EUR/AUD 2H SELL

· 17 hours ago
SELL
98%
▼ SELL
VERY STRONG
Intraday
Prognose: 61% historisch
⚡ Confluence +60%
▲ Bullish 2% (1.57) ▼ Bearish 98% (61.26)
EUR/AUD  ·  2H
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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/AUD

Full calendar
  • TomorrowAUDWestpac Consumer Confidence Change (Aug)●●○Forecast -2.6%Previous 4.1%in 55m
  • TomorrowAUDWestpac Consumer Confidence Index (Aug)●●○Forecast 81.7Previous 83.9in 55m
  • TomorrowEURBalance of Trade (Jun)●●○Forecast -€6.3BPrevious -€8.24Bin 8h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Ascending Triangle chart_pattern 3.83
Resistance Level Retreat Down sr 2.56
Trendline Break Up trendline 2.49
SMA Retreat Down indicator 2.47
Trendline Retreat Down trendline 2.41
KAMA Retreat Down indicator 2.25
EMA Retreat Down indicator 2.24
Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (24%) fibonacci 2.23
BBANDS LOWER Break Down indicator 2.21
MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 2.09
HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 2.08
MA Retreat Down indicator 1.99
DX Trend Strong indicator 1.78
BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.71
STOCH KD Cross Down indicator 1.71
WILLR OS Entry indicator 1.50
Bearish Engulfing candlestick 1.17
Bearish Separating Lines candlestick 0.97

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Multiple bearish signals converge on the 2H chart, including a failed trendline break and an ascending triangle breakdown.
  • All timeframes from 15m to 12h are bearish, though higher timeframes are choppy, suggesting the trend is still developing.
  • Watch the nearest support at 1.63000; a break below could confirm further downside, while resistance at 1.63577 is the key invalidation level.
  • The daily timeframe is bullish, so traders should be cautious about the strength of the bearish move.
The EUR/AUD 2H chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Trendline Break Up and a subsequent Trendline Retreat Down, which together indicate that the recent upward break has failed and price is now retreating back below the trendline. This is reinforced by an Ascending Triangle breakdown, a BOP Zero Cross Down, a STOCH KD Cross Down, and a WILLR entry into oversold territory, all pointing to selling pressure. The BBANDS LOWER Break Down confirms that price is pushing below the lower Bollinger Band, suggesting strong downward momentum. The alignment of candlestick, chart pattern, trendline, support/resistance, Fibonacci, and indicator groups adds confluence, raising the probability to 81% with strong strength.

Across timeframes, the bearish view is consistent: all timeframes from 15m to 12h are bearish, though the higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H, 12H) are currently choppy/sideways, indicating that the trend is not yet fully established. The 1D timeframe is bullish, which poses a potential conflict. Key levels to watch: nearest resistance at 1.63577 and nearest support at 1.63000. A break below support could accelerate the move, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
Catalysts
  • Confluence of multiple signal groups (candlestick, chart pattern, trendline, support/resistance, Fibonacci, indicator) strengthens the bearish case.
  • Trendline Retreat Down after a Break Up indicates a failed breakout, a classic reversal signal.
  • BOP Zero Cross Down and STOCH KD Cross Down confirm selling momentum, while WILLR oversold entry suggests further downside potential.
  • BBANDS LOWER Break Down shows price breaking below the lower band, often signaling strong bearish momentum.
Risk Factors
  • The 1D timeframe is bullish, which could limit the bearish move or lead to a reversal.
  • Higher timeframes (2H and above) are choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of clear trend direction.
  • If price reclaims the resistance at 1.63577, the bearish setup would be invalidated.
  • The nearest support at 1.63000 is a round number and may act as a strong floor, potentially halting the decline.
Symbol EUR/AUD
Timeframe 2H
Direction SELL
Probability 98%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-08-17 06:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.63577 2026-08-13
R2 1.63971 2026-08-11
R3 1.64047 2026-08-06
S1 1.63000 2026-08-12
S2 1.62445 2026-07-28

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