0% (0.00)
▼ Bearish 100% (19.38)
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Signal evolution
Events for USD/JPY
Full calendar- TodayUSDRetail Sales Control Group MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.6%Previous 0.5%in 11h
- TodayUSDRetail Sales Ex Autos MoM (Jul)●●○Forecast 0.2%Previous -0.2%in 11h
- TodayUSDRetail Sales MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.2%Previous 0.2%in 11h
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Trendline Break Down | trendline | 2.33 |
| ▲ | SAR Flip Bullish | indicator | 2.24 |
| ▲ | BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up | indicator | 2.11 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (79%) | fibonacci | 2.06 |
| ▼ | Trendline Retreat Down | trendline | 2.04 |
| ▼ | Resistance Level Retreat Down | sr | 1.97 |
| ▲ | HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend | indicator | 1.65 |
| ▲ | MACD Signal Cross Up | indicator | 1.63 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.45 |
| ▼ | HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down | indicator | 1.40 |
| ▼ | Bearish Harami Cross | candlestick | 0.98 |
| ▲ | Long Legged Doji | candlestick | 0.72 |
Trend Context
15MUPTrend forming
30MDOWNTrend forming
1HDOWNTrend forming
2HDOWNChoppy / sideways
4HDOWNChoppy / sideways
8HDOWNSolid trend
12HDOWNSolid trend
1DDOWNSolid trend
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- The 30M signal is strongly bearish, with multiple trendline breaks and momentum shifts supporting lower prices.
- Higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are in solid downtrends, aligning with the short-term bearish signal.
- Watch the 159.17700 support; a break could open the door for further downside.
- Resistance at 159.48100 is the key level to reclaim for any bullish reversal.
The 30-minute USD/JPY signal is firmly bearish, reinforced by a cluster of trendline, momentum, and volatility indicators. The Trendline Retreat Down followed by a Trendline Break Down confirms a breakdown of the recent ascending structure, while the BOP Zero Cross Down and HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down indicate deteriorating buying pressure. The MACD Signal Cross Up and BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up suggest short-term oversold conditions that may cause a brief pullback, but the SAR Flip Bullish and HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend align with the broader bearish outlook.
Across timeframes, the bias is consistently lower, with solid bearish trends on the 8H, 12H, and 1D charts, while the 30M and 1H are forming bearish trends. The 2H and 4H are choppy but still bearish, indicating the sell-off has room to continue. Key levels to watch are resistance at 159.48100 and support at 159.17700. A break below support could accelerate the decline, while a move above resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
Across timeframes, the bias is consistently lower, with solid bearish trends on the 8H, 12H, and 1D charts, while the 30M and 1H are forming bearish trends. The 2H and 4H are choppy but still bearish, indicating the sell-off has room to continue. Key levels to watch are resistance at 159.48100 and support at 159.17700. A break below support could accelerate the decline, while a move above resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
Catalysts
- ▼ Trendline Retreat Down and Break Down confirm a loss of bullish structure.
- ▼ BOP Zero Cross Down and HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down show weakening buying pressure.
- ▼ Solid bearish trends on higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) support the continuation of the move.
- ▼ Multiple signal groups (trendline, indicator, fibonacci) converge on the bearish direction.
Risk Factors
- ▲ Short-term oversold conditions (MACD Signal Cross Up, BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up) could trigger a bounce.
- ▲ The 2H and 4H are choppy/sideways, which may limit the momentum of the move.
- ▲ A break above the 159.48100 resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
- ▲ The SAR Flip Bullish hints at a possible short-term reversal, so watch for a bullish crossover.
Symbol
USD/JPY
Timeframe
30M
Direction
SELL
Probability
100%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-13 18:30
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 159.48100 | 2026-08-13 |
| R2 | 159.54100 | 2026-08-12 |
| S1 | 159.17700 | 2026-08-13 |
| S2 | 158.58100 | 2026-08-12 |
| S3 | 156.67200 | 2026-08-07 |
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