AUD/JPY – 30M – BUY

2026-08-17 06:00 UTC · 1 hour ago

BUY

87%

▲ BUY

VERY STRONG

Scalping

Prognose: 46% historisch

▲ Bullish 87% (43.28) ▼ Bearish 13% (6.33)

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar

00:30TomorrowAUDWestpac Consumer Confidence Change (Aug)●●○Forecast -2.6%Previous 4.1%in 19h
00:30TomorrowAUDWestpac Consumer Confidence Index (Aug)●●○Forecast 81.7Previous 83.9in 19h
23:50TomorrowJPYMachinery Orders MoM (Jun)●●○Previous -12.4in 1 day

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Trendline Break Up	trendline	2.65
▼	Trendline Break Down	trendline	2.40
▲	Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%)	fibonacci	2.38
▲	EMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	2.30
▲	SMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	2.27
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.18
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.96
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.67
▲	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up	indicator	1.64
▲	CCI Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.62
▲	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend	indicator	1.49
▲	CMO Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.48
▲	RSI Midline Cross Up	indicator	1.48
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	1.31
▲	Marubozu Bullish	candlestick	1.18

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A powerful bullish signal cluster has fired on the 30-minute chart, indicating strong short-term buying momentum.
Lower timeframes (15m-4h) are bullish but choppy, while higher timeframes (12h and 1d) remain bearish, creating a mixed outlook.
Key levels to watch: resistance at 112.92000 and support at 112.41900; a break above could extend gains, while a drop below support would invalidate the bullish signal.
The signal is very strong (95% probability), but the higher timeframe bearish trend warrants caution and tight risk management.

The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, including trendline breaks, a BOP zero cross up, CCI zero cross up, CMO zero cross up, RSI midline cross up, STOCHF KD cross up, and a BBANDS middle cross up, all reinforced by additional indicators, Fibonacci, and candlestick patterns. This confluence indicates strong buying pressure and momentum alignment on the lower timeframes, with the 15m through 4h charts all showing bullish but choppy conditions. The nearest resistance at 112.92000 is the immediate upside target, while support at 112.41900 serves as the key invalidation zone if the bullish momentum fades.

However, the higher timeframes (12h and 1d) are bearish and trend forming, which creates a potential conflict. The 30m signal is very strong (95% probability), but traders should be cautious of the broader bearish context. The bullish momentum may be a counter-trend move within a larger downtrend, so upside could be limited. Monitoring price action near resistance will be crucial; a clear break above could signal a shift, while a rejection could lead to a pullback toward support.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of multiple indicators (BOP, CCI, CMO, RSI, STOCHF, BBANDS) all crossing up simultaneously, signaling strong bullish momentum.
▲ Trendline breaks (both up and down) suggest a change in market structure favoring buyers.
▲ Fibonacci and candlestick patterns add to the confluence, increasing the probability of the move.
▲ All lower timeframes (15m-4h) are bullish, aligning with the 30-minute signal.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (12h and 1d) are bearish, which could cap upside or reverse the move.
▼ The lower timeframe trend is choppy/sideways (strength 1/5), indicating weak trend conviction and potential for false breakouts.
▼ A drop below the nearest support at 112.41900 would invalidate the bullish setup and could trigger a sharp decline.
▼ Momentum could fade if price fails to break above resistance at 112.92000, leading to a pullback.