EUR/CAD – 2H – BUY
BUY
100%
▲ Bullish 100% (31.23)
▼ Bearish 0% (0.00)
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Signal evolution
Events for EUR/CAD
Full calendar- TomorrowEURBalance of Trade (Jun)●●○Forecast -€6.3BPrevious -€8.24Bin 8h
- TomorrowEURZEW Economic Sentiment Index (Aug)●●●Forecast 21.5Previous 26.3in 9h
- TomorrowEURZEW Economic Sentiment Index (Aug)●●●Forecast 20Previous 23.4in 9h
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | Fibonacci Retreat UpTrend (79%) | fibonacci | 2.73 |
| ▲ | MA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.70 |
| ▲ | MIDPOINT Retreat Up | indicator | 2.58 |
| ▲ | DEMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.49 |
| ▲ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up | indicator | 2.47 |
| ▲ | EMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.46 |
| ▲ | MAMA PRICE Retreat Up | indicator | 2.34 |
| ▲ | Support Level Retreat Up | sr | 2.26 |
| ▲ | STOCHF KD Cross Up | indicator | 2.19 |
| ▲ | BOP Zero Cross Up | indicator | 2.06 |
| ▲ | HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up | indicator | 1.57 |
| ▲ | MAMA Cross Up | indicator | 1.37 |
| ▲ | Spinning Top Bullish | candlestick | 1.10 |
Trend Context
15MUPChoppy / sideways
30MUPChoppy / sideways
1HUPTrend forming
2HUPChoppy / sideways
4HUPTrend forming
8HDOWNTrend forming
12HDOWNTrend forming
1DDOWNChoppy / sideways
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bullish signal cluster on the 2H chart, with multiple indicators turning up.
- Trend is bullish on lower timeframes (15m to 4H) but bearish on higher timeframes (8H to 1D).
- Key resistance at 1.60949, support at 1.60388.
- This could be a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend.
The EUR/CAD 2H chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, including BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, DEMA Retreat Up, EMA Retreat Up, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up, MA Retreat Up, MAMA Cross Up, and MAMA PRICE Retreat Up, along with additional signals from support/resistance, candlestick, and Fibonacci groups. This confluence suggests strong buying pressure at current levels, with momentum and trend indicators aligning to support a move higher.
Across timeframes, the trend is bullish from the 15m up to the 4H, with the 1H and 4H showing trend formation. However, higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) remain bearish, indicating that this is a counter-trend rally within a larger downtrend. The nearest resistance is at 1.60949, which is the immediate upside target, while support sits at 1.60388. A break above resistance could open the door for further gains, but the bearish higher timeframes suggest caution.
Across timeframes, the trend is bullish from the 15m up to the 4H, with the 1H and 4H showing trend formation. However, higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) remain bearish, indicating that this is a counter-trend rally within a larger downtrend. The nearest resistance is at 1.60949, which is the immediate upside target, while support sits at 1.60388. A break above resistance could open the door for further gains, but the bearish higher timeframes suggest caution.
Catalysts
- ▲ Confluence of multiple bullish signals (BOP, STOCHF, DEMA, EMA, MA, MAMA) all pointing up.
- ▲ Trend alignment across lower timeframes (15m to 4H) supports the bullish move.
- ▲ Price is holding above support at 1.60388, with Fibonacci and support/resistance signals adding confluence.
- ▲ Strong signal strength (very strong) and high probability (100%).
Risk Factors
- ▼ Higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are bearish, which could cap upside or reverse the move.
- ▼ Resistance at 1.60949 is nearby; failure to break could lead to a pullback.
- ▼ Momentum may fade if price stalls at resistance, especially given choppy conditions on 2H.
- ▼ Watch for a close below support at 1.60388 as invalidation of the bullish bias.
Symbol
EUR/CAD
Timeframe
2H
Direction
BUY
Probability
100%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-17 16:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 1.60949 | 2026-08-13 |
| R2 | 1.62476 | 2026-08-05 |
| S1 | 1.60388 | 2026-08-14 |
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