USD/JPY 30M SELL

· 21 hours ago
SELL
100%
▼ SELL
VERY STRONG
Scalping
Prognose: 61% historisch
⚡ Confluence +60%
▲ Bullish 0% (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100% (39.18)
USD/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar
  • TodayUSDRetail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM (Jul)●●○Forecast 0.5%Previous 0.4%in 11h
  • TodayUSDRetail Sales YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 6%Previous 6.7%in 11h
  • TodayUSDRetail Sales Control Group MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.6%Previous 0.5%in 11h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Trendline Retreat Down trendline 1.97
Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (100%) fibonacci 1.96
Resistance Level Retreat Down sr 1.89
APO Zero Cross Down indicator 1.79
BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.40
STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.37
DI CROSS Cross Up indicator 1.10
Bearish Harami candlestick 1.09
DM CROSS Cross Up indicator 0.97

Trend Context

15M
UPTrend forming
30M
UPChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Multiple bearish signals align on the 30M chart, including a Trendline Retreat Down and Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend.
  • Higher timeframes (1H and above) are bearish, supporting the sell signal despite short-term bullish pressure.
  • Watch for a break below 158.581 support to confirm further downside; a move above 159.541 would invalidate the setup.
The USD/JPY 30-minute chart has triggered a confluence of bearish signals, including a Trendline Retreat Down, APO and BOP zero-line crosses down, and a Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend at the 100% level. The Bearish Harami candlestick pattern and stochastic KD cross down reinforce the short-term bearish momentum. While the 15-minute and 30-minute timeframes are still bullish, the higher timeframes (1H, 2H, 4H, 8H, 12H, and daily) all point bearish, with the 8H, 12H, and daily showing solid trends. This suggests that the current pullback on lower timeframes is likely to reverse and align with the larger downtrend.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 159.541 and support at 158.581. A break below support could accelerate the decline, while a move back above resistance would invalidate the bearish setup. The confluence of multiple signal groups—support, trendline, Fibonacci, candlestick, and indicator—adds weight to the bearish outlook, but traders should remain cautious given the short-term bullish bias and the choppy nature of some higher timeframes.
Catalysts
  • Confluence of signals from multiple groups (trendline, Fibonacci, candlestick, indicator) increases signal reliability.
  • Higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) show solid bearish trends, aligning with the 30M sell signal.
  • The Bearish Harami pattern and stochastic KD cross down indicate immediate bearish momentum.
Risk Factors
  • The 15M and 30M trends are still bullish, which could lead to a short-term bounce against the signal.
  • The 30M trend is choppy/sideways, suggesting the market may lack clear direction on this timeframe.
  • If price breaks above the nearest resistance at 159.541, the bearish setup would be invalidated.
Symbol USD/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Probability 100%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-08-13 05:30
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 159.54100 2026-08-12
S1 158.58100 2026-08-12
S2 156.67200 2026-08-07

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