EUR/AUD – 2H – SELL
SELL
98%
▲ Bullish 2% (1.57)
▼ Bearish 98% (61.26)
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Signal evolution
Events for EUR/AUD
Full calendar- TomorrowAUDWestpac Consumer Confidence Change (Aug)●●○Forecast -2.6%Previous 4.1%in 55m
- TomorrowAUDWestpac Consumer Confidence Index (Aug)●●○Forecast 81.7Previous 83.9in 55m
- TomorrowEURBalance of Trade (Jun)●●○Forecast -€6.3BPrevious -€8.24Bin 8h
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | Ascending Triangle | chart_pattern | 3.83 |
| ▼ | Resistance Level Retreat Down | sr | 2.56 |
| ▲ | Trendline Break Up | trendline | 2.49 |
| ▼ | SMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.47 |
| ▼ | Trendline Retreat Down | trendline | 2.41 |
| ▼ | KAMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.25 |
| ▼ | EMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.24 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (24%) | fibonacci | 2.23 |
| ▼ | BBANDS LOWER Break Down | indicator | 2.21 |
| ▼ | MIDPOINT Retreat Down | indicator | 2.09 |
| ▼ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down | indicator | 2.08 |
| ▼ | MA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.99 |
| ▲ | DX Trend Strong | indicator | 1.78 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.71 |
| ▼ | STOCH KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.71 |
| ▲ | WILLR OS Entry | indicator | 1.50 |
| ▼ | Bearish Engulfing | candlestick | 1.17 |
| ▼ | Bearish Separating Lines | candlestick | 0.97 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNTrend forming
30MDOWNTrend forming
1HDOWNTrend forming
2HDOWNChoppy / sideways
4HDOWNChoppy / sideways
8HDOWNChoppy / sideways
12HDOWNChoppy / sideways
1DUPTrend forming
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Multiple bearish signals converge on the 2H chart, including a failed trendline break and an ascending triangle breakdown.
- All timeframes from 15m to 12h are bearish, though higher timeframes are choppy, suggesting the trend is still developing.
- Watch the nearest support at 1.63000; a break below could confirm further downside, while resistance at 1.63577 is the key invalidation level.
- The daily timeframe is bullish, so traders should be cautious about the strength of the bearish move.
The EUR/AUD 2H chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Trendline Break Up and a subsequent Trendline Retreat Down, which together indicate that the recent upward break has failed and price is now retreating back below the trendline. This is reinforced by an Ascending Triangle breakdown, a BOP Zero Cross Down, a STOCH KD Cross Down, and a WILLR entry into oversold territory, all pointing to selling pressure. The BBANDS LOWER Break Down confirms that price is pushing below the lower Bollinger Band, suggesting strong downward momentum. The alignment of candlestick, chart pattern, trendline, support/resistance, Fibonacci, and indicator groups adds confluence, raising the probability to 81% with strong strength.
Across timeframes, the bearish view is consistent: all timeframes from 15m to 12h are bearish, though the higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H, 12H) are currently choppy/sideways, indicating that the trend is not yet fully established. The 1D timeframe is bullish, which poses a potential conflict. Key levels to watch: nearest resistance at 1.63577 and nearest support at 1.63000. A break below support could accelerate the move, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
Across timeframes, the bearish view is consistent: all timeframes from 15m to 12h are bearish, though the higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H, 12H) are currently choppy/sideways, indicating that the trend is not yet fully established. The 1D timeframe is bullish, which poses a potential conflict. Key levels to watch: nearest resistance at 1.63577 and nearest support at 1.63000. A break below support could accelerate the move, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
Catalysts
- ▼ Confluence of multiple signal groups (candlestick, chart pattern, trendline, support/resistance, Fibonacci, indicator) strengthens the bearish case.
- ▼ Trendline Retreat Down after a Break Up indicates a failed breakout, a classic reversal signal.
- ▼ BOP Zero Cross Down and STOCH KD Cross Down confirm selling momentum, while WILLR oversold entry suggests further downside potential.
- ▼ BBANDS LOWER Break Down shows price breaking below the lower band, often signaling strong bearish momentum.
Risk Factors
- ▲ The 1D timeframe is bullish, which could limit the bearish move or lead to a reversal.
- ▲ Higher timeframes (2H and above) are choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of clear trend direction.
- ▲ If price reclaims the resistance at 1.63577, the bearish setup would be invalidated.
- ▲ The nearest support at 1.63000 is a round number and may act as a strong floor, potentially halting the decline.
Symbol
EUR/AUD
Timeframe
2H
Direction
SELL
Probability
98%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-17 06:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 1.63577 | 2026-08-13 |
| R2 | 1.63971 | 2026-08-11 |
| R3 | 1.64047 | 2026-08-06 |
| S1 | 1.63000 | 2026-08-12 |
| S2 | 1.62445 | 2026-07-28 |
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